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Downside opportunities

Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.

Calibration status

3D · n=80

Shared DOE best setting from the as-of run for this snapshot.

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-09-10
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-09-10
DOE window 2026-07-07 → 2026-09-04
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年9月11日 上午7:47 HKT
Rows 27
Excluded uptrends 339

Downside ranking

US.SNPS · -1.52% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-1.52%
Top down rate63.8%
Top P25-4.28%
DOE score2.297

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.SNPS Synopsys · Information Technology

-1.52%

P25-4.28% Down63.8% Dn/Up521.3% / 12.5% Score45 DownOpp2.607
View chart 開富途
#2 US.CCL Carnival Corporation · Consumer Discretionary

-0.89%

P25-2.19% Down65% Dn/Up53.8% / 1.3% Score51.4 DownOpp2.174
View chart 開富途
#3 US.DHI D. R. Horton · Consumer Discretionary

-0.70%

P25-2.51% Down65% Dn/Up55% / 3.8% Score50.5 DownOpp1.921
View chart 開富途
#4 US.NVR NVR, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-0.85%

P25-2.51% Down62.5% Dn/Up57.5% / 3.8% Score50.1 DownOpp1.874
View chart 開富途
#5 US.HD Home Depot (The) · Consumer Discretionary

-0.86%

P25-2.50% Down60% Dn/Up52.5% / 3.8% Score48.5 DownOpp1.693
View chart 開富途
#6 US.SO Southern Company · Utilities

-0.46%

P25-1.68% Down63.8% Dn/Up52.5% / 1.3% Score48.5 DownOpp1.542
View chart 開富途
#7 US.CTSH Cognizant · Information Technology

-1.33%

P25-3.84% Down57.5% Dn/Up518.8% / 20% Score44.9 DownOpp1.353
View chart 開富途
#8 US.VST Vistra Corp. · Utilities

-0.49%

P25-1.71% Down60% Dn/Up56.3% / 1.3% Score67.5 DownOpp1.133
View chart 開富途
#9 US.PEG Public Service Enterprise Group · Utilities

-0.45%

P25-1.55% Down57.5% Dn/Up51.3% / 0% Score52.8 DownOpp1.042
View chart 開富途
#10 US.TMUS T-Mobile US · Communication Services

-0.59%

P25-2.07% Down56.3% Dn/Up510% / 3.8% Score48.7 DownOpp1.018
View chart 開富途
#11 US.VLTO Veralto · Industrials

-0.53%

P25-2.14% Down57.5% Dn/Up52.5% / 6.3% Score48.1 DownOpp0.926
View chart 開富途
#12 US.RCL Royal Caribbean Group · Consumer Discretionary

-0.67%

P25-2.35% Down55% Dn/Up53.8% / 6.3% Score50.5 DownOpp0.901
View chart 開富途
#13 US.LEN Lennar · Consumer Discretionary

-0.47%

P25-2.07% Down57.5% Dn/Up55% / 6.3% Score47.6 DownOpp0.852
View chart 開富途
#14 US.FSLR First Solar · Information Technology

-0.99%

P25-4.02% Down53.8% Dn/Up522.5% / 17.5% Score53.8 DownOpp0.845
View chart 開富途
#15 US.LHX L3Harris · Industrials

-0.55%

P25-2.05% Down57.5% Dn/Up53.8% / 8.8% Score46.2 DownOpp0.788
View chart 開富途
#16 US.AMT American Tower · Real Estate

-0.48%

P25-1.96% Down57.5% Dn/Up53.8% / 6.3% Score56.7 DownOpp0.767
View chart 開富途
#17 US.CMS CMS Energy · Utilities

-0.32%

P25-1.54% Down55% Dn/Up50% / 0% Score47.7 DownOpp0.747
View chart 開富途
#18 US.MAA Mid-America Apartment Communities · Real Estate

-0.41%

P25-1.55% Down55% Dn/Up51.3% / 2.5% Score52.9 DownOpp0.651
View chart 開富途
#19 US.PPL PPL Corporation · Utilities

-0.21%

P25-1.45% Down55% Dn/Up50% / 0% Score52.5 DownOpp0.579
View chart 開富途
#20 US.SBAC SBA Communications · Real Estate

-0.34%

P25-1.97% Down56.3% Dn/Up53.8% / 6.3% Score57 DownOpp0.531
View chart 開富途
#21 US.GDDY GoDaddy · Information Technology

-0.88%

P25-3.74% Down55% Dn/Up515% / 22.5% Score49.1 DownOpp0.497
View chart 開富途
#22 US.WEC WEC Energy Group · Utilities

-0.21%

P25-1.36% Down53.8% Dn/Up50% / 0% Score48.9 DownOpp0.487
View chart 開富途
#23 US.UBER Uber · Industrials

-0.44%

P25-2.35% Down52.5% Dn/Up57.5% / 8.8% Score56.1 DownOpp0.279
View chart 開富途
#24 US.TSCO Tractor Supply · Consumer Discretionary

-0.26%

P25-2.46% Down52.5% Dn/Up53.8% / 8.8% Score46.6 DownOpp0.197
View chart 開富途
#25 US.DIS Walt Disney Company (The) · Communication Services

-0.29%

P25-1.67% Down52.5% Dn/Up58.8% / 7.5% Score46.6 DownOpp0.108
View chart 開富途
#26 US.ROP Roper Technologies · Information Technology

-0.24%

P25-2.19% Down53.8% Dn/Up58.8% / 11.3% Score43.6 DownOpp0.086
View chart 開富途
#27 US.NOC Northrop Grumman · Industrials

-0.14%

P25-1.84% Down53.8% Dn/Up55% / 7.5% Score52.4 DownOpp0.061
View chart 開富途