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歷史相似情境研究排名

依 DOE 校準的歷史相似 setup 統計排序；僅供研究覆核，非買賣建議。

樣本 n=80 · horizon 3D · 自訂篩選生效 · UP＞DN 10% · 已排除長期下跌

以下排名來自已存檔歷史統計，不是交易建議；請自行判斷並留意樣本數、篩選狀態與 gross/net 假設。

Research status

healthy · 2026-09-09

Computed at 2026年9月10日 上午7:47 HKT · Point-in-time safe

Projection candidates 15

Coverage 100.0%

Best DOE 3D n=80

As-of 2026-09-09

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-09-09
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-09-09
DOE window 2026-07-06 → 2026-09-03
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年9月10日 上午7:47 HKT
Rows 15
Excluded downtrends 13
Review DOE calibration
Stable Opp plateau 3.2–3.7

OOS n=651 Median 0.11%

Opp study overview

Best plateau, hold, and rolling TP/SL

Snapshot from Opp study: walk-forward OOS stable Opp plateau, best fixed holding day, and top walk-forward TP/SL combo.

Opp study
Best stable plateau 3.2–3.7

+0.11% OOS median · n=651

Best holding day 3D

3 - 3.5 · +27.76% ann. net · n=1112

Rolling best TP/SL TP 9% / SL -4%

3 - 3.5 · +0.34% exp · 72D WF

Opp study rows 26,315 with outcomes

1,507 awaiting horizon End 2026-09-09

5-day calendar

過去 5 個交易日

每日套用與本頁相同篩選；列出當日全部入榜標的（非僅 Top 5）。

共 42 檔（去重） 已參與 — 檔

2026-09-02

17 檔
  1. #1 CFG P75+3.46% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn18.8% / 1.3% Opp3.675 開富途
  2. #2 RF P75+3.32% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn16.3% / 0% Opp3.662 開富途
  3. #3 HLT P75+3.18% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Opp3.644 開富途
  4. #4 STX P75+5.88% 上漲比61.3% Up/Dn27.5% / 12.5% Opp3.616 開富途
  5. #5 PFG P75+2.95% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn20% / 0% Opp3.514 開富途
  6. #6 SYY P75+2.95% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Opp3.474 開富途
  7. #7 ACGL P75+3.04% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 0% Opp3.416 開富途
  8. #8 BDX P75+3.04% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn12.5% / 2.5% Opp3.367 開富途
  9. #9 NTRS P75+3.06% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn11.3% / 1.3% Opp3.354 開富途
  10. #10 AFL P75+3.04% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn11.3% / 1.3% Opp3.345 開富途
  11. #11 MTB P75+3.01% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn17.5% / 0% Opp3.335 開富途
  12. #12 TFC P75+2.87% 上漲比65% Up/Dn13.8% / 0% Opp3.323 開富途
  13. #13 MRVL P75+5.65% 上漲比60% Up/Dn26.3% / 7.5% Opp3.316 開富途
  14. #14 L P75+3.63% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn20% / 2.5% Opp3.28 開富途
  15. #15 GLW P75+5.49% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn28.8% / 12.5% Opp3.225 開富途
  16. #16 MS P75+3.20% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn15% / 2.5% Opp3.221 開富途
  17. #17 PNC P75+3.32% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn17.5% / 2.5% Opp3.208 開富途

2026-09-08

8 檔
  1. #1 TRV P75+3.33% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn11.3% / 1.3% Opp3.563 開富途
  2. #2 TFC P75+2.91% 上漲比63.8% Up/Dn11.3% / 0% Opp3.545 開富途
  3. #3 TECH P75+3.37% 上漲比65% Up/Dn16.3% / 1.3% Opp3.533 開富途
  4. #4 TROW P75+2.82% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn13.8% / 1.3% Opp3.488 開富途
  5. #5 MTB P75+2.86% 上漲比65% Up/Dn12.5% / 0% Opp3.46 開富途
  6. #6 EG P75+2.62% 上漲比65% Up/Dn13.8% / 0% Opp3.293 開富途
  7. #7 LLY P75+3.85% 上漲比63.8% Up/Dn20% / 2.5% Opp3.281 開富途
  8. #8 COO P75+3.63% 上漲比58.8% Up/Dn18.8% / 0% Opp3.204 開富途

