Downside opportunities

Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.

Calibration status

3D · n=500

Shared DOE best setting from the as-of run for this snapshot.

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-07-30
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-07-30
DOE window 2026-06-09 → 2026-07-24
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年7月31日 上午7:47 HKT
Rows 42
Excluded uptrends 350

Downside ranking

US.CTSH · -1.84% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-1.84%
Top down rate61.8%
Top P25-5.99%
DOE score2.502

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.CTSH Cognizant · Information Technology

-1.84%

P25-5.99% Down61.8% Dn/Up530% / 15.4% Score76 DownOpp2.788
View chart 開富途
#2 US.IT Gartner · Information Technology

-1.77%

P25-5.85% Down62.4% Dn/Up528.6% / 14% Score79.6 DownOpp2.788
View chart 開富途
#3 US.WDAY Workday, Inc. · Information Technology

-1.69%

P25-5.75% Down61.4% Dn/Up528% / 13.8% Score80.7 DownOpp2.606
View chart 開富途
#4 US.ADBE Adobe Inc. · Information Technology

-1.53%

P25-5.64% Down60.2% Dn/Up527.6% / 13.6% Score84.3 DownOpp2.308
View chart 開富途
#5 US.TYL Tyler Technologies · Information Technology

-1.46%

P25-5.20% Down60.4% Dn/Up526% / 11.8% Score81.8 DownOpp2.27
View chart 開富途
#6 US.INTU Intuit · Information Technology

-1.51%

P25-5.81% Down58.4% Dn/Up528% / 18% Score76.6 DownOpp1.98
View chart 開富途
#7 US.Q Qnity Electronics · Information Technology

-1.36%

P25-4.53% Down58% Dn/Up522.2% / 14.6% Score45.4 DownOpp1.916
View chart 開富途
#8 US.CRM Salesforce · Information Technology

-1.50%

P25-5.59% Down58.2% Dn/Up527.4% / 18% Score75.9 DownOpp1.904
View chart 開富途
#9 US.PTC PTC Inc. · Information Technology

-1.03%

P25-4.99% Down58.2% Dn/Up525% / 10.4% Score102.7 DownOpp1.539
View chart 開富途
#10 US.NOW ServiceNow · Information Technology

-1.18%

P25-5.26% Down57.2% Dn/Up526.4% / 17.2% Score76.6 DownOpp1.465
View chart 開富途
#11 US.ACN Accenture · Information Technology

-1.19%

P25-5.17% Down56.2% Dn/Up526.2% / 17.8% Score76 DownOpp1.341
View chart 開富途
#12 US.TRMB Trimble Inc. · Information Technology

-1.18%

P25-5.17% Down56.4% Dn/Up526.2% / 17.8% Score77.3 DownOpp1.337
View chart 開富途
#13 US.GDDY GoDaddy · Information Technology

-1.19%

P25-5.17% Down56.4% Dn/Up526% / 18.8% Score75.2 DownOpp1.303
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#14 US.ROP Roper Technologies · Information Technology

-1.16%

P25-5.07% Down56% Dn/Up525.6% / 18% Score79.1 DownOpp1.234
View chart 開富途
#15 US.ORCL Oracle Corporation · Information Technology

-0.92%

P25-5.21% Down54.8% Dn/Up526.2% / 18.6% Score61.7 DownOpp1.028
View chart 開富途
#16 US.TEL TE Connectivity · Information Technology

-0.94%

P25-5.13% Down55% Dn/Up525.6% / 18.2% Score72.1 DownOpp0.99
View chart 開富途
#17 US.ADSK Autodesk · Information Technology

-0.96%

P25-5.03% Down54.8% Dn/Up525.2% / 18.6% Score73.9 DownOpp0.931
View chart 開富途
#18 US.TTD Trade Desk (The) · Communication Services

-0.45%

P25-4.01% Down54.2% Dn/Up519% / 8.8% Score58.8 DownOpp0.82
View chart 開富途
#19 US.APP AppLovin · Information Technology

-0.62%

P25-4.72% Down53.8% Dn/Up523.4% / 17.6% Score52.1 DownOpp0.657
View chart 開富途
#20 US.IBM IBM · Information Technology

-0.62%

P25-4.72% Down53.6% Dn/Up523.4% / 17.4% Score52.5 DownOpp0.65
View chart 開富途
#21 US.GEHC GE HealthCare · Health Care

