Downside opportunities
Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.
Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.
Downside ranking
US.INCY · -0.49% median
Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.
Top median-0.49%
Top down rate57.8%
Top P25-2.17%
DOE score2.359
Projected downside + down-rate ranking
Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.
Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.
#1 US.INCY
-0.49%
P25-2.17%
Down57.8%
Dn/Up55.8% / 3%
Score56.7
DownOpp1.051
#2 US.MCK
-0.44%
P25-2.12%
Down56.2%
Dn/Up55.8% / 2.8%
Score58.8
DownOpp0.857
#3 US.CI
-0.44%
P25-2.11%
Down55.8%
Dn/Up55.2% / 3.8%
Score60.3
DownOpp0.751
#4 US.PFE
-0.41%
P25-2.11%
Down55.4%
Dn/Up56.4% / 3.6%
Score56.7
DownOpp0.728
#5 US.TMO
-0.42%
P25-1.91%
Down55.8%
Dn/Up55.2% / 3.4%
Score58.9
DownOpp0.716
#6 US.CVS
-0.34%
P25-1.95%
Down54.8%
Dn/Up55.8% / 3.6%
Score58.4
DownOpp0.557
#7 US.BDX
-0.35%
P25-2.14%
Down55.2%
Dn/Up54.8% / 5.2%
Score61.9
DownOpp0.525
#8 US.MDT
-0.33%
P25-1.87%
Down54.4%
Dn/Up54.6% / 4.6%
Score62.9
DownOpp0.402
#9 US.LH
-0.32%
P25-2.14%
Down54.6%
Dn/Up55.2% / 6.4%
Score64.4
DownOpp0.356
#10 US.ISRG
-0.23%
P25-2.01%
Down53.2%
Dn/Up56.4% / 3.6%
Score55.9
DownOpp0.353
#11 US.VRTX
-0.19%
P25-2.03%
Down53%
Dn/Up56% / 3.2%
Score57.4
DownOpp0.315
#12 US.EXC
-0.17%
P25-2.02%
Down52.8%
Dn/Up53% / 1.4%
Score69.5
DownOpp0.294
#13 US.PEG
-0.23%
P25-2.02%
Down53.2%
Dn/Up53.2% / 2.6%
Score72.9
DownOpp0.288
#14 US.ZBH
-0.24%
P25-1.87%
Down53.2%
Dn/Up55.2% / 4.6%
Score58.7
DownOpp0.247
#15 US.ABT
-0.19%
P25-1.88%
Down53%
Dn/Up54.8% / 3.6%
Score59.4
DownOpp0.239
#16 US.ZTS
-0.15%
P25-2.37%
Down52.6%
Dn/Up56.2% / 5%
Score56.3
DownOpp0.228
#17 US.UNH
-0.15%
P25-1.94%
Down52.8%
Dn/Up55.2% / 3.4%
Score57.1
DownOpp0.227
#18 US.DGX
-0.24%
P25-1.95%
Down54%
Dn/Up55% / 6%
Score64.7
DownOpp0.202
#19 US.PODD
-0.20%
P25-2.26%
Down52.2%
Dn/Up58.4% / 7.4%
Score53.9
DownOpp0.093