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歷史相似情境研究排名

按歷史相似情境的中位升幅排序；僅供研究覆核，非買賣建議。

樣本 n=40 · horizon 3D · 預設篩選（中位＞0） · 中位＞0 · UP＞DN 10% · 已排除長期下跌

短期下跌版本

Research status

healthy · 2026-09-25

Computed at 2026年9月28日 上午7:45 HKT · Point-in-time safe

Filters

登入後可開啟每日投影機會電郵摘要

Projection candidates 26

Coverage 100.0%

Best DOE 3D n=40

As-of 2026-09-25

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-09-25
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-09-25
DOE window 2026-07-20 → 2026-09-21
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年9月28日 上午7:45 HKT
Rows 26
Excluded downtrends 26
Review DOE calibration
Buy band (stable Opp plateau) 3.4–3.9

OOS n=638 Median 0.01%

Opp study overview

Best plateau, hold, and rolling TP/SL

Snapshot from Opp study: walk-forward OOS stable Opp plateau, best fixed holding day, and top walk-forward TP/SL combo.

Opp study
Best stable plateau 3.4–3.9

+0.01% OOS median · n=638

Best holding day 5D

3.5 - 4 · +0.54% ann. net · n=702

Rolling best TP/SL TP 7% / SL -5%

3 - 3.5 · +0.3% exp · 77D WF

Opp study rows 25,537 with outcomes

1,508 awaiting horizon End 2026-09-25

投影追蹤Lv1

窗口日曆

過去 5 個交易日

每日用同一套短期上升門檻（中位＞0 · UP＞DN · 排除長期下跌），按中位升幅排序；每欄顯示頭 8 檔。

投影追蹤Lv1

頭 8 共通 · 中位數 +2.1% · 上漲比 70.6% · Up−Dn +16.7 · 共 82 檔（去重）

已參與 — 檔

09-21

8/27
  1. #1 SLB 4日 中位+1.90% P75+4.33% 上漲比63.3% Up/Dn21.7%/5.8% 開富途
  2. #2 STLD 3日 中位+1.84% P75+4.26% 上漲比61.7% Up/Dn17.5%/6.7% 開富途
  3. #3 FANG 3日 中位+1.74% P75+4.11% 上漲比69.2% Up/Dn20%/0.8% 開富途
  4. #4 CF 中位+1.71% P75+4.56% 上漲比65% Up/Dn17.5%/5.8% 開富途
  5. #5 BKR 中位+1.44% P75+4.03% 上漲比64.2% Up/Dn19.2%/3.3% 開富途
  6. #6 CNC 中位+1.28% P75+3.69% 上漲比65% Up/Dn21.7%/4.2% 開富途
  7. #7 BG 中位+1.24% P75+4.07% 上漲比65% Up/Dn15%/1.7% 開富途
  8. #8 WMB 3日 中位+1.23% P75+3.84% 上漲比64.2% Up/Dn16.7%/3.3% 開富途

09-22

8/37
  1. #1 HAL 4日 中位+3.08% P75+5.07% 上漲比77.5% Up/Dn30%/2.5% 開富途
  2. #2 STLD 3日 中位+2.89% P75+4.58% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn17.5%/2.5% 開富途
  3. #3 EOG 3日 中位+2.78% P75+4.82% 上漲比75% Up/Dn25%/2.5% 開富途
  4. #4 CVX 中位+2.73% P75+4.73% 上漲比77.5% Up/Dn25%/2.5% 開富途
  5. #5 DVN 中位+2.36% P75+4.07% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn22.5%/2.5% 開富途
  6. #6 WMB 3日 中位+2.09% P75+4.03% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn17.5%/2.5% 開富途
  7. #7 HUM 中位+2.07% P75+5.38% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn27.5%/0% 開富途
  8. #8 SLB 4日 中位+2.07% P75+4.14% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn22.5%/7.5% 開富途

