Factor study
Find repeatable boom factors while data accumulates.
Track score, momentum, volume, risk, and sector buckets against future runup labels over rolling archived snapshots.
Factor study
2026-06-23 · 60D window · 10D outcome
Boom labels
Setup grade
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grade A | 299 | 261 / 38 | 98 | 37.5% | 2.19x | +11.57% | -8.88% |
| Grade B | 295 | 247 / 48 | 55 | 22.3% | 1.3x | +7.14% | -5.48% |
| Grade D | 5715 | 4201 / 1514 | 570 | 13.6% | 0.8x | +5.78% | -5.16% |
| Grade F | 14273 | 11348 / 2925 | 2013 | 17.7% | 1.04x | +6.50% | -4.79% |
Best combinations
Auto-searches 1–3 factor AND rules from bucket cut-points. Ranked by validation lift, then train lift, then sample size.
| Combination | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom rate | Lift | Train lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No combination cleared min sample and validation filters yet. | ||||||||
Rule candidates
Sorted by lift vs universe baseline. Validation columns show the same rule over the most recent study window slice.
| Rule | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Validation | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B | 319 | 272 / 47 | 104 | 38.2% | 2.23x | 20% · 15 checked | +11.59% | -9.11% |
| Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 | 415 | 371 / 44 | 124 | 33.4% | 1.95x | 8.8% · 34 checked | +10.27% | -7.33% |
| 5D momentum v2 >= 30 | 603 | 515 / 88 | 156 | 30.3% | 1.77x | 8.3% · 48 checked | +9.45% | -7.29% |
| Technical >= 20 + money flow >= 12 | 4738 | 3569 / 1169 | 702 | 19.7% | 1.15x | 12% · 551 checked | +7.16% | -5.52% |
Latest snapshot candidates
Stocks from the latest selected snapshot that match high-lift rules in the current study window.
| Symbol | Setup grade | Score | Evidence | Matched rules |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US.TRV Travelers Companies (The) | A 82 | 92.5 62.5/110 · 30/50 | Medium | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 · Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B · Money flow >= 14 + momentum v2 >= 30 |
| US.AEP American Electric Power | A 83.5 | 98.2 63.2/110 · 35/50 | Low | 5D momentum v2 >= 30 · Momentum v2 >= 30 + dollar volume >= $1B |
Score with momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score 90-109 | 700 | 597 / 103 | 163 | 27.3% | 1.6x | +8.70% | -6.74% |
| Score < 90 | 19873 | 15450 / 4423 | 2570 | 16.6% | 0.97x | +6.31% | -4.90% |
5D momentum v2 bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5D momentum v2 >= 40 | 156 | 146 / 10 | 52 | 35.6% | 2.08x | +10.65% | -8.54% |
| 5D momentum v2 30-39 | 447 | 369 / 78 | 104 | 28.2% | 1.65x | +8.98% | -6.80% |
| 5D momentum v2 20-29 | 1105 | 846 / 259 | 195 | 23% | 1.35x | +7.84% | -6.39% |
| 5D momentum v2 < 20 | 18883 | 14703 / 4180 | 2388 | 16.2% | 0.95x | +6.22% | -4.80% |
Dollar volume bucket
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dollar volume >= $5B | 734 | 551 / 183 | 212 | 38.5% | 2.25x | +12.10% | -7.20% |
| Dollar volume $1B-$5B | 3277 | 2484 / 793 | 708 | 28.5% | 1.67x | +8.62% | -5.87% |
| Dollar volume $250M-$1B | 10234 | 7973 / 2261 | 1152 | 14.4% | 0.84x | +5.78% | -4.92% |
| Dollar volume < $250M | 6346 | 5056 / 1290 | 667 | 13.2% | 0.77x | +5.70% | -4.36% |
Risk level
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| High | 799 | 530 / 269 | 240 | 45.3% | 2.65x | +11.66% | -7.64% |
| Elevated | 6705 | 5251 / 1454 | 1657 | 31.6% | 1.85x | +9.41% | -6.43% |
| Medium | 12602 | 9911 / 2691 | 830 | 8.4% | 0.49x | +4.65% | -4.10% |
| Low | 485 | 372 / 113 | 12 | 3.2% | 0.19x | +3.46% | -3.63% |
Sector
| Bucket | Total | Checked / Pending | Boom | Boom rate | Lift | Avg runup | Avg drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Information Technology | 3034 | 2368 / 666 | 1125 | 47.5% | 2.78x | +13.38% | -7.25% |
| Materials | 1065 | 832 / 233 | 157 | 18.9% | 1.11x | +7.24% | -5.65% |
| Health Care | 2419 | 1888 / 531 | 336 | 17.8% | 1.04x | +6.22% | -4.56% |
| Consumer Discretionary | 1927 | 1504 / 423 | 268 | 17.8% | 1.04x | +6.24% | -5.47% |
| Industrials | 3249 | 2529 / 720 | 325 | 12.9% | 0.75x | +5.31% | -4.69% |
| Consumer Staples | 1435 | 1120 / 315 | 131 | 11.7% | 0.68x | +5.22% | -4.09% |
| Financials | 3116 | 2432 / 684 | 208 | 8.6% | 0.5x | +4.73% | -4.03% |
| Communication Services | 943 | 735 / 208 | 59 | 8% | 0.47x | +4.27% | -5.44% |
| Energy | 861 | 672 / 189 | 48 | 7.1% | 0.42x | +4.47% | -5.80% |
| Real Estate | 1271 | 992 / 279 | 49 | 4.9% | 0.29x | +4.18% | -3.20% |
| Utilities | 1271 | 992 / 279 | 33 | 3.3% | 0.19x | +3.08% | -3.82% |
Factor study is observational and uses archived market data only. It helps evaluate model quality, not predict or recommend trades.