S&P 500 Downside Projection Opportunities

Downside ranking

US.CEG · -1.34% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-1.34%

Top down rate67.5%

Top P25-2.88%

DOE score2.706

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.CEG Constellation Energy · Utilities

-1.34%

P25-2.88% Down67.5% Dn/Up511.7% / 4.2% Score65.9 DownOpp2.714

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#2 US.MDT Medtronic · Health Care

-1.00%

P25-2.43% Down67.5% Dn/Up55% / 2.5% Score55.2 DownOpp2.444

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#3 US.ABBV AbbVie · Health Care

-0.82%

P25-2.28% Down65% Dn/Up54.2% / 2.5% Score52.9 DownOpp2.043

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#4 US.GILD Gilead Sciences · Health Care

-0.71%

P25-2.44% Down65.8% Dn/Up55% / 3.3% Score61.6 DownOpp1.924

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#5 US.HCA HCA Healthcare · Health Care

-0.93%

P25-2.54% Down61.7% Dn/Up57.5% / 2.5% Score59.7 DownOpp1.903

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#6 US.LNT Alliant Energy · Utilities

-0.77%

P25-2.26% Down62.5% Dn/Up55% / 0% Score66.9 DownOpp1.833

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#7 US.REGN Regeneron Pharmaceuticals · Health Care

-0.72%

P25-2.47% Down63.3% Dn/Up59.2% / 2.5% Score57.4 DownOpp1.821

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#8 US.JNJ Johnson & Johnson · Health Care

-0.71%

P25-2.44% Down61.7% Dn/Up57.5% / 3.3% Score53.7 DownOpp1.655

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#9 US.BDX Becton Dickinson · Health Care

-0.73%

P25-2.18% Down61.7% Dn/Up55% / 2.5% Score65.9 DownOpp1.567

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#10 US.RMD ResMed · Health Care

-0.55%

P25-2.24% Down61.7% Dn/Up56.7% / 2.5% Score51.6 DownOpp1.509

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#11 US.TPL Texas Pacific Land Corporation · Energy

-1.05%

P25-2.90% Down59.2% Dn/Up510% / 10.8% Score50.7 DownOpp1.483

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#12 US.ISRG Intuitive Surgical · Health Care

-0.67%

P25-2.51% Down59.2% Dn/Up58.3% / 3.3% Score47.3 DownOpp1.481

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#13 US.EW Edwards Lifesciences · Health Care

-0.68%

P25-2.49% Down60.8% Dn/Up57.5% / 5% Score58.8 DownOpp1.426

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#14 US.ABT Abbott Laboratories · Health Care

-0.43%

P25-2.24% Down61.7% Dn/Up56.7% / 2.5% Score50.2 DownOpp1.4

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#15 US.CHTR Charter Communications · Communication Services

-0.55%

P25-3.05% Down56.7% Dn/Up510% / 4.2% Score44.5 DownOpp1.263

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#16 US.MCK McKesson Corporation · Health Care

-0.55%

P25-2.32% Down56.7% Dn/Up54.2% / 2.5% Score57.9 DownOpp1.082

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#17 US.DG Dollar General · Consumer Staples

-0.54%

P25-2.32% Down56.7% Dn/Up55% / 3.3% Score55.8 DownOpp1.04

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#18 US.MMM 3M · Industrials

-0.49%

P25-2.42% Down55.8% Dn/Up55% / 2.5% Score53.8 DownOpp1.005

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#19 US.VLTO Veralto · Industrials

-0.43%

P25-2.42% Down55.8% Dn/Up54.2% / 1.7% Score54.8 DownOpp0.986

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#20 US.MRK Merck & Co. · Health Care

-0.33%

P25-2.40% Down56.7% Dn/Up55.8% / 2.5% Score50.8 DownOpp0.935

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#21 US.TT Trane Technologies · Industrials

-0.65%

P25-2.13% Down56.7% Dn/Up55.8% / 6.7% Score57 DownOpp0.889

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#22 US.COO Cooper Companies (The) · Health Care

-0.40%

P25-2.40% Down55.8% Dn/Up59.2% / 3.3% Score52.4 DownOpp0.873

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#23 US.VRTX Vertex Pharmaceuticals · Health Care

-0.45%

P25-1.90% Down60% Dn/Up55.8% / 5.8% Score67.3 DownOpp0.872

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#24 US.VRSK Verisk Analytics · Industrials

-0.22%

P25-2.60% Down56.7% Dn/Up59.2% / 3.3% Score45.2 DownOpp0.869

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#25 US.TAP Molson Coors Beverage Company · Consumer Staples

-0.37%

P25-2.24% Down55.8% Dn/Up56.7% / 2.5% Score55.3 DownOpp0.829

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#26 US.CHD Church & Dwight · Consumer Staples