09-23

8/40
  1. #1 EOG 3日 中位+3.08% P75+4.82% 上漲比77.5% Up/Dn25%/2.5% 開富途
  2. #2 STLD 3日 中位+2.89% P75+4.56% 上漲比75% Up/Dn15%/5% 開富途
  3. #3 COP 3日 中位+2.65% P75+4.38% 上漲比77.5% Up/Dn22.5%/2.5% 開富途
  4. #4 OXY 2日 中位+2.62% P75+4.73% 上漲比80% Up/Dn25%/2.5% 開富途
  5. #5 HAL 4日 中位+2.34% P75+3.79% 上漲比77.5% Up/Dn20%/2.5% 開富途
  6. #6 SLB 4日 中位+2.26% P75+4.14% 上漲比70% Up/Dn25%/5% 開富途
  7. #7 FANG 3日 中位+2.11% P75+3.23% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn15%/5% 開富途
  8. #8 OKE 2日 中位+2.00% P75+3.98% 上漲比65% Up/Dn17.5%/5% 開富途

09-24

8/28
  1. #1 MPC 中位+2.44% P75+4.78% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn22.5%/12.5% 開富途
  2. #2 COP 3日 中位+2.42% P75+4.38% 上漲比80% Up/Dn22.5%/2.5% 開富途
  3. #3 HAL 4日 中位+2.34% P75+4.04% 上漲比75% Up/Dn17.5%/2.5% 開富途
  4. #4 OKE 2日 中位+2.30% P75+3.84% 上漲比80% Up/Dn17.5%/2.5% 開富途
  5. #5 EOG 3日 中位+2.28% P75+4.07% 上漲比80% Up/Dn22.5%/0% 開富途
  6. #6 FANG 3日 中位+2.26% P75+3.28% 上漲比70% Up/Dn17.5%/7.5% 開富途
  7. #7 LITE 中位+2.23% P75+5.43% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn27.5%/7.5% 開富途
  8. #8 SLB 4日 中位+2.16% P75+4.73% 上漲比75% Up/Dn25%/2.5% 開富途

09-25

8/26
  1. #1 HAL 4日 中位+2.62% P75+4.87% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn25%/2.5% 開富途
  2. #2 OXY 2日 中位+2.09% P75+4.16% 上漲比75% Up/Dn20%/2.5% 開富途
  3. #3 COHR 中位+1.74% P75+4.66% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn22.5%/5% 開富途
  4. #4 LH 中位+1.67% P75+3.35% 上漲比70% Up/Dn10%/0% 開富途
  5. #5 PSX 中位+1.63% P75+5.12% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn27.5%/12.5% 開富途
  6. #6 APA 中位+1.63% P75+3.81% 上漲比70% Up/Dn22.5%/10% 開富途
  7. #7 WMB 3日 中位+1.59% P75+3.56% 上漲比75% Up/Dn17.5%/2.5% 開富途
  8. #8 COP 3日 中位+1.54% P75+4.60% 上漲比70% Up/Dn22.5%/2.5% 開富途

Top opportunities

Top 5 quick look

  1. #1 US.HAL P75+4.87% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn25% / 2.5% Opp5.845 開富途
  2. #2 US.OXY P75+4.16% 上漲比75% Up/Dn20% / 2.5% Opp5.344 開富途
  3. #3 US.COHR P75+4.66% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn22.5% / 5% Opp4.44 開富途
  4. #4 US.LH P75+3.35% 上漲比70% Up/Dn10% / 0% Opp4.482 開富途
  5. #5 US.PSX P75+5.12% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn27.5% / 12.5% Opp4.367 開富途

Upside leaders

Ranking notes

按歷史相似情境的中位升幅排序，其後才看 P75 與 Up−Dn；不是按機會分數。

預設要求中位回報嚴格大於 0。

Default filter active: UP＞DN 10% (Up5 − Down5 ≥ 10pp).

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by median upside, then P75, then Up−Dn.

以下排名來自已存檔歷史統計，不是交易建議；請自行判斷並留意樣本數、篩選狀態與 gross/net 假設。

Long-term downtrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending down, below long MA with deep 60D drawdown, or 120D decline below long MA.

