Downside opportunities

Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.

Calibration status

3D · n=500

Shared DOE best setting from the as-of run for this snapshot.

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-07-06
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-07-06
DOE window 2026-05-18 → 2026-06-30
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年7月29日 下午8:30 HKT
Rows 13
Excluded uptrends 351

Downside ranking

US.TTD · -0.55% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-0.55%
Top down rate57.4%
Top P25-2.90%
DOE score3.071

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.TTD Trade Desk (The) · Communication Services

-0.55%

P25-2.90% Down57.4% Dn/Up512.6% / 9.2% Score66 DownOpp0.82
View chart 開富途
#2 US.MOS Mosaic Company (The) · Materials

-0.70%

P25-3.48% Down55% Dn/Up514% / 14% Score44.3 DownOpp0.798
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#3 US.IP International Paper · Materials

-0.59%

P25-3.37% Down55.8% Dn/Up513.2% / 14% Score60.8 DownOpp0.6
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#4 US.CCL Carnival Corporation · Consumer Discretionary

-0.45%

P25-2.67% Down55.8% Dn/Up59.4% / 11.2% Score55.1 DownOpp0.496
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#5 US.RCL Royal Caribbean Group · Consumer Discretionary

-0.49%

P25-2.54% Down55.2% Dn/Up58% / 13.4% Score49.6 DownOpp0.365
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#6 US.NWS News Corp (Class B) · Communication Services

-0.39%

P25-2.68% Down54% Dn/Up511.6% / 9.8% Score64.3 DownOpp0.31
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#7 US.PSKY Paramount Skydance Corporation · Communication Services

-0.31%

P25-2.44% Down54.2% Dn/Up513% / 8.2% Score60.6 DownOpp0.31
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#8 US.TSCO Tractor Supply · Consumer Discretionary

-0.42%

P25-2.59% Down54.4% Dn/Up58.4% / 12.4% Score58.9 DownOpp0.234
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#9 US.FICO Fair Isaac · Information Technology

-0.51%

P25-5.21% Down52% Dn/Up526.2% / 21% Score80.6 DownOpp0.108
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#10 US.META Meta Platforms · Communication Services

-0.36%

P25-3.35% Down52.8% Dn/Up516.2% / 13.2% Score72.9 DownOpp0.083
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#11 US.CMCSA Comcast · Communication Services

-0.24%

P25-2.41% Down53.4% Dn/Up511.2% / 9.8% Score60.3 DownOpp0.074
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#12 US.NFLX Netflix · Communication Services

-0.19%

P25-2.40% Down52.4% Dn/Up512% / 8.2% Score60.3 DownOpp0.038
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#13 US.ORLY O’Reilly Automotive · Consumer Discretionary

-0.22%

P25-2.26% Down53% Dn/Up55% / 9.8% Score54.8 DownOpp0.026
View chart 開富途