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Downside opportunities

Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.

Calibration status

3D · n=120

Shared DOE best setting from the as-of run for this snapshot.

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-05-07
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-05-07
DOE window 2026-03-23 → 2026-05-04
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年6月25日 上午5:23 HKT
Rows 50
Excluded uptrends 178

Downside ranking

US.CEG · -1.21% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-1.21%
Top down rate64.2%
Top P25-2.89%
DOE score2.656

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.CEG Constellation Energy · Utilities

-1.21%

P25-2.89% Down64.2% Dn/Up511.7% / 3.3% Score67.3 DownOpp2.366
View chart 開富途
#2 US.ABBV AbbVie · Health Care

-0.71%

P25-2.10% Down64.2% Dn/Up51.7% / 0% Score54.9 DownOpp1.959
View chart 開富途
#3 US.LH Labcorp · Health Care

-0.64%

P25-2.30% Down64.2% Dn/Up54.2% / 1.7% Score51.7 DownOpp1.861
View chart 開富途
#4 US.VRTX Vertex Pharmaceuticals · Health Care

-0.68%

P25-2.21% Down62.5% Dn/Up50.8% / 0% Score57.4 DownOpp1.802
View chart 開富途
#5 US.MDT Medtronic · Health Care

-0.74%

P25-2.81% Down60.8% Dn/Up510% / 2.5% Score51.9 DownOpp1.767
View chart 開富途
#6 US.PFE Pfizer · Health Care

-0.61%

P25-2.63% Down61.7% Dn/Up55.8% / 0.8% Score53 DownOpp1.758
View chart 開富途
#7 US.LNT Alliant Energy · Utilities

-0.76%

P25-2.39% Down60.8% Dn/Up54.2% / 0% Score64.9 DownOpp1.735
View chart 開富途
#8 US.REGN Regeneron Pharmaceuticals · Health Care

-0.73%

P25-2.52% Down62.5% Dn/Up56.7% / 4.2% Score56.3 DownOpp1.686
View chart 開富途
#9 US.AEP American Electric Power · Utilities

-0.70%

P25-2.41% Down60.8% Dn/Up54.2% / 0% Score64.4 DownOpp1.683
View chart 開富途
#10 US.COO Cooper Companies (The) · Health Care

-0.72%

P25-2.53% Down60% Dn/Up510% / 3.3% Score52 DownOpp1.564
View chart 開富途
#11 US.HCA HCA Healthcare · Health Care

-0.63%

P25-2.49% Down58.3% Dn/Up510% / 4.2% Score49.7 DownOpp1.292
View chart 開富途
#12 US.CLX Clorox · Consumer Staples

-0.60%

P25-3.17% Down57.5% Dn/Up510% / 7.5% Score44.9 DownOpp1.206
View chart 開富途
#13 US.DLTR Dollar Tree · Consumer Staples

-0.74%

P25-3.14% Down55.8% Dn/Up510.8% / 7.5% Score46.2 DownOpp1.192
View chart 開富途
#14 US.IDXX Idexx Laboratories · Health Care

-0.47%

P25-1.98% Down61.7% Dn/Up55% / 5% Score62.3 DownOpp1.134
View chart 開富途
#15 US.ISRG Intuitive Surgical · Health Care

-0.48%

P25-1.89% Down58.3% Dn/Up54.2% / 2.5% Score44.8 DownOpp1.131
View chart 開富途
#16 US.CMCSA Comcast · Communication Services

-0.44%

P25-2.14% Down58.3% Dn/Up52.5% / 4.2% Score47.6 DownOpp1.03
View chart 開富途
#17 US.WY Weyerhaeuser · Real Estate

-0.46%

P25-1.59% Down57.5% Dn/Up55% / 1.7% Score46.5 DownOpp1.007
View chart 開富途
#18 US.CHTR Charter Communications · Communication Services

-0.46%

P25-3.05% Down55% Dn/Up510% / 5% Score44.3 DownOpp0.99
View chart 開富途
#19 US.MCK McKesson Corporation · Health Care

-0.37%

P25-2.24% Down56.7% Dn/Up54.2% / 0.8% Score64.2 DownOpp0.937
View chart 開富途
#20 US.BMY Bristol Myers Squibb · Health Care

-0.35%

P25-2.27% Down57.5% Dn/Up58.3% / 4.2% Score50.6 DownOpp0.886
View chart 開富途
#21 US.TMO Thermo Fisher Scientific · Health Care

-0.39%

P25-1.88% Down55% Dn/Up53.3% / 0.8% Score55.4 DownOpp0.797
View chart 開富途
#22 US.NEE NextEra Energy · Utilities

-0.17%

P25-2.36% Down55.8% Dn/Up51.7% / 0% Score61.5 DownOpp0.763
View chart 開富途
#23 US.ABT Abbott Laboratories · Health Care

-0.33%

P25-1.99% Down57.5% Dn/Up55% / 5.8% Score45.3 DownOpp0.74
View chart 開富途
#24 US.JNJ Johnson & Johnson · Health Care

-0.29%

P25-2.42% Down54.2% Dn/Up56.7% / 1.7% Score51.9 DownOpp0.74
View chart 開富途
#25 US.RTX RTX Corporation · Industrials

