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Downside opportunities

Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.

Calibration status

3D · n=500

Shared DOE best setting from the as-of run for this snapshot.

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-09-03
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-09-03
DOE window 2026-07-02 → 2026-08-31
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年9月4日 上午7:46 HKT
Rows 17
Excluded uptrends 377

Downside ranking

US.BKNG · -0.60% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-0.60%
Top down rate59.2%
Top P25-2.45%
DOE score2.185

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.BKNG Booking Holdings · Consumer Discretionary

-0.60%

P25-2.45% Down59.2% Dn/Up55.6% / 5.2% Score57.6 DownOpp1.205
View chart 開富途
#2 US.ACN Accenture · Information Technology

-0.62%

P25-2.83% Down59% Dn/Up513.6% / 5.4% Score89.4 DownOpp1.053
View chart 開富途
#3 US.PPL PPL Corporation · Utilities

-0.46%

P25-1.70% Down58% Dn/Up51% / 0.4% Score60 DownOpp1.051
View chart 開富途
#4 US.TSLA Tesla, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-0.75%

P25-3.15% Down57.8% Dn/Up515% / 7% Score94.2 DownOpp1.035
View chart 開富途
#5 US.WEC WEC Energy Group · Utilities

-0.44%

P25-1.71% Down57.6% Dn/Up51.4% / 0.6% Score60.4 DownOpp0.987
View chart 開富途
#6 US.CCI Crown Castle · Real Estate

-0.41%

P25-2.32% Down56% Dn/Up55.6% / 3.6% Score77.6 DownOpp0.672
View chart 開富途
#7 US.CPRT Copart · Industrials

-0.50%

P25-2.47% Down56% Dn/Up59% / 7% Score67.7 DownOpp0.67
View chart 開富途
#8 US.NKE Nike, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-0.40%

P25-2.09% Down56.6% Dn/Up54.6% / 6.6% Score55.1 DownOpp0.641
View chart 開富途
#9 US.NVR NVR, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-0.49%

P25-2.26% Down56.4% Dn/Up56.6% / 7.8% Score62.2 DownOpp0.632
View chart 開富途
#10 US.PEG Public Service Enterprise Group · Utilities

-0.29%

P25-1.70% Down55.4% Dn/Up54% / 1% Score67.6 DownOpp0.58
View chart 開富途
#11 US.AZO AutoZone · Consumer Discretionary

-0.33%

P25-2.08% Down55.6% Dn/Up54.6% / 5.6% Score54.2 DownOpp0.556
View chart 開富途
#12 US.SO Southern Company · Utilities

-0.20%

P25-1.42% Down53.6% Dn/Up51.6% / 1.8% Score50.7 DownOpp0.355
View chart 開富途
#13 US.RCL Royal Caribbean Group · Consumer Discretionary

-0.28%

P25-2.08% Down54.2% Dn/Up54.6% / 6.4% Score57.5 DownOpp0.321
View chart 開富途
#14 US.TSCO Tractor Supply · Consumer Discretionary

-0.27%

P25-2.06% Down54.4% Dn/Up55.4% / 7.2% Score52.8 DownOpp0.309
View chart 開富途
#15 US.DPZ Domino's · Consumer Discretionary

-0.43%

P25-2.59% Down54.2% Dn/Up58.6% / 10.6% Score63.4 DownOpp0.302
View chart 開富途
#16 US.KHC Kraft Heinz · Consumer Staples

-0.22%

P25-2.24% Down52.2% Dn/Up54.6% / 5.4% Score70 DownOpp0.107
View chart 開富途
#17 US.LEN Lennar · Consumer Discretionary

-0.19%

P25-2.00% Down52.8% Dn/Up53.8% / 8% Score51.9 DownOpp0.045
View chart 開富途