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Downside opportunities

Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.

Calibration status

3D · n=500

Shared DOE best setting from the as-of run for this snapshot.

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-05-14
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-05-14
DOE window 2026-03-30 → 2026-05-11
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年6月25日 上午5:12 HKT
Rows 47
Excluded uptrends 201

Downside ranking

US.WSM · -0.66% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-0.66%
Top down rate56.6%
Top P25-2.97%
DOE score2.661

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.WSM Williams-Sonoma, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-0.66%

P25-2.97% Down56.6% Dn/Up510.4% / 7.6% Score58.7 DownOpp1.034
View chart 開富途
#2 US.RCL Royal Caribbean Group · Consumer Discretionary

-0.62%

P25-3.10% Down56.4% Dn/Up511.2% / 8.4% Score57.2 DownOpp0.974
View chart 開富途
#3 US.CCL Carnival Corporation · Consumer Discretionary

-0.61%

P25-2.93% Down56.2% Dn/Up59.4% / 9% Score54.5 DownOpp0.89
View chart 開富途
#4 US.COO Cooper Companies (The) · Health Care

-0.43%

P25-2.26% Down56.2% Dn/Up55.2% / 4% Score57.4 DownOpp0.821
View chart 開富途
#5 US.DECK Deckers Brands · Consumer Discretionary

-0.55%

P25-3.04% Down55% Dn/Up511% / 8.6% Score53.3 DownOpp0.794
View chart 開富途
#6 US.AMGN Amgen · Health Care

-0.43%

P25-2.14% Down56.6% Dn/Up54.2% / 4% Score61.5 DownOpp0.792
View chart 開富途
#7 US.RL Ralph Lauren Corporation · Consumer Discretionary

-0.51%

P25-2.93% Down55.6% Dn/Up510.4% / 8.8% Score52.4 DownOpp0.77
View chart 開富途
#8 US.REGN Regeneron Pharmaceuticals · Health Care

-0.42%

P25-2.15% Down55.6% Dn/Up55.2% / 3.4% Score58.5 DownOpp0.763
View chart 開富途
#9 US.HCA HCA Healthcare · Health Care

-0.42%

P25-2.14% Down56.2% Dn/Up54.6% / 3.8% Score61.8 DownOpp0.76
View chart 開富途
#10 US.EW Edwards Lifesciences · Health Care

-0.35%

P25-2.12% Down56% Dn/Up55.6% / 3.4% Score55.6 DownOpp0.739
View chart 開富途
#11 US.MDT Medtronic · Health Care

-0.35%

P25-2.07% Down56% Dn/Up56% / 3.4% Score54.2 DownOpp0.737
View chart 開富途
#12 US.ABT Abbott Laboratories · Health Care

-0.33%

P25-1.99% Down55.8% Dn/Up55.8% / 3% Score51.4 DownOpp0.726
View chart 開富途
#13 US.GILD Gilead Sciences · Health Care

-0.34%

P25-2.26% Down55.4% Dn/Up55.2% / 3.2% Score56.6 DownOpp0.721
View chart 開富途
#14 US.RMD ResMed · Health Care

-0.31%

P25-1.97% Down55.4% Dn/Up55.8% / 3.2% Score53 DownOpp0.645
View chart 開富途
#15 US.SYK Stryker Corporation · Health Care

-0.42%

P25-2.15% Down56% Dn/Up55.8% / 5.2% Score64.4 DownOpp0.643
View chart 開富途
#16 US.BBY Best Buy · Consumer Discretionary

-0.39%

P25-3.04% Down54.2% Dn/Up510.4% / 9.4% Score49 DownOpp0.555
View chart 開富途
#17 US.LEN Lennar · Consumer Discretionary

-0.37%

P25-2.85% Down53.8% Dn/Up510.6% / 8.2% Score50.2 DownOpp0.518
View chart 開富途
#18 US.LH Labcorp · Health Care

-0.23%

P25-1.99% Down54% Dn/Up55.8% / 3.6% Score48.8 DownOpp0.466
View chart 開富途
#19 US.D Dominion Energy · Utilities

-0.23%

P25-2.07% Down53.4% Dn/Up52.2% / 0.6% Score69.8 DownOpp0.46
View chart 開富途
#20 US.WYNN Wynn Resorts · Consumer Discretionary

-0.37%

P25-2.73% Down53.6% Dn/Up510.2% / 9% Score49 DownOpp0.433
View chart 開富途
#21 US.A Agilent Technologies · Health Care

-0.32%

P25-2.52% Down53.6% Dn/Up55.6% / 6.6% Score58.1 DownOpp0.406
View chart 開富途
#22 US.EXPE Expedia Group · Consumer Discretionary

-0.32%

P25-3.11% Down53.4% Dn/Up510.6% / 10.4% Score46.6 DownOpp0.396
View chart 開富途
#23 US.NVR NVR, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-0.32%

