Downside opportunities
Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.
Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.
Downside ranking
US.TTD · -0.55% median
Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.
Top median-0.55%
Top down rate57.4%
Top P25-2.90%
DOE score3.071
Projected downside + down-rate ranking
Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.
Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.
#1 US.TTD
-0.55%
P25-2.90%
Down57.4%
Dn/Up512.6% / 9.2%
Score66
DownOpp0.82
#2 US.MOS
-0.70%
P25-3.48%
Down55%
Dn/Up514% / 14%
Score44.3
DownOpp0.798
#3 US.IP
-0.59%
P25-3.37%
Down55.8%
Dn/Up513.2% / 14%
Score60.8
DownOpp0.6
#4 US.CCL
-0.45%
P25-2.67%
Down55.8%
Dn/Up59.4% / 11.2%
Score55.1
DownOpp0.496
#5 US.RCL
-0.49%
P25-2.54%
Down55.2%
Dn/Up58% / 13.4%
Score49.6
DownOpp0.365
#6 US.NWS
-0.39%
P25-2.68%
Down54%
Dn/Up511.6% / 9.8%
Score64.3
DownOpp0.31
#7 US.PSKY
-0.31%
P25-2.44%
Down54.2%
Dn/Up513% / 8.2%
Score60.6
DownOpp0.31
#8 US.TSCO
-0.42%
P25-2.59%
Down54.4%
Dn/Up58.4% / 12.4%
Score58.9
DownOpp0.234
#9 US.FICO
-0.51%
P25-5.21%
Down52%
Dn/Up526.2% / 21%
Score80.6
DownOpp0.108
#10 US.META
-0.36%
P25-3.35%
Down52.8%
Dn/Up516.2% / 13.2%
Score72.9
DownOpp0.083
#11 US.CMCSA
-0.24%
P25-2.41%
Down53.4%
Dn/Up511.2% / 9.8%
Score60.3
DownOpp0.074
#12 US.NFLX
-0.19%
P25-2.40%
Down52.4%
Dn/Up512% / 8.2%
Score60.3
DownOpp0.038
#13 US.ORLY
-0.22%
P25-2.26%
Down53%
Dn/Up55% / 9.8%
Score54.8
DownOpp0.026