S&P 500 Downside Projection Opportunities

Downside ranking

US.TYL · -1.29% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-1.29%

Top down rate60.8%

Top P25-4.97%

DOE score2.512

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.TYL Tyler Technologies · Information Technology

-1.29%

P25-4.97% Down60.8% Dn/Up524.8% / 13.4% Score89.9 DownOpp1.918

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#2 US.IT Gartner · Information Technology

-1.15%

P25-5.56% Down59% Dn/Up527.6% / 13.8% Score89.6 DownOpp1.76

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#3 US.FICO Fair Isaac · Information Technology

-1.19%

P25-5.20% Down58.6% Dn/Up526% / 14.4% Score84 DownOpp1.684

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#4 US.CTSH Cognizant · Information Technology

-1.08%

P25-5.11% Down59.4% Dn/Up525.6% / 11.6% Score100.2 DownOpp1.662

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#5 US.ACN Accenture · Information Technology

-1.08%

P25-5.03% Down59% Dn/Up525.2% / 12% Score99.6 DownOpp1.591

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#6 US.INTU Intuit · Information Technology

-1.06%

P25-4.97% Down59% Dn/Up524.8% / 11.6% Score102.1 DownOpp1.561

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#7 US.CRM Salesforce · Information Technology

-0.97%

P25-5.15% Down58.6% Dn/Up525.6% / 13.4% Score91.6 DownOpp1.455

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#8 US.ADSK Autodesk · Information Technology

-0.91%

P25-5.15% Down58.2% Dn/Up525.8% / 13% Score91.7 DownOpp1.386

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#9 US.PTC PTC Inc. · Information Technology

-0.84%

P25-5.18% Down57.8% Dn/Up526% / 13.4% Score91.5 DownOpp1.269

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#10 US.ADBE Adobe Inc. · Information Technology

-0.94%

P25-4.73% Down57.4% Dn/Up523.8% / 11.2% Score106 DownOpp1.248

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#11 US.NOW ServiceNow · Information Technology

-0.86%

P25-4.93% Down57.2% Dn/Up524.4% / 11.8% Score96.9 DownOpp1.234

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#12 US.CVNA Carvana · Consumer Discretionary

-0.75%

P25-2.94% Down57% Dn/Up511.8% / 8.4% Score69.8 DownOpp1.018

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#13 US.TRMB Trimble Inc. · Information Technology

-0.93%

P25-5.05% Down55.6% Dn/Up525.4% / 19.6% Score77.9 DownOpp0.88

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#14 US.VRSK Verisk Analytics · Industrials

-0.63%

P25-3.23% Down57.2% Dn/Up514.4% / 8.8% Score82.4 DownOpp0.868

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#15 US.UHS Universal Health Services · Health Care

-0.73%

P25-3.23% Down57% Dn/Up515.2% / 10.4% Score90.7 DownOpp0.793

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#16 US.BSX Boston Scientific · Health Care

-0.55%

P25-3.23% Down58% Dn/Up513.6% / 10.8% Score78.3 DownOpp0.762

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#17 US.CHTR Charter Communications · Communication Services

-0.55%

P25-3.64% Down54.8% Dn/Up518% / 9.8% Score71.8 DownOpp0.717

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#18 US.SNPS Synopsys · Information Technology

-0.76%

P25-4.07% Down54% Dn/Up521% / 19.4% Score39.2 DownOpp0.64

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#19 US.CSGP CoStar Group · Real Estate

-0.39%

P25-2.62% Down55.8% Dn/Up59.6% / 4.8% Score82 DownOpp0.606

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#20 US.PLTR Palantir Technologies · Information Technology

-0.71%

P25-4.15% Down53.8% Dn/Up521% / 19.6% Score45.8 DownOpp0.532

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#21 US.LEN Lennar · Consumer Discretionary

-0.33%

P25-2.30% Down55.4% Dn/Up55.6% / 8.8% Score56.8 DownOpp0.383

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#22 US.Q Qnity Electronics · Information Technology

-0.59%

P25-4.01% Down53.4% Dn/Up519.4% / 19.8% Score40 DownOpp0.376

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#23 US.CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill · Consumer Discretionary

-0.43%

P25-2.71% Down54.4% Dn/Up58% / 10.2% Score64.1 DownOpp0.367

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#24 US.TAP Molson Coors Beverage Company · Consumer Staples

-0.37%

P25-2.58% Down53.2% Dn/Up58.4% / 6.6% Score69.8 DownOpp0.352

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#25 US.CBRE CBRE Group · Real Estate

-0.34%

P25-2.12% Down54.8% Dn/Up55.8% / 3.6% Score95.2 DownOpp0.324

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#26 US.APP AppLovin · Information Technology

-0.61%

P25-4.03% Down52.6% Dn/Up520.4% / 20.4% Score42.3 DownOpp0.284

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#27 US.SMCI Supermicro · Information Technology

-0.54%

P25-4.60% Down52.6% Dn/Up522.8% / 20.8% Score54.9 DownOpp0.238

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#28 US.MOS Mosaic Company (The) · Materials

-0.31%

P25-3.06% Down53% Dn/Up513.6% / 11.4% Score57.9 DownOpp0.197

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#29 US.ULTA Ulta Beauty · Consumer Discretionary

-0.24%

P25-2.17% Down53.6% Dn/Up57.2% / 4.6% Score80.1 DownOpp0.194

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#30 US.HSY Hershey Company (The) · Consumer Staples

-0.19%

P25-2.44% Down52% Dn/Up57.4% / 3.6% Score73.3 DownOpp0.194

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#31 US.NFLX Netflix · Communication Services

-0.23%

P25-3.25% Down53.2% Dn/Up514.4% / 9.8% Score70.4 DownOpp0.183

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#32 US.IBM IBM · Information Technology

-0.25%

P25-5.09% Down51.6% Dn/Up525.8% / 17.8% Score56.4 DownOpp0.16

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#33 US.ORCL Oracle Corporation · Information Technology

-0.50%

P25-4.07% Down52.4% Dn/Up520.8% / 20.4% Score44.7 DownOpp0.15

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#34 US.WYNN Wynn Resorts · Consumer Discretionary

-0.24%

P25-2.44% Down53.2% Dn/Up58.6% / 8.2% Score63.3 DownOpp0.139

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#35 US.DPZ Domino's · Consumer Discretionary

-0.37%

P25-3.12% Down54.4% Dn/Up516.8% / 11.6% Score89.4 DownOpp0.135

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#36 US.GEHC GE HealthCare · Health Care

-0.34%

P25-2.85% Down55.2% Dn/Up513.4% / 8.6% Score115.2 DownOpp0.089

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#37 US.SWKS Skyworks Solutions · Information Technology

-0.59%

P25-4.57% Down52.6% Dn/Up523.4% / 21.4% Score77.9 DownOpp0.072

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#38 US.NCLH Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings · Consumer Discretionary

-0.26%

P25-2.82% Down52.6% Dn/Up511.4% / 9.6% Score72.4 DownOpp0.054

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#39 US.TSCO Tractor Supply · Consumer Discretionary

-0.21%

P25-2.24% Down53% Dn/Up59% / 8.2% Score63.8 DownOpp0.04

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#40 US.LULU Lululemon Athletica · Consumer Discretionary

-0.24%

P25-2.11% Down53.4% Dn/Up57.4% / 9.2% Score61.5 DownOpp0.026

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Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

3D · n=500

US.TYL · -1.29% median

Projected downside + down-rate ranking