Downside opportunities
Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.
Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.
Downside ranking
US.CMS · -0.56% median
Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.
Top median-0.56%
Top down rate59.6%
Top P25-1.67%
DOE score2.177
Projected downside + down-rate ranking
Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.
Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.
#1 US.CMS
-0.56%
P25-1.67%
Down59.6%
Dn/Up51% / 0.6%
Score53.1
DownOpp1.311
#2 US.PEG
-0.50%
P25-1.70%
Down59.6%
Dn/Up51.2% / 0.2%
Score62.4
DownOpp1.213
#3 US.AZO
-0.59%
P25-2.46%
Down59%
Dn/Up56.8% / 6.4%
Score59.3
DownOpp1.096
#4 US.TSCO
-0.57%
P25-2.44%
Down58.2%
Dn/Up56.4% / 6.2%
Score57.4
DownOpp1.034
#5 US.PPL
-0.34%
P25-1.61%
Down57.2%
Dn/Up52.4% / 0.4%
Score67.1
DownOpp0.791
#6 US.WEC
-0.34%
P25-1.53%
Down55.6%
Dn/Up51.4% / 1.2%
Score51
DownOpp0.716
#7 US.NRG
-0.51%
P25-3.05%
Down57%
Dn/Up512.8% / 9.4%
Score78
DownOpp0.684
#8 US.TSLA
-0.55%
P25-2.94%
Down53.8%
Dn/Up510.6% / 12.6%
Score65
DownOpp0.346
#9 US.CMG
-0.32%
P25-2.06%
Down55.4%
Dn/Up56.6% / 8.2%
Score59.1
DownOpp0.332
#10 US.CPRT
-0.25%
P25-2.57%
Down53.4%
Dn/Up58.8% / 8.2%
Score64.9
DownOpp0.186
#11 US.NKE
-0.18%
P25-2.09%
Down52.6%
Dn/Up54.2% / 7.6%
Score50.5
DownOpp0.076
#12 US.LULU
-0.33%
P25-2.62%
Down53%
Dn/Up59.2% / 12.8%
Score51.6
DownOpp0.07