Downside opportunities

Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.

Calibration status

3D · n=500

Shared DOE best setting from the as-of run for this snapshot.

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-09-04
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-09-04
DOE window 2026-07-02 → 2026-08-31
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年9月8日 上午7:46 HKT
Rows 12
Excluded uptrends 359

Downside ranking

US.CMS · -0.56% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-0.56%
Top down rate59.6%
Top P25-1.67%
DOE score2.177

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.CMS CMS Energy · Utilities

-0.56%

P25-1.67% Down59.6% Dn/Up51% / 0.6% Score53.1 DownOpp1.311
View chart 開富途
#2 US.PEG Public Service Enterprise Group · Utilities

-0.50%

P25-1.70% Down59.6% Dn/Up51.2% / 0.2% Score62.4 DownOpp1.213
View chart 開富途
#3 US.AZO AutoZone · Consumer Discretionary

-0.59%

P25-2.46% Down59% Dn/Up56.8% / 6.4% Score59.3 DownOpp1.096
View chart 開富途
#4 US.TSCO Tractor Supply · Consumer Discretionary

-0.57%

P25-2.44% Down58.2% Dn/Up56.4% / 6.2% Score57.4 DownOpp1.034
View chart 開富途
#5 US.PPL PPL Corporation · Utilities

-0.34%

P25-1.61% Down57.2% Dn/Up52.4% / 0.4% Score67.1 DownOpp0.791
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#6 US.WEC WEC Energy Group · Utilities

-0.34%

P25-1.53% Down55.6% Dn/Up51.4% / 1.2% Score51 DownOpp0.716
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#7 US.NRG NRG Energy · Utilities

-0.51%

P25-3.05% Down57% Dn/Up512.8% / 9.4% Score78 DownOpp0.684
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#8 US.TSLA Tesla, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-0.55%

P25-2.94% Down53.8% Dn/Up510.6% / 12.6% Score65 DownOpp0.346
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#9 US.CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill · Consumer Discretionary

-0.32%

P25-2.06% Down55.4% Dn/Up56.6% / 8.2% Score59.1 DownOpp0.332
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#10 US.CPRT Copart · Industrials

-0.25%

P25-2.57% Down53.4% Dn/Up58.8% / 8.2% Score64.9 DownOpp0.186
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#11 US.NKE Nike, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-0.18%

P25-2.09% Down52.6% Dn/Up54.2% / 7.6% Score50.5 DownOpp0.076
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#12 US.LULU Lululemon Athletica · Consumer Discretionary

-0.33%

P25-2.62% Down53% Dn/Up59.2% / 12.8% Score51.6 DownOpp0.07
View chart 開富途