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Downside opportunities

Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.

Calibration status

3D · n=120

Shared DOE best setting from the as-of run for this snapshot.

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-05-05
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-05-05
DOE window 2026-03-19 → 2026-04-30
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年6月25日 上午5:27 HKT
Rows 50
Excluded uptrends 182

Downside ranking

US.BBY · -1.51% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-1.51%
Top down rate64.2%
Top P25-4.06%
DOE score2.711

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.BBY Best Buy · Consumer Discretionary

-1.51%

P25-4.06% Down64.2% Dn/Up517.5% / 3.3% Score48.6 DownOpp3.099
View chart 開富途
#2 US.COR Cencora · Health Care

-1.12%

P25-2.49% Down68.3% Dn/Up55.8% / 0% Score56.9 DownOpp2.78
View chart 開富途
#3 US.BR Broadridge Financial Solutions · Industrials

-1.16%

P25-2.97% Down63.3% Dn/Up510.8% / 2.5% Score44.9 DownOpp2.48
View chart 開富途
#4 US.JNJ Johnson & Johnson · Health Care

-0.90%

P25-2.47% Down66.7% Dn/Up59.2% / 0.8% Score54.9 DownOpp2.394
View chart 開富途
#5 US.LULU Lululemon Athletica · Consumer Discretionary

-1.07%

P25-3.63% Down60% Dn/Up515.8% / 3.3% Score46.1 DownOpp2.234
View chart 開富途
#6 US.MKC McCormick & Company · Consumer Staples

-1.04%

P25-3.59% Down63.3% Dn/Up514.2% / 7.5% Score44.6 DownOpp2.217
View chart 開富途
#7 US.AMGN Amgen · Health Care

-0.97%

P25-2.41% Down65% Dn/Up55.8% / 2.5% Score55.1 DownOpp2.209
View chart 開富途
#8 US.CPRT Copart · Industrials

-0.95%

P25-2.60% Down66.7% Dn/Up58.3% / 5.8% Score56.5 DownOpp2.164
View chart 開富途
#9 US.ROL Rollins, Inc. · Industrials

-1.08%

P25-2.56% Down61.7% Dn/Up53.3% / 1.7% Score54.8 DownOpp2.143
View chart 開富途
#10 US.CI Cigna · Health Care

-0.89%

P25-2.52% Down65.8% Dn/Up55.8% / 3.3% Score59.3 DownOpp2.141
View chart 開富途
#11 US.BF.B Brown–Forman · Consumer Staples

-1.16%

P25-3.59% Down60% Dn/Up511.7% / 5.8% Score50.2 DownOpp2.133
View chart 開富途
#12 US.ISRG Intuitive Surgical · Health Care

-0.89%

P25-2.43% Down64.2% Dn/Up55.8% / 1.7% Score53.8 DownOpp2.128
View chart 開富途
#13 US.VRTX Vertex Pharmaceuticals · Health Care

-0.93%

P25-2.75% Down63.3% Dn/Up58.3% / 1.7% Score60.3 DownOpp2.127
View chart 開富途
#14 US.CLX Clorox · Consumer Staples

-0.97%

P25-3.83% Down60.8% Dn/Up513.3% / 6.7% Score40 DownOpp2.089
View chart 開富途
#15 US.UBER Uber · Industrials

-1.08%

P25-2.48% Down60.8% Dn/Up55% / 1.7% Score55.1 DownOpp2.049
View chart 開富途
#16 US.CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill · Consumer Discretionary

-0.91%

P25-4.06% Down60% Dn/Up516.7% / 5.8% Score48.6 DownOpp2.012
View chart 開富途
#17 US.WM Waste Management · Industrials

-0.86%

P25-2.61% Down65.8% Dn/Up510% / 6.7% Score55.2 DownOpp1.96
View chart 開富途
#18 US.EMR Emerson Electric · Industrials

-1.08%

P25-2.51% Down58.3% Dn/Up54.2% / 0.8% Score54.8 DownOpp1.912
View chart 開富途
#19 US.CVNA Carvana · Consumer Discretionary

-0.89%

P25-3.29% Down60.8% Dn/Up510.8% / 5% Score49.6 DownOpp1.905
View chart 開富途
#20 US.LHX L3Harris · Industrials

-0.91%

P25-3.05% Down60% Dn/Up57.5% / 3.3% Score52.8 DownOpp1.879
View chart 開富途
#21 US.PPG PPG Industries · Materials

-0.88%

P25-4.12% Down63.3% Dn/Up516.7% / 12.5% Score51.6 DownOpp1.837
View chart 開富途
#22 US.CBRE CBRE Group · Real Estate

-0.69%

P25-2.69% Down63.3% Dn/Up58.3% / 4.2% Score52.6 DownOpp1.78
View chart 開富途
#23 US.RMD ResMed · Health Care

-0.72%

P25-2.61% Down61.7% Dn/Up57.5% / 2.5% Score55.2 DownOpp1.745
View chart 開富途
#24 US.CEG Constellation Energy · Utilities

