Downside opportunities

Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.

Calibration status

Shared DOE best setting from the as-of run for this snapshot.

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-07-14

DOE calibrated as-of 2026-07-14

DOE window 2026-05-27 → 2026-07-09

DOE anchors 120

Computed at 2026年7月29日下午9:06 HKT

Rows 3

Excluded uptrends 336

Filters

Trade date

Sector Limit DownOpp ≥ 2 only (Top 10) Max median return % Min down rate % Review DOE calibration

Downside ranking

US.TTD · -0.48% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-0.48%

Top down rate57.6%

Top P25-3.11%

DOE score2.905

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.TTD Trade Desk (The) · Communication Services

-0.48%

P25-3.11% Down57.6% Dn/Up513.8% / 9.2% Score57.7 DownOpp0.881

View chart 開富途

#2 US.CTAS Cintas · Industrials

-0.25%

P25-2.12% Down53.6% Dn/Up56.4% / 6.4% Score82 DownOpp0.069

View chart 開富途

#3 US.CVNA Carvana · Consumer Discretionary

-0.23%

P25-2.67% Down53% Dn/Up58.2% / 11.2% Score61 DownOpp0.008

View chart 開富途