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歷史相似情境研究排名

按歷史相似情境的中位升幅排序；僅供研究覆核，非買賣建議。

樣本 n=80 · horizon 3D · 預設篩選（中位＞0） · 中位＞0 · UP＞DN 10% · 已排除長期下跌

短期下跌版本

Research status

healthy · 2026-10-06

Computed at 2026年10月7日 上午7:46 HKT · Point-in-time safe

Filters

登入後可開啟每日投影機會電郵摘要

Projection candidates 15

Coverage 100.0%

Best DOE 3D n=80

As-of 2026-10-06

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-10-06
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-10-06
DOE window 2026-07-29 → 2026-10-01
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年10月7日 上午7:46 HKT
Rows 15
Excluded downtrends 12
Review DOE calibration
Buy band (stable Opp plateau) 3.7–4.3

OOS n=597 Median 0.06%

Opp study overview

Best plateau, hold, and rolling TP/SL

Snapshot from Opp study: walk-forward OOS stable Opp plateau, best fixed holding day, and top walk-forward TP/SL combo.

Opp study
Best stable plateau 3.7–4.3

+0.06% OOS median · n=597

Best holding day 3D

4 - 4.5 · +21.88% ann. net · n=429

Rolling best TP/SL TP 9% / SL -5%

4 - 4.5 · +0.26% exp · 62D WF

Opp study rows 24,416 with outcomes

1,507 awaiting horizon End 2026-10-06

投影追蹤Lv1

窗口日曆

過去 5 個交易日

每日用同一套短期上升門檻（中位＞0 · UP＞DN · 排除長期下跌），按中位升幅排序；每欄顯示頭 8 檔。

投影追蹤Lv1

頭 8 共通 · 中位數 +1.2% · 上漲比 61.9% · Up−Dn +14.7 · 共 49 檔（去重）

已參與 — 檔

09-30

8/15
  1. #1 FFIV 中位+2.63% P75+4.89% 上漲比70% Up/Dn22.5%/10% 開富途
  2. #2 SNDK 3日 中位+2.42% P75+4.89% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn25%/10% 開富途
  3. #3 DELL 2日 中位+2.39% P75+8.40% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn32.5%/15% 開富途
  4. #4 GLW 中位+1.56% P75+6.17% 上漲比57.5% Up/Dn32.5%/15% 開富途
  5. #5 RVTY 中位+1.41% P75+4.42% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn22.5%/2.5% 開富途
  6. #6 WDC 4日 中位+1.19% P75+5.34% 上漲比60% Up/Dn27.5%/10% 開富途
  7. #7 QCOM 2日 中位+1.12% P75+5.99% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn27.5%/7.5% 開富途
  8. #8 DXCM 中位+0.76% P75+3.17% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn15%/2.5% 開富途

10-01

8/14
  1. #1 QCOM 2日 中位+2.70% P75+5.61% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn27.5%/7.5% 開富途
  2. #2 SNDK 3日 中位+2.67% P75+5.22% 上漲比70% Up/Dn30%/10% 開富途
  3. #3 WDC 4日 中位+2.37% P75+4.34% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn22.5%/10% 開富途
  4. #4 MPWR 2日 中位+1.86% P75+4.46% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn22.5%/2.5% 開富途
  5. #5 IEX 中位+1.25% P75+2.94% 上漲比60% Up/Dn12.5%/0% 開富途
  6. #6 FTNT 中位+1.11% P75+4.16% 上漲比70% Up/Dn20%/2.5% 開富途
  7. #7 DELL 2日 中位+1.08% P75+9.60% 上漲比50% Up/Dn37.5%/20% 開富途
  8. #8 PANW 2日 中位+0.68% P75+4.67% 上漲比57.5% Up/Dn25%/12.5% 開富途

10-02

8/11
  1. #1 SNDK 3日 中位+1.19% P75+5.59% 上漲比55% Up/Dn27.5%/12.5% 開富途
  2. #2 DDOG 2日 中位+1.03% P75+4.90% 上漲比60% Up/Dn25%/15% 開富途
  3. #3 CF 2日 中位+0.99% P75+5.00% 上漲比57.5% Up/Dn25%/2.5% 開富途
  4. #4 GNRC 中位+0.85% P75+4.48% 上漲比57.5% Up/Dn25%/7.5% 開富途
  5. #5 CVX 2日 中位+0.83% P75+2.95% 上漲比60% Up/Dn15%/5% 開富途
  6. #6 MCHP 中位+0.70% P75+4.00% 上漲比60% Up/Dn20%/10% 開富途
  7. #7 ELV 中位+0.55% P75+3.35% 上漲比55% Up/Dn10%/0% 開富途
  8. #8 MAR 中位+0.51% P75+2.03% 上漲比55% Up/Dn15%/2.5% 開富途

10-05

8/16
  1. #1 WDC 4日 中位+2.33% P75+6.01% 上漲比57.5% Up/Dn30%/10% 開富途
  2. #2 AMD 中位+1.78% P75+4.54% 上漲比65% Up/Dn22.5%/10% 開富途
  3. #3 PANW 2日 中位+1.63% P75+5.14% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn25%/10% 開富途
  4. #4 TECH 中位+1.32% P75+3.45% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn12.5%/2.5% 開富途
  5. #5 CVX 2日 中位+1.24% P75+3.49% 上漲比57.5% Up/Dn15%/2.5% 開富途
  6. #6 CF 2日 中位+1.23% P75+4.95% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn20%/7.5% 開富途
  7. #7 VRSN 中位+1.17% P75+5.15% 上漲比65% Up/Dn27.5%/7.5% 開富途
  8. #8 MRNA 中位+1.13% P75+4.91% 上漲比57.5% Up/Dn25%/5% 開富途

