歷史相似情境下跌排名

按歷史相似情境的中位跌幅排序;僅供研究覆核,非買賣建議。

樣本 n=40 · horizon 3D · 預設篩選(中位<0) · 中位<0 · DN>UP 10% · 已排除強勢上升

短期上升版本

下跌追蹤Lv1
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短期上升版本

窗口日曆

過去 5 個交易日

每日用同一套短期下跌門檻(中位<0 · DN>UP · 排除強勢上升),按中位跌幅排序;每欄顯示頭 8 檔。

下跌追蹤Lv1

頭 8 共通 · 中位數 -0.9% · 下跌比 62.5% · Dn−Up +10 · 共 34 檔(去重)

已參與 — 檔

10-08

7/7
  1. #1 UBER 2日 中位-1.63% P25-3.87% 下跌比80% Dn/Up17.5%/0% 開富途
  2. #2 STZ 2日 中位-1.12% P25-3.42% 下跌比70% Dn/Up17.5%/2.5% 開富途
  3. #3 PEP 中位-0.95% P25-2.17% 下跌比67.5% Dn/Up15%/5% 開富途
  4. #4 COR 中位-0.79% P25-2.09% 下跌比62.5% Dn/Up12.5%/2.5% 開富途
  5. #5 HOOD 中位-0.64% P25-2.45% 下跌比62.5% Dn/Up12.5%/2.5% 開富途
  6. #6 CME 中位-0.51% P25-2.45% 下跌比65% Dn/Up10%/0% 開富途
  7. #7 BRO 中位-0.34% P25-2.97% 下跌比62.5% Dn/Up12.5%/0% 開富途

10-09

8/11
  1. #1 ROL 2日 中位-2.51% P25-5.15% 下跌比62.5% Dn/Up27.5%/7.5% 開富途
  2. #2 NRG 3日 中位-1.62% P25-4.88% 下跌比65% Dn/Up25%/7.5% 開富途
  3. #3 KMB 2日 中位-1.53% P25-3.04% 下跌比70% Dn/Up17.5%/0% 開富途
  4. #4 UBER 2日 中位-1.43% P25-2.82% 下跌比77.5% Dn/Up10%/0% 開富途
  5. #5 PSKY 中位-1.23% P25-4.94% 下跌比60% Dn/Up25%/10% 開富途
  6. #6 PPL 中位-0.99% P25-2.87% 下跌比65% Dn/Up12.5%/0% 開富途
  7. #7 TSLA 中位-0.98% P25-3.55% 下跌比60% Dn/Up17.5%/7.5% 開富途
  8. #8 COF 中位-0.95% P25-2.57% 下跌比62.5% Dn/Up10%/0% 開富途

10-12

8/9
  1. #1 ROL 2日 中位-2.66% P25-5.49% 下跌比65% Dn/Up30%/5% 開富途
  2. #2 TAP 中位-1.42% P25-4.14% 下跌比70% Dn/Up15%/0% 開富途
  3. #3 KMB 2日 中位-1.42% P25-3.01% 下跌比67.5% Dn/Up10%/0% 開富途
  4. #4 WFC 中位-1.29% P25-3.01% 下跌比65% Dn/Up12.5%/0% 開富途
  5. #5 VST 中位-0.85% P25-3.93% 下跌比62.5% Dn/Up22.5%/2.5% 開富途
  6. #6 FICO 中位-0.70% P25-6.53% 下跌比57.5% Dn/Up30%/7.5% 開富途
  7. #7 NRG 3日 中位-0.63% P25-5.07% 下跌比57.5% Dn/Up27.5%/0% 開富途
  8. #8 CMS 中位-0.52% P25-2.56% 下跌比57.5% Dn/Up10%/0% 開富途