2026-09-09

15 檔
  1. #1 BEN P75+3.02% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn13.8% / 1.3% Opp3.695 開富途
  2. #2 BIIB P75+4.07% 上漲比63.8% Up/Dn20% / 3.8% Opp3.564 開富途
  3. #3 TRGP P75+3.66% 上漲比65% Up/Dn13.8% / 3.8% Opp3.558 開富途
  4. #4 MTB P75+3.32% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn17.5% / 1.3% Opp3.492 開富途
  5. #5 BNY P75+2.91% 上漲比63.8% Up/Dn11.3% / 0% Opp3.476 開富途
  6. #6 KEY P75+3.15% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn17.5% / 1.3% Opp3.475 開富途
  7. #7 AMP P75+2.70% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn15% / 1.3% Opp3.459 開富途
  8. #8 MET P75+2.74% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 1.3% Opp3.448 開富途
  9. #9 RF P75+3.15% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn15% / 1.3% Opp3.444 開富途
  10. #10 SLB P75+3.96% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 2.5% Opp3.409 開富途
  11. #11 A P75+4.07% 上漲比63.8% Up/Dn21.3% / 2.5% Opp3.404 開富途
  12. #12 FITB P75+3.32% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 1.3% Opp3.387 開富途
  13. #13 CF P75+4.67% 上漲比61.3% Up/Dn22.5% / 7.5% Opp3.373 開富途
  14. #14 MS P75+3.28% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn15% / 3.8% Opp3.261 開富途
  15. #15 ZBRA P75+5.91% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn27.5% / 17.5% Opp3.255 開富途

Top opportunities

Top 5 quick look

  1. #1 US.BEN P75+3.02% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn13.8% / 1.3% Opp3.695 開富途
  2. #2 US.BIIB P75+4.07% 上漲比63.8% Up/Dn20% / 3.8% Opp3.564 開富途
  3. #3 US.TRGP P75+3.66% 上漲比65% Up/Dn13.8% / 3.8% Opp3.558 開富途
  4. #4 US.MTB 研究門檻符合 P75+3.32% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn17.5% / 1.3% Opp3.492 開富途
  5. #5 US.BNY P75+2.91% 上漲比63.8% Up/Dn11.3% / 0% Opp3.476 開富途

Upside leaders

Ranking notes

依機會分數排序：歷史相似情境中位回報、P75 上檔、歷史相似情境上漲比例、下行風險與評分質素。

Auto Opp band from Opp study best stable plateau: 3.2–3.7 (half-open upper bound). Clear Min/Max Opp and apply to show all.

Default filter active: UP＞DN 10% (Up5 − Down5 ≥ 10pp).

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by median upside, win rate, and score quality.

Long-term downtrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending down, below long MA with deep 60D drawdown, or 120D decline below long MA.

#1 US.BEN Franklin Resources · Financials

+1.15%

P75+3.02% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn13.8% / 1.3% Score62.4 Opp3.695
View chart 開富途
#2 US.BIIB Biogen · Health Care

+1.31%

P75+4.07% 上漲比63.8% Up/Dn20% / 3.8% Score48.1 Opp3.564
View chart 開富途
#3 US.TRGP Targa Resources · Energy

+1.27%

P75+3.66% 上漲比65% Up/Dn13.8% / 3.8% Score53.5 Opp3.558
View chart 開富途
#4 US.MTB M&T Bank · Financials

+0.83%

P75+3.32% 上漲比68.8% Up/Dn17.5% / 1.3% Score54.2 Opp3.492
View chart 開富途
#5 US.BNY BNY Mellon · Financials

+1.15%

P75+2.91% 上漲比63.8% Up/Dn11.3% / 0% Score66 Opp3.476
View chart 開富途
#6 US.KEY KeyCorp · Financials

+1.04%

P75+3.15% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn17.5% / 1.3% Score56.2 Opp3.475
View chart 開富途
#7 US.AMP Ameriprise Financial · Financials

+1.10%

P75+2.70% 上漲比66.3% Up/Dn15% / 1.3% Score61.1 Opp3.459
View chart 開富途
#8 US.MET MetLife · Financials

+0.97%

P75+2.74% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn12.5% / 1.3% Score62.8 Opp3.448
View chart 開富途
#9 US.RF Regions Financial Corporation · Financials

+0.93%

P75+3.15% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn15% / 1.3% Score53.9 Opp3.444
View chart 開富途
#10 US.SLB Schlumberger · Energy

+1.08%

P75+3.96% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 2.5% Score65.2 Opp3.409
View chart 開富途
#11 US.A Agilent Technologies · Health Care

+1.09%

P75+4.07% 上漲比63.8% Up/Dn21.3% / 2.5% Score45.7 Opp3.404
View chart 開富途
#12 US.FITB Fifth Third Bancorp · Financials

+0.83%

P75+3.32% 上漲比67.5% Up/Dn17.5% / 1.3% Score54 Opp3.387
View chart 開富途
#13 US.CF CF Industries · Materials

+1.23%

P75+4.67% 上漲比61.3% Up/Dn22.5% / 7.5% Score69.6 Opp3.373
View chart 開富途
#14 US.MS Morgan Stanley · Financials

+1.15%

P75+3.28% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn15% / 3.8% Score69.2 Opp3.261
View chart 開富途
#15 US.ZBRA Zebra Technologies · Information Technology

+1.45%

P75+5.91% 上漲比62.5% Up/Dn27.5% / 17.5% Score50.3 Opp3.255
View chart 開富途