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Downside opportunities

Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.

Calibration status

3D · n=500

Shared DOE best setting from the as-of run for this snapshot.

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-07-01
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-07-01
DOE window 2026-05-14 → 2026-06-26
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年7月29日 下午8:18 HKT
Rows 26
Excluded uptrends 232

Downside ranking

US.OMC · -0.53% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-0.53%
Top down rate57%
Top P25-2.94%
DOE score2.871

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.OMC Omnicom Group · Communication Services

-0.53%

P25-2.94% Down57% Dn/Up514.4% / 7.8% Score65.3 DownOpp0.867
View chart 開富途
#2 US.EXE Expand Energy · Energy

-0.42%

P25-3.29% Down55% Dn/Up58.4% / 5% Score67.4 DownOpp0.837
View chart 開富途
#3 US.CHTR Charter Communications · Communication Services

-0.45%

P25-3.11% Down56.8% Dn/Up515.2% / 7.6% Score65.2 DownOpp0.826
View chart 開富途
#4 US.TTD Trade Desk (The) · Communication Services

-0.50%

P25-3.11% Down57.2% Dn/Up515.8% / 9% Score72.4 DownOpp0.771
View chart 開富途
#5 US.CMCSA Comcast · Communication Services

-0.53%

P25-2.96% Down57% Dn/Up513% / 9.6% Score66.1 DownOpp0.758
View chart 開富途
#6 US.EQT EQT Corporation · Energy

-0.30%

P25-3.02% Down54.4% Dn/Up59% / 5.8% Score65.5 DownOpp0.568
View chart 開富途
#7 US.CMS CMS Energy · Utilities

-0.25%

P25-1.80% Down55.6% Dn/Up53.8% / 1.8% Score71.1 DownOpp0.507
View chart 開富途
#8 US.ALB Albemarle Corporation · Materials

-0.53%

P25-3.56% Down53.4% Dn/Up515.4% / 15.4% Score43.7 DownOpp0.44
View chart 開富途
#9 US.PSKY Paramount Skydance Corporation · Communication Services

-0.34%

P25-2.53% Down54.8% Dn/Up513.8% / 8.4% Score60.5 DownOpp0.399
View chart 開富途
#10 US.SLB Schlumberger · Energy

-0.31%

P25-3.25% Down52.8% Dn/Up510.4% / 11.4% Score41.6 DownOpp0.35
View chart 開富途
#11 US.MAR Marriott International · Consumer Discretionary

-0.24%

P25-2.48% Down54% Dn/Up56.4% / 8.2% Score51.2 DownOpp0.304
View chart 開富途
#12 US.META Meta Platforms · Communication Services

-0.54%

P25-3.62% Down54% Dn/Up519.2% / 14.4% Score83.2 DownOpp0.277
View chart 開富途
#13 US.DPZ Domino's · Consumer Discretionary

-0.43%

P25-2.65% Down54.6% Dn/Up59% / 13.6% Score53.1 DownOpp0.246
View chart 開富途
#14 US.NFLX Netflix · Communication Services

-0.18%

P25-2.95% Down52.4% Dn/Up512.6% / 7.4% Score58.3 DownOpp0.228
View chart 開富途
#15 US.FCX Freeport-McMoRan · Materials

-0.36%

P25-3.46% Down53% Dn/Up513.4% / 15.2% Score44.3 DownOpp0.221
View chart 開富途
#16 US.CVNA Carvana · Consumer Discretionary

-0.24%

P25-2.61% Down54.2% Dn/Up59% / 10.4% Score55.7 DownOpp0.187
View chart 開富途
#17 US.MOS Mosaic Company (The) · Materials

-0.46%

P25-3.26% Down53% Dn/Up512.2% / 15.8% Score52.5 DownOpp0.173
View chart 開富途
#18 US.ATO Atmos Energy · Utilities

-0.17%

P25-1.56% Down53.2% Dn/Up52.6% / 1.8% Score74.3 DownOpp0.151
View chart 開富途
#19 US.ALGN Align Technology · Health Care

-0.45%

P25-3.38% Down53.8% Dn/Up516.4% / 14% Score84.7 DownOpp0.124
View chart 開富途
#20 US.FOXA Fox Corporation (Class A) · Communication Services

-0.16%

P25-3.08% Down52.4% Dn/Up514.6% / 10% Score57.4 DownOpp0.091
View chart 開富途
#21 US.GOOG Alphabet Inc. (Class C) · Communication Services

-0.19%

P25-2.61% Down52.2% Dn/Up513% / 8.2% Score60.2 DownOpp0.075
View chart 開富途
#22 US.GOOGL Alphabet Inc. (Class A) · Communication Services

-0.19%

P25-2.61% Down52.2% Dn/Up513% / 8.2% Score60.2 DownOpp0.075
View chart 開富途
#23 US.ULTA Ulta Beauty · Consumer Discretionary

-0.15%

P25-2.31% Down52.6% Dn/Up56.8% / 7.6% Score54.5 DownOpp0.071
View chart 開富途
#24 US.FOX Fox Corporation (Class B) · Communication Services

-0.20%

P25-2.80% Down53.2% Dn/Up513.8% / 10.4% Score62.6 DownOpp0.063
View chart 開富途
#25 US.NVR NVR, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-0.23%

P25-2.13% Down53% Dn/Up56.8% / 7.2% Score68.3 DownOpp0.058
View chart 開富途
#26 US.SBUX Starbucks · Consumer Discretionary

-0.23%

P25-2.23% Down53.4% Dn/Up56.8% / 8.6% Score65.2 DownOpp0.054
View chart 開富途