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Downside opportunities

Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.

Calibration status

3D · n=500

Shared DOE best setting from the as-of run for this snapshot.

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-05-21
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-05-21
DOE window 2026-04-07 → 2026-05-18
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年6月25日 上午5:01 HKT
Rows 47
Excluded uptrends 183

Downside ranking

US.VRTX · -0.55% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-0.55%
Top down rate58.6%
Top P25-2.30%
DOE score2.447

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.VRTX Vertex Pharmaceuticals · Health Care

-0.55%

P25-2.30% Down58.6% Dn/Up56% / 2.8% Score59.2 DownOpp1.201
View chart 開富途
#2 US.BIIB Biogen · Health Care

-0.51%

P25-2.22% Down58.2% Dn/Up55.2% / 4.4% Score61.4 DownOpp0.997
View chart 開富途
#3 US.ISRG Intuitive Surgical · Health Care

-0.50%

P25-2.30% Down57% Dn/Up56.4% / 3.6% Score57.5 DownOpp0.988
View chart 開富途
#4 US.MCK McKesson Corporation · Health Care

-0.51%

P25-2.23% Down58.4% Dn/Up55.2% / 4.8% Score62.1 DownOpp0.986
View chart 開富途
#5 US.AZO AutoZone · Consumer Discretionary

-0.61%

P25-2.32% Down56.8% Dn/Up57.2% / 7.6% Score56.9 DownOpp0.851
View chart 開富途
#6 US.CI Cigna · Health Care

-0.41%

P25-2.27% Down55.8% Dn/Up56% / 3.2% Score56.3 DownOpp0.827
View chart 開富途
#7 US.PODD Insulet Corporation · Health Care

-0.50%

P25-2.47% Down55% Dn/Up56.6% / 5.2% Score57.6 DownOpp0.774
View chart 開富途
#8 US.EXPE Expedia Group · Consumer Discretionary

-0.63%

P25-3.10% Down55.2% Dn/Up511.2% / 10.8% Score54.7 DownOpp0.763
View chart 開富途
#9 US.HCA HCA Healthcare · Health Care

-0.39%

P25-2.26% Down56.2% Dn/Up56.8% / 4.8% Score54.2 DownOpp0.757
View chart 開富途
#10 US.PFE Pfizer · Health Care

-0.38%

P25-2.13% Down56% Dn/Up57% / 3.8% Score54.8 DownOpp0.754
View chart 開富途
#11 US.MDT Medtronic · Health Care

-0.43%

P25-2.17% Down56.8% Dn/Up55.6% / 5.4% Score64.5 DownOpp0.709
View chart 開富途
#12 US.BDX Becton Dickinson · Health Care

-0.35%

P25-2.02% Down56% Dn/Up56.2% / 4.2% Score54.6 DownOpp0.674
View chart 開富途
#13 US.MGM MGM Resorts · Consumer Discretionary

-0.57%

P25-2.88% Down54.8% Dn/Up513.6% / 9.8% Score59.3 DownOpp0.641
View chart 開富途
#14 US.GEHC GE HealthCare · Health Care

-0.41%

P25-2.18% Down55.8% Dn/Up55.4% / 5.2% Score63 DownOpp0.634
View chart 開富途
#15 US.LH Labcorp · Health Care

-0.33%

P25-2.01% Down55.2% Dn/Up55.8% / 4% Score56.1 DownOpp0.588
View chart 開富途
#16 US.TSCO Tractor Supply · Consumer Discretionary

-0.58%

P25-2.96% Down54.2% Dn/Up512% / 10.8% Score59 DownOpp0.566
View chart 開富途
#17 US.UNH UnitedHealth Group · Health Care

-0.39%

P25-2.13% Down54.8% Dn/Up54.6% / 4.8% Score61.5 DownOpp0.557
View chart 開富途
#18 US.RCL Royal Caribbean Group · Consumer Discretionary

-0.52%

P25-3.00% Down54.4% Dn/Up512.8% / 10.6% Score58.6 DownOpp0.546
View chart 開富途
#19 US.BKNG Booking Holdings · Consumer Discretionary

-0.47%

P25-3.04% Down54.4% Dn/Up512% / 11% Score53.6 DownOpp0.52
View chart 開富途
#20 US.A Agilent Technologies · Health Care

-0.39%

P25-2.16% Down55.2% Dn/Up56.2% / 5.8% Score66.6 DownOpp0.499
View chart 開富途
#21 US.DGX Quest Diagnostics · Health Care

-0.40%

P25-2.14% Down55% Dn/Up56% / 6% Score64.5 DownOpp0.491
View chart 開富途
#22 US.ABT Abbott Laboratories · Health Care

-0.40%

P25-2.11% Down55% Dn/Up55.8% / 6.2% Score64.2 DownOpp0.474
View chart 開富途
#23 US.CVS CVS Health · Health Care