#1 US.HAL Halliburton · Energy

+2.62%

P75+4.87% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn25% / 2.5% Score47.6 Opp5.845
View chart 開富途
#2 US.OXY Occidental Petroleum · Energy

+2.09%

P75+4.16% 上漲比75% Up/Dn20% / 2.5% Score48.5 Opp5.344
View chart 開富途
#3 US.COHR Coherent Corp. · Information Technology

+1.74%

P75+4.66% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn22.5% / 5% Score58 Opp4.44
View chart 開富途
#4 US.LH Labcorp · Health Care

+1.67%

P75+3.35% 上漲比70% Up/Dn10% / 0% Score49.9 Opp4.482
View chart 開富途
#5 US.PSX Phillips 66 · Energy

+1.63%

P75+5.12% 上漲比72.5% Up/Dn27.5% / 12.5% Score54.3 Opp4.367
View chart 開富途
#6 US.APA APA Corporation · Energy

+1.63%

P75+3.81% 上漲比70% Up/Dn22.5% / 10% Score53.1 Opp3.981
View chart 開富途
#7 US.WMB Williams Companies · Energy

+1.59%

P75+3.56% 上漲比75% Up/Dn17.5% / 2.5% Score50.9 Opp4.712
View chart 開富途
#8 US.COP ConocoPhillips · Energy

+1.54%

P75+4.60% 上漲比70% Up/Dn22.5% / 2.5% Score48.2 Opp4.502
View chart 開富途
#9 US.DGX Quest Diagnostics · Health Care

+1.52%

P75+3.77% 上漲比65% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Score58 Opp3.948
View chart 開富途
#10 US.EOG EOG Resources · Energy

+1.52%

P75+3.56% 上漲比75% Up/Dn17.5% / 2.5% Score51 Opp4.643
View chart 開富途
#11 US.SOLV Solventum · Health Care

+1.34%

P75+4.35% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Score67 Opp3.78
View chart 開富途
#12 US.Q Qnity Electronics · Information Technology

+1.33%

P75+3.61% 上漲比60% Up/Dn22.5% / 12.5% Score74 Opp2.838
View chart 開富途
#13 US.CNC Centene Corporation · Health Care

+1.23%

P75+4.06% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn22.5% / 2.5% Score48.8 Opp3.861
View chart 開富途
#14 US.SW Smurfit Westrock · Materials

+1.16%

P75+3.85% 上漲比57.5% Up/Dn20% / 10% Score66.7 Opp2.623
View chart 開富途
#15 US.DELL Dell Technologies · Information Technology

+0.98%

P75+5.66% 上漲比55% Up/Dn27.5% / 10% Score52.6 Opp2.589
View chart 開富途
#16 US.SLB Schlumberger · Energy

+0.94%

P75+3.24% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn15% / 5% Score52 Opp2.84
View chart 開富途
#17 US.WDC Western Digital · Information Technology

+0.84%

P75+4.55% 上漲比65% Up/Dn25% / 15% Score66.2 Opp2.774
View chart 開富途
#18 US.BKR Baker Hughes · Energy

+0.78%

P75+2.91% 上漲比57.5% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Score53.1 Opp2.356
View chart 開富途
#19 US.DG Dollar General · Consumer Staples

+0.70%

P75+2.94% 上漲比55% Up/Dn10% / 0% Score55.4 Opp2.25
View chart 開富途
#20 US.MU Micron Technology · Information Technology

+0.66%

P75+4.68% 上漲比60% Up/Dn20% / 10% Score79 Opp2.622
View chart 開富途
#21 US.INCY Incyte · Health Care

+0.56%

P75+3.02% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn10% / 0% Score57.2 Opp2.744
View chart 開富途
#22 US.HUM Humana · Health Care

+0.49%

P75+3.52% 上漲比57.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 5% Score77.7 Opp2.253
View chart 開富途
#23 US.ANET Arista Networks · Information Technology

+0.46%

P75+4.35% 上漲比55% Up/Dn20% / 10% Score75.2 Opp1.911
View chart 開富途
#24 US.WST West Pharmaceutical Services · Health Care

+0.36%

P75+2.35% 上漲比55% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Score67.4 Opp1.703
View chart 開富途
#25 US.DVA DaVita · Health Care

+0.34%

P75+3.44% 上漲比55% Up/Dn17.5% / 0% Score46.8 Opp1.951
View chart 開富途
#26 US.CSCO Cisco · Information Technology

+0.20%

P75+3.89% 上漲比52.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 0% Score48.5 Opp1.736
View chart 開富途