10-06

8/15
  1. #1 WDC 4日 中位+3.22% P75+8.53% 上漲比70% Up/Dn42.5%/12.5% 開富途
  2. #2 DDOG 2日 中位+2.22% P75+5.59% 上漲比65% Up/Dn32.5%/13.8% 開富途
  3. #3 MPWR 2日 中位+1.44% P75+5.01% 上漲比70% Up/Dn26.3%/11.3% 開富途
  4. #4 LRCX 中位+1.30% P75+4.80% 上漲比60% Up/Dn22.5%/12.5% 開富途
  5. #5 KLAC 中位+1.18% P75+4.89% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn25%/7.5% 開富途
  6. #6 AMGN 中位+1.08% P75+3.08% 上漲比71.3% Up/Dn11.3%/1.3% 開富途
  7. #7 HPQ 中位+1.07% P75+5.93% 上漲比60% Up/Dn30%/20% 開富途
  8. #8 JBL 中位+1.00% P75+5.68% 上漲比58.8% Up/Dn28.8%/6.3% 開富途

Top opportunities

Top 5 quick look

  1. #1 US.WDC P75+8.53% 上漲比70% Up/Dn42.5% / 12.5% Opp6.554 開富途
  2. #2 US.DDOG P75+5.59% 上漲比65% Up/Dn32.5% / 13.8% Opp4.506 開富途
  3. #3 US.MPWR P75+5.01% 上漲比70% Up/Dn26.3% / 11.3% Opp4.164 開富途
  4. #4 US.LRCX P75+4.80% 上漲比60% Up/Dn22.5% / 12.5% Opp3.085 開富途
  5. #5 US.KLAC P75+4.89% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn25% / 7.5% Opp3.899 開富途

Upside leaders

Ranking notes

按歷史相似情境的中位升幅排序，其後才看 P75 與 Up−Dn；不是按機會分數。

預設要求中位回報嚴格大於 0。

Default filter active: UP＞DN 10% (Up5 − Down5 ≥ 10pp).

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by median upside, then P75, then Up−Dn.

以下排名來自已存檔歷史統計，不是交易建議；請自行判斷並留意樣本數、篩選狀態與 gross/net 假設。

Long-term downtrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending down, below long MA with deep 60D drawdown, or 120D decline below long MA.

#1 US.WDC Western Digital · Information Technology

+3.22%

P75+8.53% 上漲比70% Up/Dn42.5% / 12.5% Score46.8 Opp6.554
View chart 開富途
#2 US.DDOG Datadog · Information Technology

+2.22%

P75+5.59% 上漲比65% Up/Dn32.5% / 13.8% Score68.9 Opp4.506
View chart 開富途
#3 US.MPWR Monolithic Power Systems · Information Technology

+1.44%

P75+5.01% 上漲比70% Up/Dn26.3% / 11.3% Score73.2 Opp4.164
View chart 開富途
#4 US.LRCX Lam Research · Information Technology

+1.30%

P75+4.80% 上漲比60% Up/Dn22.5% / 12.5% Score71.4 Opp3.085
View chart 開富途
#5 US.KLAC KLA Corporation · Information Technology

+1.18%

P75+4.89% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn25% / 7.5% Score72.8 Opp3.899
View chart 開富途
#6 US.AMGN Amgen · Health Care

+1.08%

P75+3.08% 上漲比71.3% Up/Dn11.3% / 1.3% Score65.9 Opp3.97
View chart 開富途
#7 US.HPQ HP Inc. · Information Technology

+1.07%

P75+5.93% 上漲比60% Up/Dn30% / 20% Score63.1 Opp2.626
View chart 開富途
#8 US.JBL Jabil · Information Technology

+1.00%

P75+5.68% 上漲比58.8% Up/Dn28.8% / 6.3% Score58.4 Opp3.184
View chart 開富途
#9 US.KEYS Keysight Technologies · Information Technology

+0.99%

P75+4.27% 上漲比58.8% Up/Dn20% / 6.3% Score75.4 Opp2.949
View chart 開富途
#10 US.SNDK Sandisk · Information Technology

+0.98%

P75+4.34% 上漲比55% Up/Dn23.8% / 12.5% Score53.2 Opp2.114
View chart 開富途
#11 US.INTC Intel · Information Technology

+0.87%

P75+5.82% 上漲比56.3% Up/Dn28.8% / 7.5% Score55.3 Opp2.794
View chart 開富途
#12 US.TRGP Targa Resources · Energy

+0.70%

P75+2.86% 上漲比56.3% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Score70.5 Opp2.298
View chart 開富途
#13 US.GNRC Generac · Industrials

+0.56%

P75+3.92% 上漲比53.8% Up/Dn17.5% / 6.3% Score65.6 Opp1.958
View chart 開富途
#14 US.CVX Chevron Corporation · Energy

+0.52%

P75+2.89% 上漲比52.5% Up/Dn13.8% / 2.5% Score70.3 Opp1.82
View chart 開富途
#15 US.STX Seagate Technology · Information Technology

+0.49%

P75+5.52% 上漲比52.5% Up/Dn27.5% / 16.3% Score59.8 Opp1.54
View chart 開富途