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Downside opportunities

Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.

Calibration status

3D · n=500

Shared DOE best setting from the as-of run for this snapshot.

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-05-22
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-05-22
DOE window 2026-04-08 → 2026-05-19
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年6月25日 上午4:59 HKT
Rows 22
Excluded uptrends 195

Downside ranking

US.INCY · -0.42% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-0.42%
Top down rate56.4%
Top P25-2.13%
DOE score2.469

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.INCY Incyte · Health Care

-0.42%

P25-2.13% Down56.4% Dn/Up57% / 3.6% Score53.7 DownOpp0.846
View chart 開富途
#2 US.TMO Thermo Fisher Scientific · Health Care

-0.42%

P25-2.12% Down55.4% Dn/Up56.2% / 3% Score57.2 DownOpp0.773
View chart 開富途
#3 US.VRTX Vertex Pharmaceuticals · Health Care

-0.43%

P25-2.06% Down55.6% Dn/Up55.8% / 3.4% Score60.2 DownOpp0.738
View chart 開富途
#4 US.ISRG Intuitive Surgical · Health Care

-0.34%

P25-2.10% Down55.2% Dn/Up54.8% / 4.4% Score61.7 DownOpp0.554
View chart 開富途
#5 US.WEC WEC Energy Group · Utilities

-0.24%

P25-2.07% Down54.6% Dn/Up53.8% / 1.2% Score70 DownOpp0.529
View chart 開富途
#6 US.ES Eversource Energy · Utilities

-0.27%

P25-2.10% Down53.8% Dn/Up53.2% / 3.2% Score73.6 DownOpp0.355
View chart 開富途
#7 US.CVS CVS Health · Health Care

-0.24%

P25-1.97% Down53% Dn/Up55.8% / 3.2% Score58.1 DownOpp0.345
View chart 開富途
#8 US.GILD Gilead Sciences · Health Care

-0.29%

P25-2.06% Down54.2% Dn/Up55.6% / 5.8% Score64.7 DownOpp0.308
View chart 開富途
#9 US.CMS CMS Energy · Utilities

-0.21%

P25-2.00% Down53.2% Dn/Up52.8% / 2.8% Score72.1 DownOpp0.257
View chart 開富途
#10 US.PFE Pfizer · Health Care

-0.19%

P25-1.96% Down52.8% Dn/Up55.2% / 3.4% Score59.2 DownOpp0.256
View chart 開富途
#11 US.DTE DTE Energy · Utilities

-0.20%

P25-2.05% Down52.6% Dn/Up53% / 2.4% Score70.6 DownOpp0.247
View chart 開富途
#12 US.CI Cigna · Health Care

-0.24%

P25-2.10% Down53.6% Dn/Up55.8% / 6% Score63.9 DownOpp0.214
View chart 開富途
#13 US.ED Consolidated Edison · Utilities

-0.14%

P25-2.02% Down52% Dn/Up53% / 1.6% Score68.8 DownOpp0.193
View chart 開富途
#14 US.PODD Insulet Corporation · Health Care

-0.17%

P25-2.17% Down52.8% Dn/Up56.6% / 5.4% Score57 DownOpp0.185
View chart 開富途
#15 US.MCK McKesson Corporation · Health Care

-0.19%

P25-2.12% Down53.6% Dn/Up55.8% / 6.6% Score66.3 DownOpp0.115
View chart 開富途
#16 US.BIIB Biogen · Health Care

-0.19%

P25-1.97% Down53.4% Dn/Up55.6% / 6% Score64.4 DownOpp0.111
View chart 開富途
#17 US.APD Air Products · Materials

-0.20%

P25-2.30% Down52.6% Dn/Up54.8% / 8% Score56 DownOpp0.083
View chart 開富途
#18 US.GPC Genuine Parts Company · Consumer Discretionary

-0.30%

P25-2.04% Down52.8% Dn/Up55.4% / 8.8% Score57.7 DownOpp0.073
View chart 開富途
#19 US.ABT Abbott Laboratories · Health Care

-0.20%

P25-1.97% Down53.6% Dn/Up55% / 6.8% Score66.8 DownOpp0.072
View chart 開富途
#20 US.ZBH Zimmer Biomet · Health Care

-0.17%

P25-2.16% Down52.8% Dn/Up56% / 6.8% Score64 DownOpp0.046
View chart 開富途
#21 US.AZO AutoZone · Consumer Discretionary

-0.17%

P25-2.19% Down52.6% Dn/Up57.2% / 7.4% Score62.9 DownOpp0.01
View chart 開富途
#22 US.BKNG Booking Holdings · Consumer Discretionary

-0.24%

P25-2.58% Down52.8% Dn/Up511.2% / 11% Score58.9 DownOpp0.007
View chart 開富途