-0.30%

P25-2.11% Down55% Dn/Up53.3% / 0.8% Score48.8 DownOpp0.814

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#27 US.LLY Lilly (Eli) · Health Care

-0.49%

P25-2.11% Down60% Dn/Up55.8% / 8.3% Score68.2 DownOpp0.808

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#28 US.DLTR Dollar Tree · Consumer Staples

-0.55%

P25-2.96% Down55% Dn/Up57.5% / 9.2% Score45.5 DownOpp0.797

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#29 US.RSG Republic Services · Industrials

-0.36%

P25-2.55% Down56.7% Dn/Up58.3% / 5% Score58.6 DownOpp0.794

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#30 US.TJX TJX Companies · Consumer Discretionary

-0.41%

P25-1.83% Down57.5% Dn/Up54.2% / 4.2% Score57.1 DownOpp0.787

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#31 US.ROL Rollins, Inc. · Industrials

-0.42%

P25-2.40% Down53.3% Dn/Up54.2% / 3.3% Score47.6 DownOpp0.729

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#32 US.CAG Conagra Brands · Consumer Staples

-0.38%

P25-2.23% Down54.2% Dn/Up56.7% / 2.5% Score53.5 DownOpp0.722

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#33 US.WM Waste Management · Industrials

-0.34%

P25-2.55% Down56.7% Dn/Up59.2% / 6.7% Score58.6 DownOpp0.672

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#34 US.AMGN Amgen · Health Care

-0.21%

P25-2.46% Down55% Dn/Up510% / 3.3% Score51.4 DownOpp0.642

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#35 US.ORLY O’Reilly Automotive · Consumer Discretionary

-0.56%

P25-2.14% Down54.2% Dn/Up59.2% / 5.8% Score61.5 DownOpp0.622

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#36 US.MKC McCormick & Company · Consumer Staples

-0.22%

P25-2.06% Down53.3% Dn/Up52.5% / 0.8% Score46.7 DownOpp0.601

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#37 US.CMCSA Comcast · Communication Services

-0.38%

P25-2.31% Down55% Dn/Up55% / 6.7% Score47.6 DownOpp0.599

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#38 US.PCAR Paccar · Industrials

-0.22%

P25-2.20% Down55% Dn/Up57.5% / 4.2% Score44.7 DownOpp0.583

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#39 US.D Dominion Energy · Utilities

-0.10%

P25-2.25% Down54.2% Dn/Up51.7% / 0% Score62.2 DownOpp0.532

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#40 US.DPZ Domino's · Consumer Discretionary

-0.42%

P25-2.95% Down52.5% Dn/Up512.5% / 8.3% Score45.2 DownOpp0.521

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#41 US.TECH Bio-Techne · Health Care

-0.34%

P25-2.84% Down54.2% Dn/Up510.8% / 9.2% Score46.7 DownOpp0.484

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#42 US.TSCO Tractor Supply · Consumer Discretionary

-0.40%

P25-2.85% Down51.7% Dn/Up512.5% / 6.7% Score49.5 DownOpp0.475

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#43 US.SNA Snap-on · Industrials

-0.42%

P25-2.15% Down55.8% Dn/Up56.7% / 9.2% Score53 DownOpp0.472

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#44 US.PNC PNC Financial Services · Financials

-0.23%

P25-1.79% Down55% Dn/Up51.7% / 3.3% Score55 DownOpp0.467

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#45 US.ZBH Zimmer Biomet · Health Care

-0.26%

P25-1.96% Down55.8% Dn/Up52.5% / 7.5% Score40.4 DownOpp0.461

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#46 US.LVS Las Vegas Sands · Consumer Discretionary

-0.29%

P25-2.15% Down54.2% Dn/Up57.5% / 5% Score57.4 DownOpp0.433

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#47 US.AZO AutoZone · Consumer Discretionary

-0.45%

P25-1.86% Down54.2% Dn/Up55.8% / 6.7% Score56.3 DownOpp0.427

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#48 US.CCL Carnival Corporation · Consumer Discretionary

-0.44%

P25-2.97% Down54.2% Dn/Up510% / 10.8% Score59.9 DownOpp0.421

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#49 US.PSKY Paramount Skydance Corporation · Communication Services

-0.24%

P25-2.14% Down54.2% Dn/Up53.3% / 5% Score52 DownOpp0.421

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#50 US.SYK Stryker Corporation · Health Care

-0.20%

P25-2.01% Down53.3% Dn/Up52.5% / 5% Score44.4 DownOpp0.333

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Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

3D · n=120

US.CEG · -1.34% median

Projected downside + down-rate ranking