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歷史相似情境研究排名

按歷史相似情境的中位升幅排序；僅供研究覆核，非買賣建議。

樣本 n=40 · horizon 3D · 預設篩選（中位＞0） · 中位＞0 · UP＞DN 10% · 已排除長期下跌

短期下跌版本

Research status

healthy · 2026-10-12

Computed at 2026年10月13日 上午7:48 HKT · Point-in-time safe

Filters

登入後可開啟每日投影機會電郵摘要

Projection candidates 19

Coverage 100.0%

Best DOE 3D n=40

As-of 2026-10-12

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-10-12
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-10-12
DOE window 2026-08-04 → 2026-10-06
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年10月13日 上午7:48 HKT
Rows 19
Excluded downtrends 27
Review DOE calibration
Stable Opp plateau n/a

Fold consensus below threshold; no stable plateau.

Opp study overview

Best plateau, hold, and rolling TP/SL

Snapshot from Opp study: walk-forward OOS stable Opp plateau, best fixed holding day, and top walk-forward TP/SL combo.

Opp study
Best stable plateau n/a

Fold consensus below threshold; no stable plateau.

Best holding day 10D

5+ · -1.22% ann. net · n=248

Rolling best TP/SL TP 6% / SL -3%

3 - 3.5 · +0.39% exp · 77D WF

Opp study rows 23,310 with outcomes

1,508 awaiting horizon End 2026-10-12

投影追蹤Lv1

窗口日曆

過去 5 個交易日

每日用同一套短期上升門檻（中位＞0 · UP＞DN · 排除長期下跌），按中位升幅排序；每欄顯示頭 8 檔。

投影追蹤Lv1

頭 8 共通 · 中位數 +1.7% · 上漲比 65% · Up−Dn +17.5 · 共 55 檔（去重）

已參與 — 檔

10-06

8/15
  1. #1 WDC 2日 中位+3.22% P75+8.53% 上漲比70% Up/Dn42.5%/12.5% 開富途
  2. #2 DDOG 中位+2.22% P75+5.59% 上漲比65% Up/Dn32.5%/13.8% 開富途
  3. #3 MPWR 中位+1.44% P75+5.01% 上漲比70% Up/Dn26.3%/11.3% 開富途
  4. #4 LRCX 中位+1.30% P75+4.80% 上漲比60% Up/Dn22.5%/12.5% 開富途
  5. #5 KLAC 3日 中位+1.18% P75+4.89% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn25%/7.5% 開富途
  6. #6 AMGN 中位+1.08% P75+3.08% 上漲比71.3% Up/Dn11.3%/1.3% 開富途
  7. #7 HPQ 3日 中位+1.07% P75+5.93% 上漲比60% Up/Dn30%/20% 開富途
  8. #8 JBL 2日 中位+1.00% P75+5.68% 上漲比58.8% Up/Dn28.8%/6.3% 開富途

10-07

8/19
  1. #1 AMD 3日 中位+4.13% P75+6.37% 上漲比77.5% Up/Dn40%/0% 開富途
  2. #2 KLAC 3日 中位+2.75% P75+5.59% 上漲比70% Up/Dn32.5%/15% 開富途
  3. #3 HPQ 3日 中位+2.71% P75+5.89% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn32.5%/5% 開富途
  4. #4 STX 中位+2.19% P75+6.60% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn27.5%/7.5% 開富途
  5. #5 QCOM 中位+2.01% P75+8.36% 上漲比60% Up/Dn35%/5% 開富途
  6. #6 WDC 2日 中位+1.89% P75+6.79% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn35%/12.5% 開富途
  7. #7 DVA 2日 中位+1.69% P75+4.20% 上漲比65% Up/Dn15%/5% 開富途
  8. #8 HUM 中位+1.64% P75+4.49% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn20%/2.5% 開富途

10-08

8/17
  1. #1 MU 中位+2.71% P75+6.04% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn32.5%/17.5% 開富途
  2. #2 MCHP 2日 中位+2.40% P75+6.95% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn32.5%/7.5% 開富途
  3. #3 KLAC 3日 中位+2.10% P75+5.89% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn30%/12.5% 開富途
  4. #4 DVA 2日 中位+1.67% P75+3.47% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn10%/0% 開富途
  5. #5 DELL 中位+1.44% P75+5.89% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn27.5%/17.5% 開富途
  6. #6 NTAP 2日 中位+1.16% P75+5.03% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn27.5%/7.5% 開富途
  7. #7 GILD 2日 中位+1.15% P75+3.94% 上漲比70% Up/Dn15%/0% 開富途
  8. #8 MRNA 中位+1.07% P75+3.58% 上漲比65% Up/Dn17.5%/5% 開富途

10-09

8/21
  1. #1 INTC 2日 中位+3.14% P75+11.83% 上漲比65% Up/Dn37.5%/7.5% 開富途
  2. #2 SNDK 2日 中位+1.98% P75+10.21% 上漲比65% Up/Dn35%/10% 開富途
  3. #3 HPE 2日 中位+1.92% P75+5.31% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn27.5%/12.5% 開富途
  4. #4 MCHP 2日 中位+1.89% P75+5.07% 上漲比55% Up/Dn25%/2.5% 開富途
  5. #5 LITE 2日 中位+1.85% P75+4.57% 上漲比60% Up/Dn22.5%/7.5% 開富途
  6. #6 NTAP 2日 中位+1.73% P75+5.83% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn35%/10% 開富途
  7. #7 AMD 3日 中位+1.68% P75+4.69% 上漲比65% Up/Dn22.5%/7.5% 開富途
  8. #8 JBL 2日 中位+1.51% P75+5.38% 上漲比60% Up/Dn30%/20% 開富途

