Downside opportunities

Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.

Calibration status

3D · n=120

Shared DOE best setting from the as-of run for this snapshot.

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-05-01
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-05-01
DOE window 2026-03-17 → 2026-04-28
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年6月25日 上午5:32 HKT
Rows 50
Excluded uptrends 195

Downside ranking

US.MOS · -1.90% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-1.90%
Top down rate70%
Top P25-4.45%
DOE score2.724

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.MOS Mosaic Company (The) · Materials

-1.90%

P25-4.45% Down70% Dn/Up521.7% / 10.8% Score46.9 DownOpp3.613
View chart 開富途
#2 US.BF.B Brown–Forman · Consumer Staples

-1.67%

P25-3.58% Down68.3% Dn/Up513.3% / 6.7% Score44.6 DownOpp3.293
View chart 開富途
#3 US.CBRE CBRE Group · Real Estate

-1.11%

P25-3.15% Down70% Dn/Up55.8% / 1.7% Score50.2 DownOpp3.019
View chart 開富途
#4 US.PPG PPG Industries · Materials

-1.46%

P25-4.26% Down68.3% Dn/Up520% / 11.7% Score50.2 DownOpp2.911
View chart 開富途
#5 US.NVR NVR, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-1.18%

P25-3.63% Down63.3% Dn/Up513.3% / 6.7% Score46.1 DownOpp2.404
View chart 開富途
#6 US.PNR Pentair · Industrials

-1.23%

P25-3.11% Down61.7% Dn/Up59.2% / 4.2% Score45.7 DownOpp2.349
View chart 開富途
#7 US.GILD Gilead Sciences · Health Care

-1.22%

P25-2.66% Down64.2% Dn/Up58.3% / 5% Score57.4 DownOpp2.291
View chart 開富途
#8 US.DLTR Dollar Tree · Consumer Staples

-1.32%

P25-3.58% Down59.2% Dn/Up513.3% / 7.5% Score43 DownOpp2.179
View chart 開富途
#9 US.SHW Sherwin-Williams · Materials

-1.15%

P25-3.59% Down59.2% Dn/Up514.2% / 5% Score41.1 DownOpp2.175
View chart 開富途
#10 US.BDX Becton Dickinson · Health Care

-0.91%

P25-2.42% Down65% Dn/Up58.3% / 3.3% Score46.3 DownOpp2.17
View chart 開富途
#11 US.SW Smurfit Westrock · Materials

-1.08%

P25-4.12% Down64.2% Dn/Up517.5% / 12.5% Score46.5 DownOpp2.147
View chart 開富途
#12 US.AMCR Amcor · Materials

-0.94%

P25-3.46% Down60% Dn/Up516.7% / 3.3% Score44.9 DownOpp2.07
View chart 開富途
#13 US.MCK McKesson Corporation · Health Care

-0.93%

P25-2.52% Down64.2% Dn/Up59.2% / 5.8% Score48.8 DownOpp1.982
View chart 開富途
#14 US.WAT Waters Corporation · Health Care

-0.85%

P25-2.80% Down61.7% Dn/Up57.5% / 3.3% Score44.7 DownOpp1.953
View chart 開富途
#15 US.ITW Illinois Tool Works · Industrials

-1.02%

P25-2.79% Down60.8% Dn/Up57.5% / 4.2% Score54.6 DownOpp1.92
View chart 開富途
#16 US.EFX Equifax · Industrials

-0.81%

P25-2.88% Down60.8% Dn/Up59.2% / 2.5% Score45 DownOpp1.906
View chart 開富途
#17 US.PFE Pfizer · Health Care

-0.86%

P25-2.39% Down64.2% Dn/Up59.2% / 5.8% Score48.2 DownOpp1.884
View chart 開富途
#18 US.ZBH Zimmer Biomet · Health Care

-0.69%

P25-2.82% Down61.7% Dn/Up58.3% / 3.3% Score40 DownOpp1.833
View chart 開富途
#19 US.IDXX Idexx Laboratories · Health Care

-0.80%

P25-2.78% Down62.5% Dn/Up58.3% / 5% Score59.8 DownOpp1.747
View chart 開富途
#20 US.CAH Cardinal Health · Health Care

-0.54%

P25-2.52% Down61.7% Dn/Up56.7% / 0.8% Score52.1 DownOpp1.667
View chart 開富途
#21 US.IQV IQVIA · Health Care

-0.50%

P25-2.91% Down60.8% Dn/Up57.5% / 1.7% Score45.3 DownOpp1.65
View chart 開富途
#22 US.ZTS Zoetis · Health Care

-0.78%

P25-2.60% Down60.8% Dn/Up511.7% / 5% Score50.3 DownOpp1.617
View chart 開富途
#23 US.OMC Omnicom Group · Communication Services

-0.79%

P25-2.54% Down60% Dn/Up57.5% / 3.3% Score60.7 DownOpp1.572
View chart 開富途
#24 US.DG Dollar General · Consumer Staples

-0.43%

P25-2.02% Down61.7% Dn/Up53.3% / 0% Score47.9 DownOpp1.512
View chart 開富途
#25 US.CSGP CoStar Group · Real Estate

