S&P 500 Downside Projection Opportunities

Downside ranking

US.HCA · -1.41% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-1.41%

Top down rate73.8%

Top P25-2.54%

DOE score2.706

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.HCA HCA Healthcare · Health Care

-1.41%

P25-2.54% Down73.8% Dn/Up53.8% / 1.3% Score53.7 DownOpp3.468

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#2 US.RMD ResMed · Health Care

-1.11%

P25-2.43% Down73.8% Dn/Up53.8% / 1.3% Score54.3 DownOpp3.136

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#3 US.DGX Quest Diagnostics · Health Care

-1.06%

P25-2.62% Down66.3% Dn/Up56.3% / 1.3% Score59.2 DownOpp2.497

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#4 US.ROL Rollins, Inc. · Industrials

-0.87%

P25-2.96% Down66.3% Dn/Up511.3% / 5% Score56.8 DownOpp2.188

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#5 US.GILD Gilead Sciences · Health Care

-0.56%

P25-2.01% Down65% Dn/Up55% / 0% Score53.1 DownOpp1.864

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#6 US.CAH Cardinal Health · Health Care

-0.94%

P25-2.44% Down58.8% Dn/Up53.8% / 2.5% Score60 DownOpp1.654

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#7 US.BIIB Biogen · Health Care

-0.44%

P25-1.98% Down63.8% Dn/Up56.3% / 1.3% Score52.5 DownOpp1.567

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#8 US.PAYX Paychex · Industrials

-0.85%

P25-2.23% Down63.8% Dn/Up510% / 3.8% Score100.8 DownOpp1.528

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#9 US.PH Parker Hannifin · Industrials

-1.00%

P25-2.49% Down57.5% Dn/Up57.5% / 5% Score60.4 DownOpp1.47

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#10 US.UNH UnitedHealth Group · Health Care

-0.54%

P25-2.34% Down60% Dn/Up53.8% / 1.3% Score55.2 DownOpp1.433

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#11 US.COR Cencora · Health Care

-0.76%

P25-2.44% Down60% Dn/Up53.8% / 5% Score60.2 DownOpp1.418

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#12 US.AMZN Amazon · Consumer Discretionary

-0.67%

P25-2.57% Down61.3% Dn/Up510% / 6.3% Score57.9 DownOpp1.404

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#13 US.ADP Automatic Data Processing · Industrials

-0.79%

P25-2.89% Down62.5% Dn/Up511.3% / 6.3% Score98.8 DownOpp1.394

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#14 US.MDT Medtronic · Health Care

-0.79%

P25-2.26% Down60% Dn/Up53.8% / 5% Score62.4 DownOpp1.387

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#15 US.MRK Merck & Co. · Health Care

-0.67%

P25-2.35% Down62.5% Dn/Up56.3% / 7.5% Score56.5 DownOpp1.384

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#16 US.DHR Danaher Corporation · Health Care

-0.80%

P25-2.62% Down61.3% Dn/Up56.3% / 8.8% Score66.9 DownOpp1.329

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#17 US.MCD McDonald's · Consumer Discretionary

-0.65%

P25-2.05% Down57.5% Dn/Up53.8% / 1.3% Score60.4 DownOpp1.232

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#18 US.LH Labcorp · Health Care

-0.61%

P25-2.39% Down58.8% Dn/Up53.8% / 5% Score60.5 DownOpp1.158

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#19 US.AOS A. O. Smith · Industrials

-0.87%

P25-2.01% Down56.3% Dn/Up50% / 5% Score58.1 DownOpp1.141

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#20 US.CVS CVS Health · Health Care

-0.37%

P25-1.98% Down60% Dn/Up56.3% / 2.5% Score51.6 DownOpp1.128

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#21 US.D Dominion Energy · Utilities

-0.40%

P25-2.33% Down57.5% Dn/Up52.5% / 0% Score63.2 DownOpp1.109

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#22 US.MCO Moody's Corporation · Financials

-0.50%

P25-1.87% Down58.8% Dn/Up55% / 1.3% Score74 DownOpp1.038

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#23 US.AMGN Amgen · Health Care

-0.56%

P25-2.00% Down56.3% Dn/Up53.8% / 2.5% Score56.6 DownOpp0.989

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#24 US.INCY Incyte · Health Care

-0.63%

P25-2.63% Down56.3% Dn/Up57.5% / 6.3% Score57.3 DownOpp0.984

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#25 US.EL Estée Lauder Companies (The) · Consumer Staples

-0.71%

P25-2.36% Down57.5% Dn/Up53.8% / 7.5% Score63.1 DownOpp0.977

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#26 US.SW Smurfit Westrock · Materials

