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Downside opportunities

Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.

Calibration status

3D · n=500

Shared DOE best setting from the as-of run for this snapshot.

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-07-23
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-07-23
DOE window 2026-06-03 → 2026-07-20
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年7月29日 下午9:51 HKT
Rows 15
Excluded uptrends 324

Downside ranking

US.SMCI · -0.86% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-0.86%
Top down rate56.4%
Top P25-4.92%
DOE score2.453

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.SMCI Supermicro · Information Technology

-0.86%

P25-4.92% Down56.4% Dn/Up524.6% / 16.2% Score84.9 DownOpp0.993
View chart 開富途
#2 US.NOW ServiceNow · Information Technology

-0.75%

P25-4.49% Down54.6% Dn/Up521.4% / 16% Score62.4 DownOpp0.813
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#3 US.RCL Royal Caribbean Group · Consumer Discretionary

-0.25%

P25-2.24% Down54% Dn/Up55% / 6% Score55.8 DownOpp0.352
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#4 US.IT Gartner · Information Technology

-0.60%

P25-4.17% Down53% Dn/Up520.6% / 18.8% Score53.8 DownOpp0.351
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#5 US.SW Smurfit Westrock · Materials

-0.41%

P25-2.94% Down54.6% Dn/Up512.2% / 13.4% Score49.7 DownOpp0.336
View chart 開富途
#6 US.WYNN Wynn Resorts · Consumer Discretionary

-0.29%

P25-2.31% Down54% Dn/Up55.8% / 7.6% Score55.7 DownOpp0.314
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#7 US.INTU Intuit · Information Technology

-0.52%

P25-4.33% Down52.8% Dn/Up521% / 18.2% Score58.2 DownOpp0.298
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#8 US.ADBE Adobe Inc. · Information Technology

-0.50%

P25-4.35% Down53.4% Dn/Up522% / 19% Score57.9 DownOpp0.285
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#9 US.CTSH Cognizant · Information Technology

-0.54%

P25-4.42% Down52.4% Dn/Up521.4% / 19.2% Score55.2 DownOpp0.271
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#10 US.ADSK Autodesk · Information Technology

-0.50%

P25-4.35% Down52.4% Dn/Up521.2% / 19.2% Score53.8 DownOpp0.224
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#11 US.ACN Accenture · Information Technology

-0.52%

P25-4.36% Down52.2% Dn/Up520.4% / 19.4% Score55.7 DownOpp0.204
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#12 US.PHM PulteGroup · Consumer Discretionary

-0.22%

P25-2.11% Down53.6% Dn/Up55.6% / 7% Score57.6 DownOpp0.184
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#13 US.AMCR Amcor · Materials

-0.31%

P25-2.99% Down52.8% Dn/Up512.2% / 14.6% Score45.2 DownOpp0.066
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#14 US.ULTA Ulta Beauty · Consumer Discretionary

-0.15%

P25-2.10% Down52.8% Dn/Up57.6% / 6.8% Score57.3 DownOpp0.061
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#15 US.WDAY Workday, Inc. · Information Technology

-0.44%

P25-3.88% Down53% Dn/Up517.2% / 20.8% Score49.7 DownOpp0.029
View chart 開富途