Downside opportunities

Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.

Calibration status

3D · n=500

Shared DOE best setting from the as-of run for this snapshot.

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-05-26
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-05-26
DOE window 2026-04-09 → 2026-05-20
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年6月25日 上午4:57 HKT
Rows 19
Excluded uptrends 211

Downside ranking

US.INCY · -0.49% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-0.49%
Top down rate57.8%
Top P25-2.17%
DOE score2.359

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.INCY Incyte · Health Care

-0.49%

P25-2.17% Down57.8% Dn/Up55.8% / 3% Score56.7 DownOpp1.051
View chart 開富途
#2 US.MCK McKesson Corporation · Health Care

-0.44%

P25-2.12% Down56.2% Dn/Up55.8% / 2.8% Score58.8 DownOpp0.857
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#3 US.CI Cigna · Health Care

-0.44%

P25-2.11% Down55.8% Dn/Up55.2% / 3.8% Score60.3 DownOpp0.751
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#4 US.PFE Pfizer · Health Care

-0.41%

P25-2.11% Down55.4% Dn/Up56.4% / 3.6% Score56.7 DownOpp0.728
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#5 US.TMO Thermo Fisher Scientific · Health Care

-0.42%

P25-1.91% Down55.8% Dn/Up55.2% / 3.4% Score58.9 DownOpp0.716
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#6 US.CVS CVS Health · Health Care

-0.34%

P25-1.95% Down54.8% Dn/Up55.8% / 3.6% Score58.4 DownOpp0.557
View chart 開富途
#7 US.BDX Becton Dickinson · Health Care

-0.35%

P25-2.14% Down55.2% Dn/Up54.8% / 5.2% Score61.9 DownOpp0.525
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#8 US.MDT Medtronic · Health Care

-0.33%

P25-1.87% Down54.4% Dn/Up54.6% / 4.6% Score62.9 DownOpp0.402
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#9 US.LH Labcorp · Health Care

-0.32%

P25-2.14% Down54.6% Dn/Up55.2% / 6.4% Score64.4 DownOpp0.356
View chart 開富途
#10 US.ISRG Intuitive Surgical · Health Care

-0.23%

P25-2.01% Down53.2% Dn/Up56.4% / 3.6% Score55.9 DownOpp0.353
View chart 開富途
#11 US.VRTX Vertex Pharmaceuticals · Health Care

-0.19%

P25-2.03% Down53% Dn/Up56% / 3.2% Score57.4 DownOpp0.315
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#12 US.EXC Exelon · Utilities

-0.17%

P25-2.02% Down52.8% Dn/Up53% / 1.4% Score69.5 DownOpp0.294
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#13 US.PEG Public Service Enterprise Group · Utilities

-0.23%

P25-2.02% Down53.2% Dn/Up53.2% / 2.6% Score72.9 DownOpp0.288
View chart 開富途
#14 US.ZBH Zimmer Biomet · Health Care

-0.24%

P25-1.87% Down53.2% Dn/Up55.2% / 4.6% Score58.7 DownOpp0.247
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#15 US.ABT Abbott Laboratories · Health Care

-0.19%

P25-1.88% Down53% Dn/Up54.8% / 3.6% Score59.4 DownOpp0.239
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#16 US.ZTS Zoetis · Health Care

-0.15%

P25-2.37% Down52.6% Dn/Up56.2% / 5% Score56.3 DownOpp0.228
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#17 US.UNH UnitedHealth Group · Health Care

-0.15%

P25-1.94% Down52.8% Dn/Up55.2% / 3.4% Score57.1 DownOpp0.227
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#18 US.DGX Quest Diagnostics · Health Care

-0.24%

P25-1.95% Down54% Dn/Up55% / 6% Score64.7 DownOpp0.202
View chart 開富途
#19 US.PODD Insulet Corporation · Health Care

-0.20%

P25-2.26% Down52.2% Dn/Up58.4% / 7.4% Score53.9 DownOpp0.093
View chart 開富途