歷史相似情境研究排名

依 DOE 校準的歷史相似 setup 統計排序;僅供研究覆核,非買賣建議。

樣本 n=320 · horizon 3D · 自訂篩選生效 · UP>DN 10% · 已排除長期下跌

以下排名來自已存檔歷史統計,不是交易建議;請自行判斷並留意樣本數、篩選狀態與 gross/net 假設。

Research status

stale · 2026-04-17

Computed at 2026年6月25日 上午5:56 HKT · Point-in-time safe

Opp study snapshot is stale relative to the served projection date.

View gaps
  • opp_study_date_mismatch · Opp study date mismatch
Projection candidates 4

Coverage 100.0%

Best DOE 3D n=320

As-of 2026-04-17

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-04-17
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-04-17
DOE window 2026-03-03 → 2026-04-14
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年6月25日 上午5:56 HKT
Rows 4
Excluded downtrends 5
Review DOE calibration
Stable Opp plateau 3.3–3.9

OOS n=759 Median 0.09%

Opp study overview

Best plateau, hold, and rolling TP/SL

Snapshot from Opp study: walk-forward OOS stable Opp plateau, best fixed holding day, and top walk-forward TP/SL combo.

Opp study
Best stable plateau 3.3–3.9

+0.09% OOS median · n=759

Best holding day 5D

3.5 - 4 · +3.57% ann. net · n=722

Rolling best TP/SL TP 9% / SL -3%

4 - 4.5 · +0.43% exp · 64D WF

Opp study rows 25,856 with outcomes

1,508 awaiting horizon End 2026-09-17

5-day calendar

過去 5 個交易日

每日套用與本頁相同篩選;列出當日全部入榜標的(非僅 Top 5)。

11 檔(去重) 已參與

Top opportunities

Top 5 quick look

  1. #1 US.AKAM P75+5.72% 上漲比63.1% Up/Dn29.4% / 10% Opp3.864 開富途
  2. #2 US.SNPS P75+4.82% 上漲比62.8% Up/Dn24.7% / 9.7% Opp3.758 開富途
  3. #3 US.MCHP P75+5.38% 上漲比60.3% Up/Dn27.8% / 15.3% Opp3.702 開富途
  4. #4 US.DECK P75+4.59% 上漲比63.1% Up/Dn23.8% / 8.4% Opp3.488 開富途

Upside leaders

Ranking notes

依機會分數排序:歷史相似情境中位回報、P75 上檔、歷史相似情境上漲比例、下行風險與評分質素。

Auto Opp band from Opp study best stable plateau: 3.3–3.9 (half-open upper bound). Clear Min/Max Opp and apply to show all.

Default filter active: UP>DN 10% (Up5 − Down5 ≥ 10pp).

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by median upside, win rate, and score quality.

Long-term downtrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending down, below long MA with deep 60D drawdown, or 120D decline below long MA.

#1 US.AKAM Akamai Technologies · Information Technology

+1.64%

P75+5.72% 上漲比63.1% Up/Dn29.4% / 10% Score46.1 Opp3.864
View chart 開富途
#2 US.SNPS Synopsys · Information Technology

+1.58%

P75+4.82% 上漲比62.8% Up/Dn24.7% / 9.7% Score70.8 Opp3.758
View chart 開富途
#3 US.MCHP Microchip Technology · Information Technology

+1.80%

P75+5.38% 上漲比60.3% Up/Dn27.8% / 15.3% Score86.8 Opp3.702
View chart 開富途
#4 US.DECK Deckers Brands · Consumer Discretionary

+1.24%

P75+4.59% 上漲比63.1% Up/Dn23.8% / 8.4% Score74.2 Opp3.488
View chart 開富途