10-12

8/19
  1. #1 INTC 2日 中位+2.65% P75+10.67% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn37.5%/10% 開富途
  2. #2 SNDK 2日 中位+2.49% P75+5.17% 上漲比65% Up/Dn25%/15% 開富途
  3. #3 HPE 2日 中位+2.29% P75+4.32% 上漲比60% Up/Dn20%/5% 開富途
  4. #4 HPQ 3日 中位+1.94% P75+4.83% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn25%/5% 開富途
  5. #5 LITE 2日 中位+1.48% P75+5.90% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn35%/15% 開富途
  6. #6 EW 中位+1.44% P75+3.94% 上漲比75% Up/Dn12.5%/0% 開富途
  7. #7 GILD 2日 中位+1.36% P75+2.91% 上漲比65% Up/Dn10%/0% 開富途
  8. #8 AMD 3日 中位+1.09% P75+7.06% 上漲比60% Up/Dn30%/7.5% 開富途

Top opportunities

Top 5 quick look

  1. #1 US.INTC P75+10.67% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn37.5% / 10% Opp6.05 開富途
  2. #2 US.SNDK P75+5.17% 上漲比65% Up/Dn25% / 15% Opp4.454 開富途
  3. #3 US.HPE P75+4.32% 上漲比60% Up/Dn20% / 5% Opp4.364 開富途
  4. #4 US.HPQ P75+4.83% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn25% / 5% Opp4.211 開富途
  5. #5 US.LITE P75+5.90% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn35% / 15% Opp3.944 開富途

Upside leaders

Ranking notes

按歷史相似情境的中位升幅排序，其後才看 P75 與 Up−Dn；不是按機會分數。

預設要求中位回報嚴格大於 0。

Default filter active: UP＞DN 10% (Up5 − Down5 ≥ 10pp).

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by median upside, then P75, then Up−Dn.

以下排名來自已存檔歷史統計，不是交易建議；請自行判斷並留意樣本數、篩選狀態與 gross/net 假設。

Long-term downtrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending down, below long MA with deep 60D drawdown, or 120D decline below long MA.

#1 US.INTC Intel · Information Technology

+2.65%

P75+10.67% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn37.5% / 10% Score44.3 Opp6.05
View chart 開富途
#2 US.SNDK Sandisk · Information Technology

+2.49%

P75+5.17% 上漲比65% Up/Dn25% / 15% Score49.5 Opp4.454
View chart 開富途
#3 US.HPE Hewlett Packard Enterprise · Information Technology

+2.29%

P75+4.32% 上漲比60% Up/Dn20% / 5% Score65.9 Opp4.364
View chart 開富途
#4 US.HPQ HP Inc. · Information Technology

+1.94%

P75+4.83% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn25% / 5% Score48.5 Opp4.211
View chart 開富途
#5 US.LITE Lumentum · Information Technology

+1.48%

P75+5.90% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn35% / 15% Score65.2 Opp3.944
View chart 開富途
#6 US.EW Edwards Lifesciences · Health Care

+1.44%

P75+3.94% 上漲比75% Up/Dn12.5% / 0% Score51.4 Opp4.81
View chart 開富途
#7 US.GILD Gilead Sciences · Health Care

+1.36%

P75+2.91% 上漲比65% Up/Dn10% / 0% Score65.1 Opp3.776
View chart 開富途
#8 US.AMD Advanced Micro Devices · Information Technology

+1.09%

P75+7.06% 上漲比60% Up/Dn30% / 7.5% Score56.3 Opp3.627
View chart 開富途
#9 US.URI United Rentals · Industrials

+0.99%

P75+3.01% 上漲比52.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Score63.4 Opp2.268
View chart 開富途
#10 US.PH Parker Hannifin · Industrials

+0.94%

P75+2.48% 上漲比60% Up/Dn12.5% / 0% Score61.1 Opp2.818
View chart 開富途
#11 US.DRI Darden Restaurants · Consumer Discretionary

+0.91%

P75+2.32% 上漲比60% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Score51.6 Opp2.527
View chart 開富途
#12 US.HUM Humana · Health Care

+0.83%

P75+4.79% 上漲比57.5% Up/Dn22.5% / 2.5% Score72.6 Opp3.022
View chart 開富途
#13 US.CAH Cardinal Health · Health Care

+0.80%

P75+2.35% 上漲比60% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Score64.4 Opp2.521
View chart 開富途
#14 US.TER Teradyne · Information Technology

+0.62%

P75+4.03% 上漲比55% Up/Dn20% / 5% Score56.4 Opp2.15
View chart 開富途
#15 US.NVDA Nvidia · Information Technology

+0.57%

P75+3.08% 上漲比60% Up/Dn15% / 5% Score58 Opp2.275
View chart 開富途
#16 US.KLAC KLA Corporation · Information Technology

+0.50%

P75+4.69% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn22.5% / 10% Score63.6 Opp2.55
View chart 開富途
#17 US.LRCX Lam Research · Information Technology

+0.42%

P75+4.38% 上漲比60% Up/Dn22.5% / 7.5% Score57.4 Opp2.296
View chart 開富途
#18 US.VTRS Viatris · Health Care

+0.30%

P75+2.15% 上漲比52.5% Up/Dn15% / 5% Score59 Opp1.18
View chart 開富途
#19 US.A Agilent Technologies · Health Care

+0.09%

P75+2.02% 上漲比50% Up/Dn10% / 0% Score63 Opp1.068
View chart 開富途