10-13

8/10
  1. #1 CSGP 中位-1.29% P25-3.48% 下跌比72.5% Dn/Up17.5%/7.5% 開富途
  2. #2 EQT 中位-1.23% P25-3.14% 下跌比57.5% Dn/Up15%/5% 開富途
  3. #3 BF.B 中位-1.12% P25-3.30% 下跌比65% Dn/Up17.5%/2.5% 開富途
  4. #4 EXE 中位-1.10% P25-3.53% 下跌比57.5% Dn/Up15%/5% 開富途
  5. #5 NRG 3日 中位-0.72% P25-4.75% 下跌比57.5% Dn/Up25%/2.5% 開富途
  6. #6 BR 中位-0.69% P25-1.65% 下跌比62.5% Dn/Up10%/0% 開富途
  7. #7 PEG 中位-0.68% P25-2.56% 下跌比60% Dn/Up10%/0% 開富途
  8. #8 ZTS 中位-0.67% P25-2.64% 下跌比55% Dn/Up10%/0% 開富途

Top opportunities

Top 5 下跌速覽

  1. #1 US.CSGP P25-3.48% 下跌比72.5% Dn/Up17.5% / 7.5% 中位-1.29% 開富途
  2. #2 US.EQT P25-3.14% 下跌比57.5% Dn/Up15% / 5% 中位-1.23% 開富途
  3. #3 US.BF.B P25-3.30% 下跌比65% Dn/Up17.5% / 2.5% 中位-1.12% 開富途
  4. #4 US.EXE P25-3.53% 下跌比57.5% Dn/Up15% / 5% 中位-1.10% 開富途
  5. #5 US.NRG P25-4.75% 下跌比57.5% Dn/Up25% / 2.5% 中位-0.72% 開富途

跌幅領先榜

Ranking notes

按歷史相似情境的中位跌幅排序,其後才看 P25 與 Dn−Up;不是按機會分數。

預設要求中位回報嚴格小於 0。

Default filter active: DN>UP 10% (Down5 − Up5 ≥ 10pp).

來自 sp500_score_projections 的已物化投影列,按中位跌幅、然後 P25、然後 Dn−Up 排序。

以下排名來自已存檔歷史統計,不是交易建議;請自行判斷並留意樣本數、篩選狀態與 gross/net 假設。

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.CSGP CoStar Group · Real Estate

-1.29%

P25-3.48% Down72.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 7.5% Score82.2 DownOpp2.893
View chart 開富途
#2 US.EQT EQT Corporation · Energy

-1.23%

P25-3.14% Down57.5% Dn/Up515% / 5% Score82.8 DownOpp1.694
View chart 開富途
#3 US.BF.B Brown–Forman · Consumer Staples

-1.12%

P25-3.30% Down65% Dn/Up517.5% / 2.5% Score86.5 DownOpp2.346
View chart 開富途
#4 US.EXE Expand Energy · Energy

-1.10%

P25-3.53% Down57.5% Dn/Up515% / 5% Score78.4 DownOpp1.695
View chart 開富途
#5 US.NRG NRG Energy · Utilities

-0.72%

P25-4.75% Down57.5% Dn/Up525% / 2.5% Score68.4 DownOpp1.845
View chart 開富途
#6 US.BR Broadridge Financial Solutions · Industrials

-0.69%

P25-1.65% Down62.5% Dn/Up510% / 0% Score77.4 DownOpp1.522
View chart 開富途
#7 US.PEG Public Service Enterprise Group · Utilities

-0.68%

P25-2.56% Down60% Dn/Up510% / 0% Score67.5 DownOpp1.614
View chart 開富途
#8 US.ZTS Zoetis · Health Care

-0.67%

P25-2.64% Down55% Dn/Up510% / 0% Score70.1 DownOpp1.204
View chart 開富途
#9 US.STZ Constellation Brands · Consumer Staples

-0.22%

P25-2.41% Down55% Dn/Up512.5% / 2.5% Score90.2 DownOpp0.396
View chart 開富途
#10 US.AON Aon plc · Financials

-0.11%

P25-1.75% Down52.5% Dn/Up512.5% / 2.5% Score62.9 DownOpp0.126
View chart 開富途