-0.73%

P25-2.82% Down62.5% Dn/Up511.7% / 3.3% Score69.1 DownOpp1.719
View chart 開富途
#25 US.DLTR Dollar Tree · Consumer Staples

-0.84%

P25-3.15% Down60.8% Dn/Up510% / 6.7% Score50.3 DownOpp1.712
View chart 開富途
#26 US.CSGP CoStar Group · Real Estate

-0.61%

P25-2.70% Down60% Dn/Up55.8% / 0.8% Score43.8 DownOpp1.709
View chart 開富途
#27 US.ABBV AbbVie · Health Care

-0.71%

P25-2.11% Down65% Dn/Up55% / 5% Score65.2 DownOpp1.649
View chart 開富途
#28 US.REGN Regeneron Pharmaceuticals · Health Care

-0.72%

P25-2.57% Down60.8% Dn/Up58.3% / 3.3% Score51 DownOpp1.646
View chart 開富途
#29 US.BA Boeing · Industrials

-0.94%

P25-2.94% Down60% Dn/Up59.2% / 7.5% Score53.6 DownOpp1.623
View chart 開富途
#30 US.IDXX Idexx Laboratories · Health Care

-0.70%

P25-2.52% Down60% Dn/Up57.5% / 2.5% Score60 DownOpp1.53
View chart 開富途
#31 US.MDT Medtronic · Health Care

-0.55%

P25-2.77% Down60% Dn/Up510% / 2.5% Score51.4 DownOpp1.507
View chart 開富途
#32 US.IP International Paper · Materials

-0.55%

P25-3.66% Down60% Dn/Up517.5% / 8.3% Score42.3 DownOpp1.45
View chart 開富途
#33 US.HCA HCA Healthcare · Health Care

-0.70%

P25-2.35% Down60% Dn/Up54.2% / 5% Score45.5 DownOpp1.446
View chart 開富途
#34 US.UPS United Parcel Service · Industrials

-0.84%

P25-2.76% Down59.2% Dn/Up57.5% / 7.5% Score54 DownOpp1.411
View chart 開富途
#35 US.BSX Boston Scientific · Health Care

-0.55%

P25-2.46% Down60.8% Dn/Up56.7% / 5% Score44.4 DownOpp1.396
View chart 開富途
#36 US.GRMN Garmin · Consumer Discretionary

-0.59%

P25-2.91% Down57.5% Dn/Up511.7% / 4.2% Score50.7 DownOpp1.285
View chart 開富途
#37 US.LDOS Leidos · Industrials

-0.58%

P25-2.64% Down59.2% Dn/Up58.3% / 4.2% Score58.8 DownOpp1.283
View chart 開富途
#38 US.ALGN Align Technology · Health Care

-0.51%

P25-2.47% Down59.2% Dn/Up56.7% / 5% Score43 DownOpp1.241
View chart 開富途
#39 US.CAG Conagra Brands · Consumer Staples

-0.58%

P25-2.17% Down56.7% Dn/Up59.2% / 0.8% Score50.1 DownOpp1.235
View chart 開富途
#40 US.GILD Gilead Sciences · Health Care

-0.65%

P25-2.18% Down59.2% Dn/Up55% / 4.2% Score65.4 DownOpp1.189
View chart 開富途
#41 US.NVR NVR, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-0.62%

P25-3.42% Down56.7% Dn/Up513.3% / 8.3% Score45.8 DownOpp1.17
View chart 開富途
#42 US.VICI Vici Properties · Real Estate

-0.41%

P25-1.96% Down60% Dn/Up50.8% / 2.5% Score54.6 DownOpp1.141
View chart 開富途
#43 US.WSM Williams-Sonoma, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-0.65%

P25-2.89% Down58.3% Dn/Up510% / 8.3% Score55.2 DownOpp1.124
View chart 開富途
#44 US.EXPD Expeditors International · Industrials

-0.93%

P25-2.28% Down59.2% Dn/Up510.8% / 6.7% Score95.6 DownOpp1.117
View chart 開富途
#45 US.VLTO Veralto · Industrials

-0.70%

P25-2.44% Down57.5% Dn/Up54.2% / 6.7% Score52.4 DownOpp1.115
View chart 開富途
#46 US.ECL Ecolab · Materials

-0.57%

P25-2.77% Down55% Dn/Up511.7% / 3.3% Score46.6 DownOpp1.115
View chart 開富途
#47 US.SYK Stryker Corporation · Health Care

-0.43%

P25-2.28% Down58.3% Dn/Up55% / 3.3% Score46.9 DownOpp1.114
View chart 開富途
#48 US.ALLE Allegion · Industrials

-0.54%

P25-2.18% Down58.3% Dn/Up55.8% / 5% Score48.5 DownOpp1.085
View chart 開富途
#49 US.LVS Las Vegas Sands · Consumer Discretionary

-0.61%

P25-2.97% Down59.2% Dn/Up59.2% / 10% Score54.6 DownOpp1.079
View chart 開富途
#50 US.CMCSA Comcast · Communication Services

-0.42%

P25-2.00% Down59.2% Dn/Up52.5% / 4.2% Score49.1 DownOpp1.036
View chart 開富途