-0.41%

P25-2.65% Down60.8% Dn/Up55% / 2.5% Score46.3 DownOpp1.439
View chart 開富途
#26 US.T AT&T · Communication Services

-0.64%

P25-2.30% Down60.8% Dn/Up57.5% / 3.3% Score60.1 DownOpp1.43
View chart 開富途
#27 US.CRM Salesforce · Information Technology

-0.91%

P25-4.68% Down59.2% Dn/Up523.3% / 15% Score65.3 DownOpp1.426
View chart 開富途
#28 US.AMGN Amgen · Health Care

-0.58%

P25-2.86% Down58.3% Dn/Up510% / 1.7% Score59.5 DownOpp1.411
View chart 開富途
#29 US.GPC Genuine Parts Company · Consumer Discretionary

-0.81%

P25-3.64% Down55.8% Dn/Up510.8% / 6.7% Score49.9 DownOpp1.408
View chart 開富途
#30 US.CRL Charles River Laboratories · Health Care

-0.57%

P25-3.00% Down58.3% Dn/Up57.5% / 4.2% Score47 DownOpp1.379
View chart 開富途
#31 US.PHM PulteGroup · Consumer Discretionary

-0.74%

P25-3.35% Down55.8% Dn/Up57.5% / 5% Score49.3 DownOpp1.372
View chart 開富途
#32 US.FTV Fortive · Industrials

-0.85%

P25-2.23% Down59.2% Dn/Up55.8% / 5.8% Score57.1 DownOpp1.367
View chart 開富途
#33 US.STE Steris · Health Care

-0.72%

P25-2.40% Down56.7% Dn/Up59.2% / 2.5% Score51.8 DownOpp1.318
View chart 開富途
#34 US.REGN Regeneron Pharmaceuticals · Health Care

-0.69%

P25-2.44% Down57.5% Dn/Up59.2% / 3.3% Score52.4 DownOpp1.309
View chart 開富途
#35 US.NFLX Netflix · Communication Services

-0.53%

P25-2.17% Down60.8% Dn/Up52.5% / 5% Score47.6 DownOpp1.279
View chart 開富途
#36 US.CEG Constellation Energy · Utilities

-0.51%

P25-2.61% Down59.2% Dn/Up510% / 2.5% Score62.9 DownOpp1.277
View chart 開富途
#37 US.DGX Quest Diagnostics · Health Care

-0.53%

P25-2.91% Down58.3% Dn/Up57.5% / 5% Score47.4 DownOpp1.266
View chart 開富途
#38 US.SOLV Solventum · Health Care

-0.58%

P25-2.58% Down58.3% Dn/Up510.8% / 4.2% Score50.3 DownOpp1.26
View chart 開富途
#39 US.SYK Stryker Corporation · Health Care

-0.58%

P25-2.49% Down57.5% Dn/Up56.7% / 2.5% Score54.8 DownOpp1.242
View chart 開富途
#40 US.FDS FactSet · Financials

-0.66%

P25-3.10% Down56.7% Dn/Up514.2% / 4.2% Score63.9 DownOpp1.24
View chart 開富途
#41 US.TSCO Tractor Supply · Consumer Discretionary

-0.57%

P25-3.39% Down55.8% Dn/Up513.3% / 5% Score49.8 DownOpp1.208
View chart 開富途
#42 US.TECH Bio-Techne · Health Care

-0.52%

P25-2.49% Down58.3% Dn/Up57.5% / 3.3% Score53.9 DownOpp1.204
View chart 開富途
#43 US.ERIE Erie Indemnity · Financials

-0.51%

P25-3.02% Down56.7% Dn/Up510% / 4.2% Score46.1 DownOpp1.203
View chart 開富途
#44 US.A Agilent Technologies · Health Care

-0.56%

P25-3.37% Down58.3% Dn/Up510.8% / 7.5% Score56 DownOpp1.197
View chart 開富途
#45 US.CMCSA Comcast · Communication Services

-0.55%

P25-2.08% Down60% Dn/Up52.5% / 5.8% Score47.5 DownOpp1.166
View chart 開富途
#46 US.RMD ResMed · Health Care

-0.56%

P25-2.86% Down55.8% Dn/Up59.2% / 2.5% Score57.6 DownOpp1.157
View chart 開富途
#47 US.ARE Alexandria Real Estate Equities · Real Estate

-0.40%

P25-2.74% Down56.7% Dn/Up56.7% / 3.3% Score40.7 DownOpp1.118
View chart 開富途
#48 US.LH Labcorp · Health Care

-0.46%

P25-2.36% Down58.3% Dn/Up55% / 5% Score45.5 DownOpp1.073
View chart 開富途
#49 US.HSY Hershey Company (The) · Consumer Staples

-0.37%

P25-2.10% Down57.5% Dn/Up59.2% / 0.8% Score51 DownOpp1.065
View chart 開富途
#50 US.CAG Conagra Brands · Consumer Staples

-0.40%

P25-2.08% Down56.7% Dn/Up59.2% / 0.8% Score49.7 DownOpp1.035
View chart 開富途