Downside opportunities
Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.
Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.
Downside ranking
US.GDDY · -2.26% median
Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.
Top median-2.26%
Top down rate63.8%
Top P25-4.69%
DOE score2.495
Projected downside + down-rate ranking
Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.
Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.
#1 US.GDDY
-2.26%
P25-4.69%
Down63.8%
Dn/Up522.5% / 17.5%
Score56.9
DownOpp3.06
#2 US.PTC
-1.65%
P25-4.30%
Down62.5%
Dn/Up522.5% / 10%
Score60.2
DownOpp2.673
#3 US.CDW
-2.19%
P25-4.43%
Down58.8%
Dn/Up520% / 18.8%
Score55.7
DownOpp2.456
#4 US.NOW
-1.58%
P25-4.60%
Down60%
Dn/Up523.8% / 11.3%
Score60.1
DownOpp2.401
#5 US.AMT
-0.66%
P25-2.38%
Down66.3%
Dn/Up55% / 2.5%
Score70.9
DownOpp1.877
#6 US.STZ
-0.92%
P25-2.90%
Down60%
Dn/Up58.8% / 3.8%
Score66
DownOpp1.722
#7 US.CMG
-1.07%
P25-2.87%
Down62.5%
Dn/Up511.3% / 11.3%
Score63.1
DownOpp1.636
#8 US.ADSK
-1.06%
P25-3.76%
Down58.8%
Dn/Up518.8% / 12.5%
Score59.2
DownOpp1.51
#9 US.IT
-0.95%
P25-4.57%
Down58.8%
Dn/Up523.8% / 13.8%
Score61.9
DownOpp1.504
#10 US.AZO
-0.62%
P25-2.40%
Down61.3%
Dn/Up55% / 6.3%
Score54.4
DownOpp1.338
#11 US.CSGP
-0.35%
P25-2.19%
Down61.3%
Dn/Up52.5% / 1.3%
Score73.1
DownOpp1.175
#12 US.LULU
-0.60%
P25-2.47%
Down58.8%
Dn/Up52.5% / 8.8%
Score53.8
DownOpp0.99
#13 US.CRM
-0.69%
P25-4.70%
Down55%
Dn/Up525% / 13.8%
Score64.2
DownOpp0.956
#14 US.BR
-0.71%
P25-3.03%
Down55%
Dn/Up512.5% / 6.3%
Score71.2
DownOpp0.955
#15 US.TYL
-0.90%
P25-4.70%
Down55%
Dn/Up525% / 17.5%
Score64.4
DownOpp0.942
#16 US.PPL
-0.32%
P25-1.03%
Down58.8%
Dn/Up51.3% / 0%
Score64.8
DownOpp0.795
#17 US.LEN
-0.82%
P25-2.85%
Down58.8%
Dn/Up512.5% / 16.3%
Score62.8
DownOpp0.787
#18 US.ADBE
-0.99%
P25-3.20%
Down55%
Dn/Up520% / 16.3%
Score60.9
DownOpp0.755
#19 US.MSI
-0.38%
P25-2.82%
Down57.5%
Dn/Up511.3% / 8.8%
Score62
DownOpp0.692
#20 US.MSFT
-0.64%
P25-4.18%
Down53.8%
Dn/Up521.3% / 13.8%
Score64.5
DownOpp0.677
#21 US.BSX
-0.37%
P25-2.35%
Down57.5%
Dn/Up56.3% / 6.3%
Score68.3
DownOpp0.667
#22 US.CTSH
-0.79%
P25-3.00%
Down55%
Dn/Up516.3% / 15%
Score58.6
DownOpp0.601
#23 US.UHS
-0.64%
P25-2.07%
Down55%
Dn/Up510% / 8.8%
Score60.1
DownOpp0.579
#24 US.CAG
-0.28%
P25-2.61%
Down53.8%
Dn/Up55% / 3.8%
Score67
DownOpp0.506
#25 US.RMD
-0.35%
P25-2.12%
Down57.5%
Dn/Up58.8% / 7.5%
Score71
DownOpp0.498
#26 US.IBM
-0.38%
P25-3.00%
Down57.5%
Dn/Up513.8% / 13.8%
Score60.5
DownOpp0.448
#27 US.ACN
-0.53%
P25-3.51%
Down53.8%
Dn/Up520% / 13.8%
Score59.7
DownOpp0.436
#28 US.ORCL
-0.53%
P25-3.00%
Down55%
Dn/Up516.3% / 15%
Score58.9
DownOpp0.338
#29 US.COR
-0.47%
P25-2.20%
Down51.3%
Dn/Up58.8% / 6.3%
Score62.5
DownOpp0.277
#30 US.LII
-0.50%
P25-3.23%
Down52.5%
Dn/Up513.8% / 16.3%
Score42.3
DownOpp0.212
#31 US.NKE
-0.25%
P25-2.33%
Down53.8%
Dn/Up56.3% / 8.8%
Score55.6
DownOpp0.191
#32 US.RCL
-0.23%
P25-1.78%
Down55%
Dn/Up56.3% / 8.8%
Score53.3
DownOpp0.147
#33 US.CEG
-0.15%
P25-1.59%
Down52.5%
Dn/Up57.5% / 2.5%
Score71.3
DownOpp0.063
#34 US.INTU
-0.17%
P25-3.59%
Down51.3%
Dn/Up517.5% / 10%
Score68.8
DownOpp0.055
#35 US.CMCSA
-0.06%
P25-2.49%
Down55%
Dn/Up511.3% / 8.8%
Score68.1
DownOpp0.044
#36 US.SNPS
-0.21%
P25-2.13%
Down53.8%
Dn/Up58.8% / 8.8%
Score65.4
DownOpp0.028
#37 US.CRWD
-0.36%
P25-4.21%
Down53.8%
Dn/Up522.5% / 21.3%
Score56
DownOpp0.018
#38 US.GEHC
-0.25%
P25-1.84%
Down53.8%
Dn/Up57.5% / 8.8%
Score64
DownOpp0.006