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歷史相似情境研究排名

按歷史相似情境的中位升幅排序；僅供研究覆核，非買賣建議。

樣本 n=40 · horizon 3D · 預設篩選（中位＞0） · 中位＞0 · UP＞DN 10% · 已排除長期下跌

短期下跌版本

Research status

healthy · 2026-10-14

Computed at 2026年10月15日 上午7:47 HKT · Point-in-time safe

Filters

登入後可開啟每日投影機會電郵摘要

Projection candidates 27

Coverage 100.0%

Best DOE 3D n=40

As-of 2026-10-14

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-10-14
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-10-14
DOE window 2026-08-10 → 2026-10-09
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年10月15日 上午7:47 HKT
Rows 27
Excluded downtrends 25
Review DOE calibration
Stable Opp plateau n/a

Fold consensus below threshold; no stable plateau.

Opp study overview

Best plateau, hold, and rolling TP/SL

Snapshot from Opp study: walk-forward OOS stable Opp plateau, best fixed holding day, and top walk-forward TP/SL combo.

Opp study
Best stable plateau n/a

Fold consensus below threshold; no stable plateau.

Best holding day 10D

5+ · -1.22% ann. net · n=254

Rolling best TP/SL TP 6% / SL -3%

2.5 - 3 · +0.33% exp · 78D WF

Opp study rows 23,348 with outcomes

1,505 awaiting horizon End 2026-10-14

投影追蹤Lv1

窗口日曆

過去 5 個交易日

每日用同一套短期上升門檻（中位＞0 · UP＞DN · 排除長期下跌），按中位升幅排序；每欄顯示頭 8 檔。

投影追蹤Lv1

頭 8 共通 · 中位數 +1.9% · 上漲比 63.8% · Up−Dn +17.5 · 共 62 檔（去重）

已參與 — 檔

10-08

8/17
  1. #1 MU 3日 中位+2.71% P75+6.04% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn32.5%/17.5% 開富途
  2. #2 MCHP 3日 中位+2.40% P75+6.95% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn32.5%/7.5% 開富途
  3. #3 KLAC 中位+2.10% P75+5.89% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn30%/12.5% 開富途
  4. #4 DVA 中位+1.67% P75+3.47% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn10%/0% 開富途
  5. #5 DELL 中位+1.44% P75+5.89% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn27.5%/17.5% 開富途
  6. #6 NTAP 2日 中位+1.16% P75+5.03% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn27.5%/7.5% 開富途
  7. #7 GILD 2日 中位+1.15% P75+3.94% 上漲比70% Up/Dn15%/0% 開富途
  8. #8 MRNA 中位+1.07% P75+3.58% 上漲比65% Up/Dn17.5%/5% 開富途

10-09

8/21
  1. #1 INTC 4日 中位+3.14% P75+11.83% 上漲比65% Up/Dn37.5%/7.5% 開富途
  2. #2 SNDK 2日 中位+1.98% P75+10.21% 上漲比65% Up/Dn35%/10% 開富途
  3. #3 HPE 2日 中位+1.92% P75+5.31% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn27.5%/12.5% 開富途
  4. #4 MCHP 3日 中位+1.89% P75+5.07% 上漲比55% Up/Dn25%/2.5% 開富途
  5. #5 LITE 3日 中位+1.85% P75+4.57% 上漲比60% Up/Dn22.5%/7.5% 開富途
  6. #6 NTAP 2日 中位+1.73% P75+5.83% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn35%/10% 開富途
  7. #7 AMD 2日 中位+1.68% P75+4.69% 上漲比65% Up/Dn22.5%/7.5% 開富途
  8. #8 JBL 中位+1.51% P75+5.38% 上漲比60% Up/Dn30%/20% 開富途

10-12

8/19
  1. #1 INTC 4日 中位+2.65% P75+10.67% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn37.5%/10% 開富途
  2. #2 SNDK 2日 中位+2.49% P75+5.17% 上漲比65% Up/Dn25%/15% 開富途
  3. #3 HPE 2日 中位+2.29% P75+4.32% 上漲比60% Up/Dn20%/5% 開富途
  4. #4 HPQ 中位+1.94% P75+4.83% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn25%/5% 開富途
  5. #5 LITE 3日 中位+1.48% P75+5.90% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn35%/15% 開富途
  6. #6 EW 中位+1.44% P75+3.94% 上漲比75% Up/Dn12.5%/0% 開富途
  7. #7 GILD 2日 中位+1.36% P75+2.91% 上漲比65% Up/Dn10%/0% 開富途
  8. #8 AMD 2日 中位+1.09% P75+7.06% 上漲比60% Up/Dn30%/7.5% 開富途