-0.45%

P25-3.45% Down56.2% Dn/Up515.4% / 8.4% Score88.8 DownOpp0.639
View chart 開富途
#22 US.CHTR Charter Communications · Communication Services

-0.51%

P25-3.25% Down54.6% Dn/Up516% / 9% Score68.3 DownOpp0.638
View chart 開富途
#23 US.NFLX Netflix · Communication Services

-0.57%

P25-3.27% Down54.6% Dn/Up515.8% / 11% Score74.9 DownOpp0.534
View chart 開富途
#24 US.TAP Molson Coors Beverage Company · Consumer Staples

-0.39%

P25-2.87% Down53.4% Dn/Up510.2% / 5% Score74.9 DownOpp0.518
View chart 開富途
#25 US.GPC Genuine Parts Company · Consumer Discretionary

-0.40%

P25-2.67% Down55.2% Dn/Up58.8% / 9.6% Score66.9 DownOpp0.406
View chart 開富途
#26 US.SNPS Synopsys · Information Technology

-0.55%

P25-4.33% Down52.8% Dn/Up522.2% / 18.6% Score47.4 DownOpp0.385
View chart 開富途
#27 US.PLTR Palantir Technologies · Information Technology

-0.61%

P25-4.15% Down53.6% Dn/Up521% / 20.2% Score48 DownOpp0.364
View chart 開富途
#28 US.NCLH Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings · Consumer Discretionary

-0.43%

P25-2.75% Down54% Dn/Up58.8% / 10.6% Score64.1 DownOpp0.321
View chart 開富途
#29 US.VEEV Veeva Systems · Health Care

-0.44%

P25-3.32% Down54.6% Dn/Up513.8% / 12.2% Score78.5 DownOpp0.317
View chart 開富途
#30 US.LVS Las Vegas Sands · Consumer Discretionary

-0.36%

P25-2.82% Down54.6% Dn/Up512.8% / 7.6% Score94.1 DownOpp0.271
View chart 開富途
#31 US.AVY Avery Dennison · Materials

-0.36%

P25-2.88% Down54.4% Dn/Up514.2% / 7.6% Score98.1 DownOpp0.24
View chart 開富途
#32 US.NKE Nike, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-0.26%

P25-2.27% Down53.8% Dn/Up56% / 8% Score57.3 DownOpp0.222
View chart 開富途
#33 US.CMCSA Comcast · Communication Services

-0.21%

P25-3.12% Down53% Dn/Up515.4% / 8.2% Score71.5 DownOpp0.202
View chart 開富途
#34 US.CVNA Carvana · Consumer Discretionary

-0.35%

P25-2.93% Down53.4% Dn/Up511.2% / 12.4% Score62.3 DownOpp0.143
View chart 開富途
#35 US.FICO Fair Isaac · Information Technology

-0.31%

P25-4.95% Down52% Dn/Up525% / 19.6% Score55.2 DownOpp0.118
View chart 開富途
#36 US.SMCI Supermicro · Information Technology

-0.54%

P25-4.09% Down53% Dn/Up520.4% / 21.8% Score50.8 DownOpp0.113
View chart 開富途
#37 US.MDLZ Mondelez International · Consumer Staples

-0.18%

P25-2.26% Down52.2% Dn/Up56% / 4.4% Score75 DownOpp0.095
View chart 開富途
#38 US.LOW Lowe's · Consumer Discretionary

-0.22%

P25-2.03% Down53.4% Dn/Up56% / 8.2% Score56.5 DownOpp0.084
View chart 開富途
#39 US.VRSK Verisk Analytics · Industrials

-0.25%

P25-2.16% Down52.2% Dn/Up56.4% / 6.2% Score72.6 DownOpp0.05
View chart 開富途
#40 US.SWKS Skyworks Solutions · Information Technology

-0.48%

P25-4.54% Down52.6% Dn/Up523% / 20.4% Score75.1 DownOpp0.036
View chart 開富途
#41 US.CSGP CoStar Group · Real Estate

-0.20%

P25-2.48% Down52.2% Dn/Up510.2% / 6.6% Score76.1 DownOpp0.029
View chart 開富途
#42 US.BKNG Booking Holdings · Consumer Discretionary

-0.18%

P25-2.17% Down52.2% Dn/Up58% / 5% Score78.8 DownOpp0.008
View chart 開富途