S&P 500 Downside Projection Opportunities

Downside ranking

US.MDT · -0.68% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-0.68%

Top down rate61.8%

Top P25-2.44%

DOE score2.668

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.MDT Medtronic · Health Care

-0.68%

P25-2.44% Down61.8% Dn/Up56.6% / 3% Score53.8 DownOpp1.65

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#2 US.EW Edwards Lifesciences · Health Care

-0.67%

P25-2.49% Down61.2% Dn/Up56.6% / 2.2% Score54.4 DownOpp1.649

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#3 US.BDX Becton Dickinson · Health Care

-0.60%

P25-2.49% Down60.2% Dn/Up56.6% / 2.8% Score52 DownOpp1.481

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#4 US.DHR Danaher Corporation · Health Care

-0.60%

P25-2.42% Down60% Dn/Up56.6% / 3.2% Score50.4 DownOpp1.435

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#5 US.ABBV AbbVie · Health Care

-0.55%

P25-2.39% Down59.6% Dn/Up56.4% / 2.2% Score53.3 DownOpp1.384

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#6 US.HCA HCA Healthcare · Health Care

-0.68%

P25-2.28% Down59.6% Dn/Up55.6% / 3.6% Score61.8 DownOpp1.339

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#7 US.COO Cooper Companies (The) · Health Care

-0.55%

P25-2.42% Down59.4% Dn/Up56.2% / 3.4% Score51.4 DownOpp1.318

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#8 US.PFE Pfizer · Health Care

-0.52%

P25-2.36% Down59.2% Dn/Up56.2% / 2.8% Score52.2 DownOpp1.287

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#9 US.AMGN Amgen · Health Care

-0.51%

P25-2.28% Down59% Dn/Up56% / 2.6% Score52.8 DownOpp1.248

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#10 US.RMD ResMed · Health Care

-0.56%

P25-2.42% Down58.6% Dn/Up55.6% / 3.4% Score57.3 DownOpp1.219

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#11 US.MRK Merck & Co. · Health Care

-0.50%

P25-2.34% Down58.8% Dn/Up55.8% / 2.8% Score53.8 DownOpp1.217

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#12 US.REGN Regeneron Pharmaceuticals · Health Care

-0.63%

P25-2.32% Down59.4% Dn/Up55.8% / 4.8% Score63.3 DownOpp1.199

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#13 US.LH Labcorp · Health Care

-0.47%

P25-2.35% Down58.6% Dn/Up56% / 3.4% Score48.2 DownOpp1.18

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#14 US.ABT Abbott Laboratories · Health Care

-0.47%

P25-2.42% Down58.8% Dn/Up56.4% / 4.2% Score49.1 DownOpp1.159

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#15 US.MCK McKesson Corporation · Health Care

-0.53%

P25-2.51% Down57.8% Dn/Up56.4% / 3.8% Score53.5 DownOpp1.152

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#16 US.GILD Gilead Sciences · Health Care

-0.49%

P25-2.19% Down58.2% Dn/Up55.6% / 4.2% Score64.1 DownOpp0.961

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#17 US.BMY Bristol Myers Squibb · Health Care

-0.34%

P25-2.36% Down56.6% Dn/Up55.8% / 3.8% Score47.8 DownOpp0.872

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#18 US.SYK Stryker Corporation · Health Care

-0.30%

P25-2.18% Down56.4% Dn/Up55.6% / 4.4% Score44.6 DownOpp0.758

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#19 US.DGX Quest Diagnostics · Health Care

-0.31%

P25-2.12% Down56.2% Dn/Up55% / 4.4% Score43.4 DownOpp0.747

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#20 US.JNJ Johnson & Johnson · Health Care

-0.33%

P25-2.34% Down56% Dn/Up56.8% / 5.6% Score51.7 DownOpp0.671

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#21 US.CEG Constellation Energy · Utilities

-0.28%

P25-2.21% Down54% Dn/Up53.6% / 1.4% Score66.1 DownOpp0.573

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#22 US.CPRT Copart · Industrials

-0.36%

P25-2.22% Down54.2% Dn/Up55.4% / 4.8% Score52.3 DownOpp0.571

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#23 US.AES AES Corporation · Utilities

-0.23%

P25-2.33% Down53.4% Dn/Up55.2% / 0.8% Score63.2 DownOpp0.562

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#24 US.WY Weyerhaeuser · Real Estate

-0.22%

P25-1.73% Down54.8% Dn/Up55.2% / 3% Score42.9 DownOpp0.535

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#25 US.CRL Charles River Laboratories · Health Care

