Downside opportunities

Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.

Calibration status

3D · n=500

Shared DOE best setting from the as-of run for this snapshot.

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-07-16
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-07-16
DOE window 2026-05-29 → 2026-07-13
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年7月29日 下午9:18 HKT
Rows 12
Excluded uptrends 358

Downside ranking

US.GDDY · -1.04% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-1.04%
Top down rate56.2%
Top P25-5.23%
DOE score2.897

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.GDDY GoDaddy · Information Technology

-1.04%

P25-5.23% Down56.2% Dn/Up526.4% / 18% Score78.5 DownOpp1.175
View chart 開富途
#2 US.TMUS T-Mobile US · Communication Services

-0.76%

P25-4.08% Down56.8% Dn/Up519.6% / 13% Score77.7 DownOpp0.961
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#3 US.ADBE Adobe Inc. · Information Technology

-0.63%

P25-5.02% Down55.2% Dn/Up525.2% / 15.4% Score88.9 DownOpp0.71
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#4 US.ADSK Autodesk · Information Technology

-0.55%

P25-4.90% Down54% Dn/Up524.4% / 16% Score85.3 DownOpp0.495
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#5 US.TAP Molson Coors Beverage Company · Consumer Staples

-0.40%

P25-3.61% Down53.8% Dn/Up516.8% / 9.8% Score79.6 DownOpp0.422
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#6 US.GIS General Mills · Consumer Staples

-0.41%

P25-3.61% Down53.8% Dn/Up517.4% / 9.8% Score82.4 DownOpp0.41
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#7 US.SMCI Supermicro · Information Technology

-0.52%

P25-3.75% Down54.2% Dn/Up517% / 18.6% Score45.3 DownOpp0.338
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#8 US.SWKS Skyworks Solutions · Information Technology

-0.42%

P25-3.75% Down53.4% Dn/Up517.6% / 18.6% Score41.7 DownOpp0.201
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#9 US.CVNA Carvana · Consumer Discretionary

-0.36%

P25-2.45% Down54.2% Dn/Up58.8% / 11% Score60.7 DownOpp0.193
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#10 US.TTD Trade Desk (The) · Communication Services

-0.19%

P25-2.81% Down52.6% Dn/Up512.2% / 9.4% Score54.5 DownOpp0.128
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#11 US.DIS Walt Disney Company (The) · Communication Services

-0.12%

P25-2.10% Down52.4% Dn/Up59% / 4.4% Score62.9 DownOpp0.101
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#12 US.EFX Equifax · Industrials

-0.29%

P25-2.67% Down52.6% Dn/Up511.8% / 9.6% Score78.3 DownOpp0.002
View chart 開富途