-1.04%

P25-3.42% Down53.8% Dn/Up517.5% / 11.3% Score73.7 DownOpp0.968

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#27 US.AXON Axon Enterprise · Industrials

-0.70%

P25-2.49% Down58.8% Dn/Up516.3% / 6.3% Score92.2 DownOpp0.957

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#28 US.MKC McCormick & Company · Consumer Staples

-0.37%

P25-2.74% Down56.3% Dn/Up56.3% / 3.8% Score52.4 DownOpp0.938

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#29 US.PFE Pfizer · Health Care

-0.43%

P25-1.88% Down56.3% Dn/Up51.3% / 1.3% Score55.8 DownOpp0.907

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#30 US.DE Deere & Company · Industrials

-0.64%

P25-2.20% Down58.8% Dn/Up56.3% / 8.8% Score61.4 DownOpp0.905

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#31 US.ECL Ecolab · Materials

-0.45%

P25-2.31% Down58.8% Dn/Up51.3% / 7.5% Score58.1 DownOpp0.846

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#32 US.GPC Genuine Parts Company · Consumer Discretionary

-0.45%

P25-2.37% Down57.5% Dn/Up56.3% / 6.3% Score56.7 DownOpp0.839

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#33 US.PM Philip Morris International · Consumer Staples

-0.28%

P25-2.74% Down55% Dn/Up56.3% / 2.5% Score51.9 DownOpp0.826

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#34 US.JNJ Johnson & Johnson · Health Care

-0.22%

P25-2.63% Down55% Dn/Up55% / 1.3% Score56.4 DownOpp0.776

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#35 US.MOS Mosaic Company (The) · Materials

-0.94%

P25-2.65% Down56.3% Dn/Up512.5% / 13.8% Score67.5 DownOpp0.772

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#36 US.GIS General Mills · Consumer Staples

-0.21%

P25-2.16% Down55% Dn/Up56.3% / 0% Score51 DownOpp0.768

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#37 US.CFG Citizens Financial Group · Financials

-0.26%

P25-1.15% Down58.8% Dn/Up56.3% / 1.3% Score55.1 DownOpp0.76

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#38 US.IDXX Idexx Laboratories · Health Care

-0.40%

P25-2.68% Down60% Dn/Up57.5% / 10% Score68.8 DownOpp0.754

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#39 US.TPR Tapestry, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-0.47%

P25-2.16% Down57.5% Dn/Up57.5% / 5% Score75.8 DownOpp0.741

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#40 US.PG Procter & Gamble · Consumer Staples

-0.24%

P25-1.77% Down57.5% Dn/Up56.3% / 2.5% Score52.6 DownOpp0.738

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#41 US.COO Cooper Companies (The) · Health Care

-0.57%

P25-1.81% Down56.3% Dn/Up51.3% / 5% Score66.9 DownOpp0.725

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#42 US.JCI Johnson Controls · Industrials

-0.63%

P25-2.19% Down55% Dn/Up55% / 7.5% Score55 DownOpp0.715

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#43 US.EMR Emerson Electric · Industrials

-0.67%

P25-2.96% Down53.8% Dn/Up518.8% / 7.5% Score75.1 DownOpp0.701

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#44 US.TSLA Tesla, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-0.65%

P25-3.42% Down56.3% Dn/Up510% / 15% Score55.1 DownOpp0.696

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#45 US.LEN Lennar · Consumer Discretionary

-0.54%

P25-2.27% Down53.8% Dn/Up57.5% / 3.8% Score68.2 DownOpp0.672

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#46 US.COST Costco · Consumer Staples

-0.24%

P25-2.22% Down56.3% Dn/Up58.8% / 3.8% Score55.2 DownOpp0.657

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#47 US.SHW Sherwin-Williams · Materials

-0.51%

P25-2.08% Down55% Dn/Up52.5% / 6.3% Score53.2 DownOpp0.653

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#48 US.LMT Lockheed Martin · Industrials

-0.47%

P25-2.25% Down52.5% Dn/Up51.3% / 2.5% Score57.3 DownOpp0.653

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#49 US.AXP American Express · Financials

-0.34%

P25-1.94% Down55% Dn/Up53.8% / 1.3% Score66.7 DownOpp0.647

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#50 US.PRU Prudential Financial · Financials

-0.30%

P25-1.81% Down53.8% Dn/Up56.3% / 0% Score55.5 DownOpp0.64

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Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

3D · n=80

US.HCA · -1.41% median

Projected downside + down-rate ranking