10-13

8/30
  1. #1 INTC 4日 中位+3.87% P75+11.32% 上漲比60% Up/Dn40%/10% 開富途
  2. #2 MCHP 3日 中位+3.42% P75+8.95% 上漲比70% Up/Dn35%/15% 開富途
  3. #3 MU 3日 中位+3.17% P75+7.79% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn32.5%/12.5% 開富途
  4. #4 TER 2日 中位+2.58% P75+6.16% 上漲比65% Up/Dn30%/7.5% 開富途
  5. #5 QCOM 2日 中位+2.57% P75+5.74% 上漲比65% Up/Dn27.5%/7.5% 開富途
  6. #6 HUM 中位+2.47% P75+5.26% 上漲比70% Up/Dn27.5%/0% 開富途
  7. #7 AAPL 2日 中位+2.47% P75+3.98% 上漲比77.5% Up/Dn20%/0% 開富途
  8. #8 STX 中位+2.37% P75+6.67% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn30%/12.5% 開富途

10-14

8/27
  1. #1 INTC 4日 中位+3.55% P75+10.34% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn37.5%/12.5% 開富途
  2. #2 TER 2日 中位+3.31% P75+6.29% 上漲比65% Up/Dn35%/15% 開富途
  3. #3 MU 3日 中位+2.88% P75+8.38% 上漲比77.5% Up/Dn42.5%/10% 開富途
  4. #4 LITE 3日 中位+2.40% P75+6.79% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn30%/20% 開富途
  5. #5 QCOM 2日 中位+2.29% P75+8.49% 上漲比57.5% Up/Dn35%/15% 開富途
  6. #6 AAPL 2日 中位+2.07% P75+3.68% 上漲比85% Up/Dn15%/0% 開富途
  7. #7 WAT 中位+1.92% P75+3.50% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn15%/0% 開富途
  8. #8 DDOG 中位+1.87% P75+5.03% 上漲比60% Up/Dn25%/15% 開富途

Top opportunities

Top 5 quick look

  1. #1 US.INTC 研究門檻符合 P75+10.34% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn37.5% / 12.5% Opp6.711 開富途
  2. #2 US.TER 研究門檻符合 P75+6.29% 上漲比65% Up/Dn35% / 15% Opp5.57 開富途
  3. #3 US.MU 研究門檻符合 P75+8.38% 上漲比77.5% Up/Dn42.5% / 10% Opp6.922 開富途
  4. #4 US.LITE P75+6.79% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn30% / 20% Opp4.273 開富途
  5. #5 US.QCOM 研究門檻符合 P75+8.49% 上漲比57.5% Up/Dn35% / 15% Opp4.472 開富途

Upside leaders

Ranking notes

按歷史相似情境的中位升幅排序，其後才看 P75 與 Up−Dn；不是按機會分數。

預設要求中位回報嚴格大於 0。

Default filter active: UP＞DN 10% (Up5 − Down5 ≥ 10pp).

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by median upside, then P75, then Up−Dn.

以下排名來自已存檔歷史統計，不是交易建議；請自行判斷並留意樣本數、篩選狀態與 gross/net 假設。

Long-term downtrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending down, below long MA with deep 60D drawdown, or 120D decline below long MA.

