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Downside opportunities

Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.

Calibration status

3D · n=80

Shared DOE best setting from the as-of run for this snapshot.

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-08-20
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-08-20
DOE window 2026-06-22 → 2026-08-17
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年8月21日 上午7:47 HKT
Rows 24
Excluded uptrends 375

Downside ranking

US.CDW · -2.35% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-2.35%
Top down rate65%
Top P25-4.81%
DOE score2.51

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.CDW CDW Corporation · Information Technology

-2.35%

P25-4.81% Down65% Dn/Up525% / 16.3% Score52.8 DownOpp3.379
View chart 開富途
#2 US.AXON Axon Enterprise · Industrials

-1.85%

P25-4.28% Down65% Dn/Up520% / 6.3% Score67.9 DownOpp3.233
View chart 開富途
#3 US.CPRT Copart · Industrials

-1.48%

P25-2.86% Down67.5% Dn/Up56.3% / 0% Score87.1 DownOpp2.942
View chart 開富途
#4 US.LDOS Leidos · Industrials

-1.25%

P25-4.22% Down60% Dn/Up518.8% / 7.5% Score67.2 DownOpp2.151
View chart 開富途
#5 US.CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill · Consumer Discretionary

-1.27%

P25-3.66% Down61.3% Dn/Up513.8% / 10% Score65.8 DownOpp1.995
View chart 開富途
#6 US.MOS Mosaic Company (The) · Materials

-1.20%

P25-3.55% Down58.8% Dn/Up516.3% / 3.8% Score79.3 DownOpp1.969
View chart 開富途
#7 US.Q Qnity Electronics · Information Technology

-0.96%

P25-6.97% Down56.3% Dn/Up528.8% / 12.5% Score65.8 DownOpp1.963
View chart 開富途
#8 US.CSGP CoStar Group · Real Estate

-0.84%

P25-2.32% Down62.5% Dn/Up55% / 1.3% Score72.7 DownOpp1.797
View chart 開富途
#9 US.COIN Coinbase · Financials

-1.35%

P25-3.59% Down57.5% Dn/Up513.8% / 16.3% Score97.8 DownOpp1.136
View chart 開富途
#10 US.ARE Alexandria Real Estate Equities · Real Estate

-0.51%

P25-3.22% Down55% Dn/Up517.5% / 3.8% Score71 DownOpp0.954
View chart 開富途
#11 US.AZO AutoZone · Consumer Discretionary

-0.46%

P25-2.33% Down58.8% Dn/Up51.3% / 7.5% Score50.6 DownOpp0.917
View chart 開富途
#12 US.LOW Lowe's · Consumer Discretionary

-0.73%

P25-2.91% Down55% Dn/Up510% / 7.5% Score69.5 DownOpp0.886
View chart 開富途
#13 US.CHTR Charter Communications · Communication Services

-0.28%

P25-3.84% Down56.3% Dn/Up517.5% / 10% Score57.4 DownOpp0.713
View chart 開富途
#14 US.BLDR Builders FirstSource · Industrials

-0.74%

P25-3.23% Down55% Dn/Up515% / 16.3% Score38.1 DownOpp0.684
View chart 開富途
#15 US.FICO Fair Isaac · Information Technology

-0.62%

P25-5.17% Down56.3% Dn/Up527.5% / 21.3% Score62.7 DownOpp0.668
View chart 開富途
#16 US.SO Southern Company · Utilities

-0.44%

P25-1.57% Down52.5% Dn/Up50% / 0% Score50.2 DownOpp0.656
View chart 開富途
#17 US.AMT American Tower · Real Estate

-0.30%

P25-1.98% Down55% Dn/Up51.3% / 2.5% Score72.2 DownOpp0.503
View chart 開富途
#18 US.NOC Northrop Grumman · Industrials

-0.53%

P25-1.47% Down53.8% Dn/Up53.8% / 5% Score68.9 DownOpp0.385
View chart 開富途
#19 US.DPZ Domino's · Consumer Discretionary

-0.27%

P25-2.13% Down56.3% Dn/Up53.8% / 8.8% Score54.4 DownOpp0.37
View chart 開富途
#20 US.BR Broadridge Financial Solutions · Industrials

-0.43%

P25-2.81% Down57.5% Dn/Up511.3% / 12.5% Score83.6 DownOpp0.356
View chart 開富途
#21 US.MKC McCormick & Company · Consumer Staples

-0.22%

P25-1.78% Down53.8% Dn/Up53.8% / 2.5% Score65.9 DownOpp0.325
View chart 開富途
#22 US.HSY Hershey Company (The) · Consumer Staples

-0.37%

P25-1.81% Down53.8% Dn/Up55% / 6.3% Score65.9 DownOpp0.254
View chart 開富途
#23 US.RMD ResMed · Health Care

-0.08%

P25-1.89% Down52.5% Dn/Up52.5% / 1.3% Score69.1 DownOpp0.156
View chart 開富途
#24 US.PEP PepsiCo · Consumer Staples

-0.24%

P25-1.86% Down51.3% Dn/Up53.8% / 3.8% Score61.8 DownOpp0.117
View chart 開富途