P25-2.88% Down53.4% Dn/Up510.8% / 9.4% Score48.1 DownOpp0.387
View chart 開富途
#24 US.DGX Quest Diagnostics · Health Care

-0.16%

P25-1.90% Down53.6% Dn/Up55.8% / 3.6% Score48.6 DownOpp0.343
View chart 開富途
#25 US.BDX Becton Dickinson · Health Care

-0.14%

P25-1.92% Down53% Dn/Up55.6% / 3.8% Score48.2 DownOpp0.271
View chart 開富途
#26 US.GM General Motors · Consumer Discretionary

-0.33%

P25-2.07% Down53% Dn/Up56.6% / 6.6% Score56.2 DownOpp0.27
View chart 開富途
#27 US.CAH Cardinal Health · Health Care

-0.28%

P25-2.10% Down54.6% Dn/Up56.2% / 6.6% Score67.7 DownOpp0.269
View chart 開富途
#28 US.MGM MGM Resorts · Consumer Discretionary

-0.22%

P25-2.85% Down53% Dn/Up510.4% / 9.4% Score47.3 DownOpp0.254
View chart 開富途
#29 US.ABBV AbbVie · Health Care

-0.32%

P25-1.97% Down54.4% Dn/Up55.6% / 7.2% Score64.1 DownOpp0.252
View chart 開富途
#30 US.TSCO Tractor Supply · Consumer Discretionary

-0.24%

P25-2.88% Down52.6% Dn/Up510.8% / 10.4% Score45.8 DownOpp0.201
View chart 開富途
#31 US.AES AES Corporation · Utilities

-0.08%

P25-2.01% Down51.8% Dn/Up51% / 0.4% Score67 DownOpp0.2
View chart 開富途
#32 US.GPC Genuine Parts Company · Consumer Discretionary

-0.22%

P25-2.29% Down52.4% Dn/Up56.8% / 7.2% Score52.3 DownOpp0.16
View chart 開富途
#33 US.HLT Hilton Worldwide · Consumer Discretionary

-0.19%

P25-2.13% Down52% Dn/Up56% / 6.2% Score52.1 DownOpp0.12
View chart 開富途
#34 US.CSGP CoStar Group · Real Estate

-0.17%

P25-2.14% Down52.4% Dn/Up55.8% / 7% Score48.1 DownOpp0.116
View chart 開富途
#35 US.TDG TransDigm Group · Industrials

-0.23%

P25-1.90% Down51.6% Dn/Up54.6% / 5.4% Score53.5 DownOpp0.108
View chart 開富途
#36 US.TMO Thermo Fisher Scientific · Health Care

-0.07%

P25-1.97% Down51.8% Dn/Up54.8% / 4.6% Score45.2 DownOpp0.091
View chart 開富途
#37 US.DHR Danaher Corporation · Health Care

-0.07%

P25-1.84% Down51.8% Dn/Up55% / 4% Score47.4 DownOpp0.078
View chart 開富途
#38 US.DRI Darden Restaurants · Consumer Discretionary

-0.18%

P25-2.11% Down52.2% Dn/Up55.2% / 6.8% Score53.1 DownOpp0.077
View chart 開富途
#39 US.PCG PG&E Corporation · Utilities

-0.22%

P25-1.96% Down52.6% Dn/Up53.6% / 5.2% Score71.2 DownOpp0.072
View chart 開富途
#40 US.CVNA Carvana · Consumer Discretionary

-0.18%

P25-2.80% Down51.8% Dn/Up59.2% / 10% Score48.2 DownOpp0.062
View chart 開富途
#41 US.LVS Las Vegas Sands · Consumer Discretionary

-0.17%

P25-2.29% Down51.8% Dn/Up54.8% / 7.4% Score51.6 DownOpp0.055
View chart 開富途
#42 US.HD Home Depot (The) · Consumer Discretionary

-0.18%

P25-2.29% Down51.8% Dn/Up55.8% / 7.8% Score50.1 DownOpp0.053
View chart 開富途
#43 US.MCK McKesson Corporation · Health Care

-0.06%

P25-1.76% Down51.4% Dn/Up55.4% / 3.8% Score47.5 DownOpp0.028
View chart 開富途
#44 US.PFE Pfizer · Health Care

-0.06%

P25-1.80% Down51.4% Dn/Up55.4% / 4% Score47.6 DownOpp0.025
View chart 開富途
#45 US.TJX TJX Companies · Consumer Discretionary

-0.17%

P25-2.24% Down51.8% Dn/Up56.8% / 6.6% Score61.9 DownOpp0.014
View chart 開富途
#46 US.ISRG Intuitive Surgical · Health Care

-0.06%

P25-1.92% Down51.4% Dn/Up55.2% / 5% Score45.6 DownOpp0.01
View chart 開富途
#47 US.PAYX Paychex · Industrials

-0.16%

P25-1.99% Down51.2% Dn/Up54.8% / 5.8% Score53.9 DownOpp0.001
View chart 開富途