#1 US.INTC Intel · Information Technology

+3.55%

P75+10.34% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn37.5% / 12.5% Score43.5 Opp6.711
View chart 開富途
#2 US.TER Teradyne · Information Technology

+3.31%

P75+6.29% 上漲比65% Up/Dn35% / 15% Score51.7 Opp5.57
View chart 開富途
#3 US.MU Micron Technology · Information Technology

+2.88%

P75+8.38% 上漲比77.5% Up/Dn42.5% / 10% Score46.3 Opp6.922
View chart 開富途
#4 US.LITE Lumentum · Information Technology

+2.40%

P75+6.79% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn30% / 20% Score50 Opp4.273
View chart 開富途
#5 US.QCOM Qualcomm · Information Technology

+2.29%

P75+8.49% 上漲比57.5% Up/Dn35% / 15% Score48 Opp4.472
View chart 開富途
#6 US.AAPL Apple Inc. · Information Technology

+2.07%

P75+3.68% 上漲比85% Up/Dn15% / 0% Score75.1 Opp6.353
View chart 開富途
#7 US.WAT Waters Corporation · Health Care

+1.92%

P75+3.50% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn15% / 0% Score63 Opp5.068
View chart 開富途
#8 US.DDOG Datadog · Information Technology

+1.87%

P75+5.03% 上漲比60% Up/Dn25% / 15% Score65.1 Opp3.516
View chart 開富途
#9 US.LRCX Lam Research · Information Technology

+1.76%

P75+4.41% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn22.5% / 2.5% Score54.2 Opp4.119
View chart 開富途
#10 US.MRNA Moderna · Health Care

+1.55%

P75+3.25% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 7.5% Score81.1 Opp3.521
View chart 開富途
#11 US.HUM Humana · Health Care

+1.46%

P75+5.57% 上漲比65% Up/Dn27.5% / 2.5% Score69 Opp4.42
View chart 開富途
#12 US.AMAT Applied Materials · Information Technology

+1.35%

P75+5.15% 上漲比57.5% Up/Dn27.5% / 10% Score55.9 Opp3.057
View chart 開富途
#13 US.SOLV Solventum · Health Care

+1.30%

P75+3.05% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Score68 Opp3.423
View chart 開富途
#14 US.RVTY Revvity · Health Care

+1.05%

P75+4.06% 上漲比60% Up/Dn25% / 2.5% Score56.4 Opp3.138
View chart 開富途
#15 US.ANET Arista Networks · Information Technology

+0.86%

P75+5.13% 上漲比57.5% Up/Dn27.5% / 17.5% Score65.4 Opp2.183
View chart 開富途
#16 US.A Agilent Technologies · Health Care

+0.84%

P75+3.29% 上漲比65% Up/Dn10% / 0% Score64.8 Opp3.348
View chart 開富途
#17 US.HAL Halliburton · Energy

+0.72%

P75+2.72% 上漲比52.5% Up/Dn10% / 0% Score67.4 Opp2.105
View chart 開富途
#18 US.HPQ HP Inc. · Information Technology

+0.70%

P75+4.54% 上漲比55% Up/Dn25% / 7.5% Score49.7 Opp2.158
View chart 開富途
#19 US.MRVL Marvell Technology · Information Technology

+0.64%

P75+3.83% 上漲比55% Up/Dn22.5% / 7.5% Score58.1 Opp1.983
View chart 開富途
#20 US.GEV GE Vernova · Industrials

+0.63%

P75+3.32% 上漲比57.5% Up/Dn20% / 5% Score62.6 Opp2.23
View chart 開富途
#21 US.CBOE Cboe Global Markets · Financials

+0.61%

P75+2.96% 上漲比57.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 5% Score74.7 Opp2.21
View chart 開富途
#22 US.STX Seagate Technology · Information Technology

+0.46%

P75+7.12% 上漲比50% Up/Dn32.5% / 20% Score45.4 Opp1.381
View chart 開富途
#23 US.HPE Hewlett Packard Enterprise · Information Technology

+0.41%

P75+4.29% 上漲比52.5% Up/Dn20% / 7.5% Score51.1 Opp1.616
View chart 開富途
#24 US.AMD Advanced Micro Devices · Information Technology

+0.24%

P75+5.49% 上漲比52.5% Up/Dn25% / 7.5% Score55.3 Opp1.777
View chart 開富途
#25 US.SNDK Sandisk · Information Technology

+0.14%

P75+5.21% 上漲比52.5% Up/Dn25% / 10% Score41.4 Opp1.353
View chart 開富途
#26 US.VLO Valero Energy · Energy

+0.11%

P75+3.45% 上漲比52.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 7.5% Score84.4 Opp1.356
View chart 開富途
#27 US.CRL Charles River Laboratories · Health Care

+0.08%

P75+2.40% 上漲比52.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Score60.9 Opp1.187
View chart 開富途