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Downside opportunities

Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.

Calibration status

3D · n=120

Shared DOE best setting from the as-of run for this snapshot.

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-04-27
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-04-27
DOE window 2026-03-11 → 2026-04-22
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年6月25日 上午5:40 HKT
Rows 50
Excluded uptrends 185

Downside ranking

US.AMCR · -1.88% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-1.88%
Top down rate70.8%
Top P25-4.53%
DOE score2.611

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.AMCR Amcor · Materials

-1.88%

P25-4.53% Down70.8% Dn/Up522.5% / 8.3% Score44.2 DownOpp3.847
View chart 開富途
#2 US.SW Smurfit Westrock · Materials

-1.97%

P25-4.90% Down68.3% Dn/Up524.2% / 9.2% Score47.3 DownOpp3.752
View chart 開富途
#3 US.STE Steris · Health Care

-1.46%

P25-2.95% Down72.5% Dn/Up54.2% / 0% Score58.8 DownOpp3.557
View chart 開富途
#4 US.ADP Automatic Data Processing · Industrials

-1.37%

P25-3.55% Down70% Dn/Up512.5% / 0.8% Score55.5 DownOpp3.393
View chart 開富途
#5 US.CPRT Copart · Industrials

-1.59%

P25-3.26% Down69.2% Dn/Up510% / 2.5% Score57.6 DownOpp3.359
View chart 開富途
#6 US.J Jacobs Solutions · Industrials

-1.51%

P25-3.58% Down69.2% Dn/Up510.8% / 3.3% Score54.3 DownOpp3.336
View chart 開富途
#7 US.GE GE Aerospace · Industrials

-1.50%

P25-3.55% Down66.7% Dn/Up515% / 4.2% Score48.3 DownOpp3.109
View chart 開富途
#8 US.AOS A. O. Smith · Industrials

-1.40%

P25-3.32% Down66.7% Dn/Up510% / 2.5% Score57.7 DownOpp2.983
View chart 開富途
#9 US.DG Dollar General · Consumer Staples

-1.55%

P25-3.16% Down66.7% Dn/Up511.7% / 5.8% Score54.9 DownOpp2.916
View chart 開富途
#10 US.TDG TransDigm Group · Industrials

-1.33%

P25-3.07% Down64.2% Dn/Up512.5% / 2.5% Score42.8 DownOpp2.763
View chart 開富途
#11 US.RVTY Revvity · Health Care

-0.98%

P25-3.24% Down66.7% Dn/Up510% / 2.5% Score44.7 DownOpp2.641
View chart 開富途
#12 US.SOLV Solventum · Health Care

-1.06%

P25-2.83% Down67.5% Dn/Up54.2% / 1.7% Score60.8 DownOpp2.61
View chart 開富途
#13 US.EFX Equifax · Industrials

-1.23%

P25-3.05% Down64.2% Dn/Up510% / 3.3% Score44.4 DownOpp2.598
View chart 開富途
#14 US.OTIS Otis Worldwide · Industrials

-1.27%

P25-3.00% Down63.3% Dn/Up57.5% / 3.3% Score53 DownOpp2.488
View chart 開富途
#15 US.IQV IQVIA · Health Care

-1.17%

P25-2.97% Down64.2% Dn/Up58.3% / 5% Score42.3 DownOpp2.431
View chart 開富途
#16 US.ZTS Zoetis · Health Care

-0.91%

P25-2.78% Down65.8% Dn/Up510.8% / 0.8% Score54.3 DownOpp2.414
View chart 開富途
#17 US.BBY Best Buy · Consumer Discretionary

-1.17%

P25-3.36% Down62.5% Dn/Up511.7% / 5% Score47.3 DownOpp2.355
View chart 開富途
#18 US.VRSK Verisk Analytics · Industrials

-1.19%

P25-2.86% Down64.2% Dn/Up59.2% / 5% Score52.6 DownOpp2.347
View chart 開富途
#19 US.IDXX Idexx Laboratories · Health Care

-0.88%

P25-2.48% Down65.8% Dn/Up55% / 0.8% Score54.3 DownOpp2.309
View chart 開富途
#20 US.CSGP CoStar Group · Real Estate

-0.95%

P25-2.67% Down65.8% Dn/Up55% / 3.3% Score51.2 DownOpp2.3
View chart 開富途
#21 US.CCL Carnival Corporation · Consumer Discretionary

-1.15%

P25-3.30% Down62.5% Dn/Up513.3% / 5% Score51 DownOpp2.293
View chart 開富途
#22 US.BIIB Biogen · Health Care

-1.04%

P25-2.78% Down65% Dn/Up510.8% / 3.3% Score64.6 DownOpp2.252
View chart 開富途
#23 US.FDS FactSet · Financials

-1.05%

P25-3.82% Down61.7% Dn/Up510.8% / 5% Score56.3 DownOpp2.219
View chart 開富途
#24 US.REGN Regeneron Pharmaceuticals · Health Care

-0.85%

P25-2.94% Down65% Dn/Up510% / 3.3% Score50.7 DownOpp2.207
View chart 開富途
#25 US.BF.B Brown–Forman · Consumer Staples

