Downside opportunities
Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.
Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.
Downside ranking
US.ISRG · -0.70% median
Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.
Top median-0.70%
Top down rate62.1%
Top P25-2.62%
DOE score2.299
Projected downside + down-rate ranking
Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.
Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.
#1 US.ISRG
-0.70%
P25-2.62%
Down62.1%
Dn/Up57.5% / 2.1%
Score55.8
DownOpp1.779
#2 US.ZBH
-0.57%
P25-2.06%
Down58.3%
Dn/Up55.8% / 2.5%
Score56.9
DownOpp1.172
#3 US.MDT
-0.61%
P25-2.23%
Down58.3%
Dn/Up54.2% / 3.3%
Score61.6
DownOpp1.171
#4 US.MCK
-0.49%
P25-2.13%
Down56.7%
Dn/Up55.4% / 1.7%
Score56.7
DownOpp1.031
#5 US.RMD
-0.49%
P25-1.90%
Down58.8%
Dn/Up54.2% / 3.8%
Score61.7
DownOpp0.978
#6 US.VRTX
-0.54%
P25-2.21%
Down55.8%
Dn/Up54.6% / 2.9%
Score60.4
DownOpp0.929
#7 US.COO
-0.49%
P25-2.16%
Down57.9%
Dn/Up54.6% / 5%
Score63.1
DownOpp0.889
#8 US.ABT
-0.49%
P25-1.97%
Down56.7%
Dn/Up54.2% / 3.3%
Score58.1
DownOpp0.885
#9 US.BMY
-0.44%
P25-2.15%
Down56.7%
Dn/Up55% / 4.2%
Score62.7
DownOpp0.791
#10 US.CI
-0.33%
P25-1.88%
Down55%
Dn/Up54.6% / 1.3%
Score55.4
DownOpp0.707
#11 US.BDX
-0.42%
P25-1.96%
Down55%
Dn/Up54.6% / 3.3%
Score59.4
DownOpp0.667
#12 US.DGX
-0.44%
P25-1.95%
Down56.3%
Dn/Up54.2% / 5.4%
Score61.9
DownOpp0.643
#13 US.INCY
-0.23%
P25-2.11%
Down53.8%
Dn/Up56.7% / 2.1%
Score52.9
DownOpp0.539
#14 US.LH
-0.40%
P25-1.95%
Down55.4%
Dn/Up55% / 5.4%
Score61.6
DownOpp0.533
#15 US.GILD
-0.27%
P25-2.12%
Down53.3%
Dn/Up55% / 2.9%
Score59.5
DownOpp0.444
#16 US.PG
-0.26%
P25-1.85%
Down56.7%
Dn/Up53.3% / 4.6%
Score76.9
DownOpp0.406
#17 US.TMO
-0.25%
P25-2.08%
Down54.6%
Dn/Up55% / 4.6%
Score67.9
DownOpp0.353
#18 US.AVY
-0.39%
P25-2.56%
Down53.3%
Dn/Up55.4% / 8.3%
Score61.2
DownOpp0.337
#19 US.BALL
-0.39%
P25-2.25%
Down53.8%
Dn/Up53.3% / 8.3%
Score57.8
DownOpp0.325
#20 US.KVUE
-0.26%
P25-1.70%
Down55.8%
Dn/Up51.7% / 4.6%
Score75.4
DownOpp0.307
#21 US.IDXX
-0.21%
P25-1.85%
Down53.3%
Dn/Up55.8% / 3.3%
Score58.9
DownOpp0.297
#22 US.DVN
-0.40%
P25-2.41%
Down52.9%
Dn/Up57.5% / 9.6%
Score48.8
DownOpp0.293
#23 US.DHR
-0.34%
P25-1.91%
Down53.8%
Dn/Up54.6% / 7.5%
Score67.5
DownOpp0.165
#24 US.COR
-0.25%
P25-1.71%
Down53.8%
Dn/Up55% / 5.8%
Score63.3
DownOpp0.159
#25 US.MCD
-0.19%
P25-2.19%
Down52.5%
Dn/Up57.1% / 7.5%
Score63.2
DownOpp0.014
#26 US.TSCO
-0.26%
P25-2.74%
Down53.3%
Dn/Up512.1% / 12.9%
Score57.2
DownOpp0.006
#27 US.EXC
-0.06%
P25-1.83%
Down50.8%
Dn/Up51.3% / 0.8%
Score70.4
DownOpp0.005