-0.36%

P25-2.37% Down57.5% Dn/Up56.7% / 6.7% Score57.9 DownOpp0.716
View chart 開富途
#26 US.MOS Mosaic Company (The) · Materials

-0.54%

P25-3.14% Down59.2% Dn/Up515% / 16.7% Score47.7 DownOpp0.701
View chart 開富途
#27 US.CHRW C.H. Robinson · Industrials

-0.22%

P25-2.34% Down55.8% Dn/Up58.3% / 4.2% Score46.3 DownOpp0.67
View chart 開富途
#28 US.DG Dollar General · Consumer Staples

-0.35%

P25-2.04% Down55.8% Dn/Up53.3% / 4.2% Score55.2 DownOpp0.658
View chart 開富途
#29 US.BR Broadridge Financial Solutions · Industrials

-0.63%

P25-2.37% Down54.2% Dn/Up57.5% / 8.3% Score53.9 DownOpp0.656
View chart 開富途
#30 US.LEN Lennar · Consumer Discretionary

-0.47%

P25-3.03% Down51.7% Dn/Up513.3% / 5.8% Score50 DownOpp0.641
View chart 開富途
#31 US.DGX Quest Diagnostics · Health Care

-0.32%

P25-2.22% Down55.8% Dn/Up56.7% / 5.8% Score47.2 DownOpp0.637
View chart 開富途
#32 US.GILD Gilead Sciences · Health Care

-0.42%

P25-2.00% Down58.3% Dn/Up55% / 7.5% Score67.5 DownOpp0.628
View chart 開富途
#33 US.PCAR Paccar · Industrials

-0.27%

P25-2.37% Down52.5% Dn/Up52.5% / 1.7% Score45.5 DownOpp0.619
View chart 開富途
#34 US.KVUE Kenvue · Consumer Staples

-0.51%

P25-1.78% Down57.5% Dn/Up51.7% / 5.8% Score78.6 DownOpp0.618
View chart 開富途
#35 US.EW Edwards Lifesciences · Health Care

-0.35%

P25-2.10% Down55.8% Dn/Up54.2% / 4.2% Score64.7 DownOpp0.602
View chart 開富途
#36 US.PNR Pentair · Industrials

-0.22%

P25-2.88% Down54.2% Dn/Up59.2% / 5.8% Score45.7 DownOpp0.585
View chart 開富途
#37 US.OTIS Otis Worldwide · Industrials

-0.36%

P25-2.30% Down53.3% Dn/Up55.8% / 3.3% Score55.7 DownOpp0.583
View chart 開富途
#38 US.MMM 3M · Industrials

-0.21%

P25-2.39% Down53.3% Dn/Up54.2% / 2.5% Score47.3 DownOpp0.567
View chart 開富途
#39 US.WM Waste Management · Industrials

-0.37%

P25-2.49% Down55% Dn/Up58.3% / 8.3% Score51.9 DownOpp0.505
View chart 開富途
#40 US.AZO AutoZone · Consumer Discretionary

-0.50%

P25-1.65% Down54.2% Dn/Up54.2% / 5.8% Score57.1 DownOpp0.472
View chart 開富途
#41 US.BKNG Booking Holdings · Consumer Discretionary

-0.39%

P25-2.97% Down53.3% Dn/Up58.3% / 9.2% Score52.7 DownOpp0.449
View chart 開富途
#42 US.MSI Motorola Solutions · Information Technology

-0.27%

P25-2.04% Down54.2% Dn/Up55.8% / 4.2% Score55.5 DownOpp0.448
View chart 開富途
#43 US.TXT Textron · Industrials

-0.38%

P25-1.99% Down55% Dn/Up56.7% / 6.7% Score58.3 DownOpp0.438
View chart 開富途
#44 US.KR Kroger · Consumer Staples

-0.19%

P25-1.97% Down54.2% Dn/Up50.8% / 3.3% Score59 DownOpp0.378
View chart 開富途
#45 US.HON Honeywell · Industrials

-0.13%

P25-2.21% Down53.3% Dn/Up54.2% / 3.3% Score54 DownOpp0.343
View chart 開富途
#46 US.BBY Best Buy · Consumer Discretionary

-0.16%

P25-3.06% Down50.8% Dn/Up512.5% / 5% Score46.6 DownOpp0.339
View chart 開富途
#47 US.TJX TJX Companies · Consumer Discretionary

-0.30%

P25-1.56% Down54.2% Dn/Up52.5% / 4.2% Score58.5 DownOpp0.335
View chart 開富途
#48 US.ROL Rollins, Inc. · Industrials

-0.21%

P25-1.75% Down53.3% Dn/Up50.8% / 4.2% Score46.6 DownOpp0.31
View chart 開富途
#49 US.CHD Church & Dwight · Consumer Staples

-0.19%

P25-2.08% Down51.7% Dn/Up56.7% / 2.5% Score52.2 DownOpp0.305
View chart 開富途
#50 US.CTAS Cintas · Industrials

-0.29%

P25-2.00% Down51.7% Dn/Up54.2% / 3.3% Score57.8 DownOpp0.295
View chart 開富途