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Downside opportunities

Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.

Calibration status

3D · n=500

Shared DOE best setting from the as-of run for this snapshot.

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-07-02
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-07-02
DOE window 2026-05-15 → 2026-06-29
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年7月29日 下午8:24 HKT
Rows 28
Excluded uptrends 258

Downside ranking

US.CHTR · -0.49% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-0.49%
Top down rate59.2%
Top P25-3.30%
DOE score2.952

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.CHTR Charter Communications · Communication Services

-0.49%

P25-3.30% Down59.2% Dn/Up516.6% / 7.2% Score61.6 DownOpp1.157
View chart 開富途
#2 US.TTD Trade Desk (The) · Communication Services

-0.46%

P25-3.13% Down56.8% Dn/Up515.6% / 7% Score72.1 DownOpp0.826
View chart 開富途
#3 US.HAS Hasbro · Consumer Discretionary

-0.50%

P25-2.55% Down57.4% Dn/Up56.4% / 8.2% Score60.1 DownOpp0.787
View chart 開富途
#4 US.FOXA Fox Corporation (Class A) · Communication Services

-0.44%

P25-3.25% Down55% Dn/Up516.4% / 6.8% Score66.9 DownOpp0.743
View chart 開富途
#5 US.CMCSA Comcast · Communication Services

-0.57%

P25-2.92% Down56.8% Dn/Up514.8% / 9.6% Score70.3 DownOpp0.741
View chart 開富途
#6 US.GOOGL Alphabet Inc. (Class A) · Communication Services

-0.48%

P25-2.77% Down56.6% Dn/Up512.6% / 8% Score65.3 DownOpp0.731
View chart 開富途
#7 US.FOX Fox Corporation (Class B) · Communication Services

-0.45%

P25-3.44% Down55.6% Dn/Up516.2% / 8.6% Score72.1 DownOpp0.701
View chart 開富途
#8 US.FCX Freeport-McMoRan · Materials

-0.62%

P25-3.49% Down54.4% Dn/Up513.4% / 13.8% Score45.1 DownOpp0.678
View chart 開富途
#9 US.PSKY Paramount Skydance Corporation · Communication Services

-0.57%

P25-3.03% Down55.8% Dn/Up515.2% / 10.4% Score68.6 DownOpp0.653
View chart 開富途
#10 US.EXE Expand Energy · Energy

-0.35%

P25-3.10% Down54.6% Dn/Up57.8% / 5.6% Score67.4 DownOpp0.652
View chart 開富途
#11 US.EQT EQT Corporation · Energy

-0.38%

P25-3.18% Down54.4% Dn/Up59% / 6.2% Score67.9 DownOpp0.646
View chart 開富途
#12 US.CVNA Carvana · Consumer Discretionary

-0.47%

P25-2.83% Down55.6% Dn/Up510.6% / 11.6% Score61.3 DownOpp0.47
View chart 開富途
#13 US.NFLX Netflix · Communication Services

-0.51%

P25-3.66% Down54% Dn/Up518.6% / 13.2% Score74.5 DownOpp0.394
View chart 開富途
#14 US.CCL Carnival Corporation · Consumer Discretionary

-0.38%

P25-2.59% Down54.8% Dn/Up58.4% / 10.2% Score56.1 DownOpp0.379
View chart 開富途
#15 US.ULTA Ulta Beauty · Consumer Discretionary

-0.27%

P25-2.52% Down54.4% Dn/Up57.6% / 8% Score52.7 DownOpp0.377
View chart 開富途
#16 US.GOOG Alphabet Inc. (Class C) · Communication Services

-0.36%

P25-2.53% Down54.4% Dn/Up512.4% / 8.8% Score61.2 DownOpp0.357
View chart 開富途
#17 US.NWS News Corp (Class B) · Communication Services

-0.47%

P25-3.31% Down53.8% Dn/Up515.8% / 12.2% Score71 DownOpp0.337
View chart 開富途
#18 US.MLM Martin Marietta Materials · Materials

-0.48%

P25-3.33% Down53% Dn/Up513% / 14.2% Score55.1 DownOpp0.287
View chart 開富途
#19 US.MOS Mosaic Company (The) · Materials

-0.45%

P25-3.65% Down52.8% Dn/Up515.8% / 17.6% Score42.4 DownOpp0.212
View chart 開富途
#20 US.META Meta Platforms · Communication Services

-0.45%

P25-3.40% Down53.6% Dn/Up516.6% / 15% Score74.6 DownOpp0.129
View chart 開富途
#21 US.LVS Las Vegas Sands · Consumer Discretionary

-0.27%

P25-2.30% Down53.8% Dn/Up56% / 10.2% Score54.7 DownOpp0.127
View chart 開富途
#22 US.NCLH Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings · Consumer Discretionary

-0.35%

P25-2.61% Down54.4% Dn/Up58.4% / 13.4% Score57.7 DownOpp0.118
View chart 開富途
#23 US.ALB Albemarle Corporation · Materials

-0.30%

P25-3.42% Down52% Dn/Up514.6% / 15.4% Score39.8 DownOpp0.093
View chart 開富途
#24 US.TPR Tapestry, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-0.32%

P25-2.52% Down54.2% Dn/Up58.4% / 13% Score57.6 DownOpp0.074
View chart 開富途
#25 US.DHI D. R. Horton · Consumer Discretionary

-0.20%

P25-2.26% Down53.2% Dn/Up56.4% / 8.4% Score59.7 DownOpp0.069
View chart 開富途
#26 US.NVR NVR, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-0.23%

P25-2.19% Down53.2% Dn/Up56.8% / 8.2% Score65.3 DownOpp0.052
View chart 開富途
#27 US.F Ford Motor Company · Consumer Discretionary

-0.26%

P25-2.45% Down54.4% Dn/Up56.4% / 13.4% Score50.6 DownOpp0.041
View chart 開富途
#28 US.NEM Newmont · Materials

-0.34%

P25-3.10% Down52.8% Dn/Up511% / 15.2% Score56.8 DownOpp0.001
View chart 開富途