-1.30%

P25-2.98% Down62.5% Dn/Up510.8% / 7.5% Score53.4 DownOpp2.194
View chart 開富途
#26 US.TECH Bio-Techne · Health Care

-0.94%

P25-3.58% Down63.3% Dn/Up57.5% / 5.8% Score50.8 DownOpp2.17
View chart 開富途
#27 US.CL Colgate-Palmolive · Consumer Staples

-1.06%

P25-2.50% Down61.7% Dn/Up52.5% / 0.8% Score58.4 DownOpp2.135
View chart 開富途
#28 US.VRTX Vertex Pharmaceuticals · Health Care

-0.86%

P25-2.88% Down64.2% Dn/Up59.2% / 3.3% Score51.1 DownOpp2.135
View chart 開富途
#29 US.MMM 3M · Industrials

-1.05%

P25-3.17% Down61.7% Dn/Up510% / 5.8% Score51.3 DownOpp2.046
View chart 開富途
#30 US.IP International Paper · Materials

-1.08%

P25-4.18% Down62.5% Dn/Up519.2% / 13.3% Score45.3 DownOpp1.987
View chart 開富途
#31 US.DGX Quest Diagnostics · Health Care

-0.81%

P25-2.75% Down65% Dn/Up55.8% / 4.2% Score61.5 DownOpp1.984
View chart 開富途
#32 US.EMR Emerson Electric · Industrials

-1.09%

P25-3.02% Down59.2% Dn/Up58.3% / 3.3% Score58.6 DownOpp1.944
View chart 開富途
#33 US.CI Cigna · Health Care

-1.00%

P25-2.35% Down65% Dn/Up57.5% / 5.8% Score71.4 DownOpp1.904
View chart 開富途
#34 US.TXT Textron · Industrials

-0.85%

P25-3.25% Down59.2% Dn/Up57.5% / 2.5% Score48.2 DownOpp1.887
View chart 開富途
#35 US.EL Estée Lauder Companies (The) · Consumer Staples

-1.07%

P25-2.83% Down61.7% Dn/Up510% / 6.7% Score59.7 DownOpp1.864
View chart 開富途
#36 US.STZ Constellation Brands · Consumer Staples

-0.70%

P25-2.65% Down62.5% Dn/Up54.2% / 1.7% Score54.1 DownOpp1.855
View chart 開富途
#37 US.MCK McKesson Corporation · Health Care

-0.85%

P25-2.53% Down61.7% Dn/Up54.2% / 2.5% Score55.6 DownOpp1.852
View chart 開富途
#38 US.MTD Mettler Toledo · Health Care

-0.89%

P25-3.27% Down62.5% Dn/Up59.2% / 7.5% Score57.1 DownOpp1.829
View chart 開富途
#39 US.FAST Fastenal · Industrials

-0.77%

P25-2.81% Down63.3% Dn/Up58.3% / 5% Score55.2 DownOpp1.823
View chart 開富途
#40 US.IFF International Flavors & Fragrances · Materials

-0.93%

P25-3.41% Down57.5% Dn/Up514.2% / 3.3% Score49.5 DownOpp1.813
View chart 開富途
#41 US.HSIC Henry Schein · Health Care

-0.76%

P25-2.46% Down64.2% Dn/Up55% / 4.2% Score61.7 DownOpp1.796
View chart 開富途
#42 US.MKC McCormick & Company · Consumer Staples

-0.99%

P25-3.17% Down58.3% Dn/Up510.8% / 5% Score49.8 DownOpp1.773
View chart 開富途
#43 US.CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill · Consumer Discretionary

-0.84%

P25-2.81% Down62.5% Dn/Up57.5% / 7.5% Score46.3 DownOpp1.745
View chart 開富途
#44 US.PEP PepsiCo · Consumer Staples

-0.63%

P25-2.70% Down62.5% Dn/Up54.2% / 2.5% Score55.2 DownOpp1.741
View chart 開富途
#45 US.RMD ResMed · Health Care

-0.61%

P25-2.65% Down60.8% Dn/Up55% / 0% Score55.9 DownOpp1.717
View chart 開富途
#46 US.SJM J.M. Smucker Company (The) · Consumer Staples

-0.81%

P25-2.79% Down62.5% Dn/Up54.2% / 5% Score65.6 DownOpp1.716
View chart 開富途
#47 US.HOOD Robinhood Markets · Financials

-0.76%

P25-3.86% Down59.2% Dn/Up515.8% / 5.8% Score58.8 DownOpp1.672
View chart 開富途
#48 US.GPN Global Payments · Financials

-0.86%

P25-3.89% Down59.2% Dn/Up515.8% / 8.3% Score56.1 DownOpp1.65
View chart 開富途
#49 US.LLY Lilly (Eli) · Health Care

-0.74%

P25-2.38% Down60% Dn/Up58.3% / 2.5% Score46 DownOpp1.64
View chart 開富途
#50 US.HUM Humana · Health Care

-0.92%

P25-2.32% Down60.8% Dn/Up58.3% / 3.3% Score73.4 DownOpp1.616
View chart 開富途