-0.32%

P25-2.12% Down57% Dn/Up56.4% / 9.4% Score49.6 DownOpp0.474

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#26 US.WSM Williams-Sonoma, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-0.38%

P25-2.82% Down54% Dn/Up511.4% / 8.4% Score59.6 DownOpp0.454

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#27 US.RL Ralph Lauren Corporation · Consumer Discretionary

-0.38%

P25-2.93% Down53.8% Dn/Up511.8% / 9% Score57.6 DownOpp0.444

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#28 US.FAST Fastenal · Industrials

-0.33%

P25-2.41% Down53.2% Dn/Up56.6% / 6% Score52.2 DownOpp0.437

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#29 US.SNA Snap-on · Industrials

-0.28%

P25-2.19% Down53.4% Dn/Up55% / 5% Score50.4 DownOpp0.421

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#30 US.CTAS Cintas · Industrials

-0.35%

P25-2.19% Down53.2% Dn/Up55.8% / 6.2% Score53.6 DownOpp0.38

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#31 US.CCL Carnival Corporation · Consumer Discretionary

-0.38%

P25-2.62% Down53.2% Dn/Up510.4% / 8.6% Score59.7 DownOpp0.327

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#32 US.KMI Kinder Morgan · Energy

-0.25%

P25-2.13% Down53.4% Dn/Up54.8% / 5% Score57.3 DownOpp0.325

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#33 US.HRL Hormel Foods · Consumer Staples

-0.17%

P25-1.87% Down52% Dn/Up53.8% / 2.2% Score52.1 DownOpp0.275

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#34 US.IDXX Idexx Laboratories · Health Care

-0.21%

P25-2.21% Down54.6% Dn/Up55.6% / 8.4% Score51.6 DownOpp0.24

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#35 US.TAP Molson Coors Beverage Company · Consumer Staples

-0.15%

P25-1.92% Down51.8% Dn/Up54% / 2.6% Score51.3 DownOpp0.233

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#36 US.DECK Deckers Brands · Consumer Discretionary

-0.21%

P25-2.87% Down52.6% Dn/Up511% / 8.2% Score55.3 DownOpp0.229

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#37 US.VLTO Veralto · Industrials

-0.22%

P25-2.12% Down52% Dn/Up54.8% / 5.4% Score50.7 DownOpp0.206

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#38 US.PODD Insulet Corporation · Health Care

-0.20%

P25-2.07% Down54% Dn/Up57% / 8% Score47.2 DownOpp0.204

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#39 US.NVR NVR, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-0.17%

P25-2.93% Down52.2% Dn/Up510.6% / 9% Score45.1 DownOpp0.2

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#40 US.PG Procter & Gamble · Consumer Staples

-0.13%

P25-1.96% Down51.6% Dn/Up54.4% / 2.4% Score54.1 DownOpp0.198

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#41 US.LVS Las Vegas Sands · Consumer Discretionary

-0.25%

P25-2.62% Down52.4% Dn/Up59.6% / 8.6% Score51.8 DownOpp0.193

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#42 US.COR Cencora · Health Care

-0.21%

P25-2.06% Down54.4% Dn/Up55.2% / 9.2% Score46.3 DownOpp0.178

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#43 US.LULU Lululemon Athletica · Consumer Discretionary

-0.16%

P25-2.93% Down52% Dn/Up510.6% / 9% Score45.1 DownOpp0.174

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#44 US.TSCO Tractor Supply · Consumer Discretionary

-0.16%

P25-2.93% Down52% Dn/Up510.6% / 9% Score45.1 DownOpp0.174

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#45 US.MKC McCormick & Company · Consumer Staples

-0.12%

P25-2.00% Down51.4% Dn/Up54.4% / 3.2% Score49.4 DownOpp0.169

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#46 US.ISRG Intuitive Surgical · Health Care

-0.19%

P25-2.15% Down54.2% Dn/Up55.4% / 8.4% Score52.8 DownOpp0.164

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#47 US.WM Waste Management · Industrials

-0.20%

P25-2.04% Down52.2% Dn/Up55.4% / 5.6% Score52 DownOpp0.16

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#48 US.D Dominion Energy · Utilities

-0.07%

P25-2.11% Down50.8% Dn/Up52.6% / 0.8% Score61.6 DownOpp0.151

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#49 US.APTV Aptiv · Consumer Discretionary

-0.22%

P25-2.79% Down51.6% Dn/Up59.4% / 8.6% Score50.7 DownOpp0.149

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#50 US.BSX Boston Scientific · Health Care

-0.20%

P25-2.06% Down54.4% Dn/Up56.4% / 9% Score51 DownOpp0.144

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Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

3D · n=500

US.MDT · -0.68% median

Projected downside + down-rate ranking