-0.35%

P25-1.97% Down54.2% Dn/Up54.8% / 4.4% Score60.5 DownOpp0.461
View chart 開富途
#24 US.DHR Danaher Corporation · Health Care

-0.35%

P25-2.14% Down55.2% Dn/Up55.8% / 5.8% Score65.8 DownOpp0.46
View chart 開富途
#25 US.TMO Thermo Fisher Scientific · Health Care

-0.23%

P25-1.94% Down54% Dn/Up56.4% / 3.8% Score52.5 DownOpp0.413
View chart 開富途
#26 US.HAS Hasbro · Consumer Discretionary

-0.43%

P25-2.81% Down53.8% Dn/Up512% / 10.4% Score53.8 DownOpp0.409
View chart 開富途
#27 US.ABNB Airbnb · Consumer Discretionary

-0.46%

P25-2.73% Down53.6% Dn/Up510.6% / 10.6% Score53.1 DownOpp0.396
View chart 開富途
#28 US.DPZ Domino's · Consumer Discretionary

-0.43%

P25-2.85% Down53.8% Dn/Up512.2% / 10.8% Score56.9 DownOpp0.372
View chart 開富途
#29 US.VMC Vulcan Materials Company · Materials

-0.28%

P25-2.10% Down54.6% Dn/Up55% / 7% Score51.2 DownOpp0.369
View chart 開富途
#30 US.WYNN Wynn Resorts · Consumer Discretionary

-0.44%

P25-2.72% Down54% Dn/Up510% / 12% Score53.2 DownOpp0.321
View chart 開富途
#31 US.DASH DoorDash · Consumer Discretionary

-0.44%

P25-2.69% Down53.4% Dn/Up510.4% / 11.2% Score53.3 DownOpp0.313
View chart 開富途
#32 US.HLT Hilton Worldwide · Consumer Discretionary

-0.35%

P25-2.30% Down53.6% Dn/Up56.4% / 7% Score64.7 DownOpp0.308
View chart 開富途
#33 US.GPC Genuine Parts Company · Consumer Discretionary

-0.44%

P25-2.71% Down54% Dn/Up512% / 11.8% Score59.2 DownOpp0.286
View chart 開富途
#34 US.YUM Yum! Brands · Consumer Discretionary

-0.31%

P25-2.21% Down52.6% Dn/Up56.8% / 6.2% Score64 DownOpp0.219
View chart 開富途
#35 US.SYK Stryker Corporation · Health Care

-0.30%

P25-2.18% Down53.6% Dn/Up56.6% / 7.6% Score66.1 DownOpp0.181
View chart 開富途
#36 US.PHM PulteGroup · Consumer Discretionary

-0.30%

P25-2.66% Down53% Dn/Up59% / 10.8% Score50.9 DownOpp0.175
View chart 開富途
#37 US.GILD Gilead Sciences · Health Care

-0.11%

P25-1.99% Down52.4% Dn/Up56.4% / 4.4% Score51.9 DownOpp0.146
View chart 開富途
#38 US.AVY Avery Dennison · Materials

-0.25%

P25-2.07% Down52.6% Dn/Up55.2% / 7.4% Score51.5 DownOpp0.145
View chart 開富途
#39 US.TSLA Tesla, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-0.25%

P25-2.50% Down53% Dn/Up59.8% / 8.6% Score63.4 DownOpp0.124
View chart 開富途
#40 US.DRI Darden Restaurants · Consumer Discretionary

-0.25%

P25-2.29% Down52.2% Dn/Up57% / 6.8% Score64.1 DownOpp0.11
View chart 開富途
#41 US.BF.B Brown–Forman · Consumer Staples

-0.17%

P25-2.01% Down52.2% Dn/Up58.2% / 6.4% Score51.2 DownOpp0.081
View chart 開富途
#42 US.ECL Ecolab · Materials

-0.24%

P25-2.08% Down52.4% Dn/Up55.2% / 7% Score61.5 DownOpp0.071
View chart 開富途
#43 US.ZTS Zoetis · Health Care

-0.20%

P25-2.41% Down52% Dn/Up57.2% / 7.8% Score60 DownOpp0.045
View chart 開富途
#44 US.SJM J.M. Smucker Company (The) · Consumer Staples

-0.17%

P25-1.90% Down54% Dn/Up55.4% / 5.6% Score80.3 DownOpp0.027
View chart 開富途
#45 US.LHX L3Harris · Industrials

-0.22%

P25-1.89% Down51.8% Dn/Up54.2% / 6.8% Score53.8 DownOpp0.025
View chart 開富途
#46 US.URI United Rentals · Industrials

-0.17%

P25-1.97% Down51.8% Dn/Up54.6% / 6.4% Score53.6 DownOpp0.02
View chart 開富途
#47 US.AES AES Corporation · Utilities

-0.02%

P25-2.01% Down50.4% Dn/Up52.2% / 0.6% Score66.9 DownOpp0.017
View chart 開富途