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Downside opportunities

Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.

Calibration status

3D · n=160

Shared DOE best setting from the as-of run for this snapshot.

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-04-20
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-04-20
DOE window 2026-03-04 → 2026-04-15
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年6月25日 上午5:52 HKT
Rows 50
Excluded uptrends 196

Downside ranking

US.PSX · -1.65% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-1.65%
Top down rate68.1%
Top P25-3.42%
DOE score2.981

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.PSX Phillips 66 · Energy

-1.65%

P25-3.42% Down68.1% Dn/Up512.5% / 5.6% Score42.2 DownOpp3.3
View chart 開富途
#2 US.MPC Marathon Petroleum · Energy

-1.60%

P25-3.51% Down70% Dn/Up513.1% / 10% Score43.9 DownOpp3.148
View chart 開富途
#3 US.CVX Chevron Corporation · Energy

-1.58%

P25-3.17% Down67.5% Dn/Up510.6% / 6.9% Score38.7 DownOpp3.068
View chart 開富途
#4 US.MOS Mosaic Company (The) · Materials

-1.35%

P25-4.26% Down66.3% Dn/Up521.3% / 8.8% Score41.3 DownOpp2.881
View chart 開富途
#5 US.CAG Conagra Brands · Consumer Staples

-1.37%

P25-3.24% Down64.4% Dn/Up514.4% / 6.9% Score43.4 DownOpp2.593
View chart 開富途
#6 US.HON Honeywell · Industrials

-1.06%

P25-2.94% Down64.4% Dn/Up59.4% / 1.9% Score57.2 DownOpp2.404
View chart 開富途
#7 US.EXE Expand Energy · Energy

-1.02%

P25-2.35% Down65.6% Dn/Up58.1% / 5% Score43 DownOpp2.233
View chart 開富途
#8 US.ITW Illinois Tool Works · Industrials

-1.04%

P25-2.89% Down63.1% Dn/Up59.4% / 2.5% Score59.7 DownOpp2.213
View chart 開富途
#9 US.MDT Medtronic · Health Care

-0.89%

P25-2.51% Down64.4% Dn/Up55% / 0.6% Score58.6 DownOpp2.194
View chart 開富途
#10 US.MKC McCormick & Company · Consumer Staples

-1.14%

P25-2.95% Down63.1% Dn/Up510.6% / 5% Score59.4 DownOpp2.18
View chart 開富途
#11 US.CVS CVS Health · Health Care

-0.89%

P25-2.58% Down63.8% Dn/Up53.8% / 0.6% Score59.1 DownOpp2.16
View chart 開富途
#12 US.OTIS Otis Worldwide · Industrials

-1.01%

P25-2.79% Down63.1% Dn/Up510.6% / 2.5% Score59.8 DownOpp2.157
View chart 開富途
#13 US.BF.B Brown–Forman · Consumer Staples

-1.10%

P25-2.82% Down63.8% Dn/Up58.1% / 5% Score62.7 DownOpp2.139
View chart 開富途
#14 US.IR Ingersoll Rand · Industrials

-1.10%

P25-3.51% Down61.9% Dn/Up513.1% / 6.3% Score56.5 DownOpp2.128
View chart 開富途
#15 US.KHC Kraft Heinz · Consumer Staples

-0.79%

P25-3.18% Down61.9% Dn/Up58.1% / 0.6% Score51.5 DownOpp2.115
View chart 開富途
#16 US.GIS General Mills · Consumer Staples

-0.81%

P25-3.18% Down61.9% Dn/Up59.4% / 1.3% Score53.1 DownOpp2.081
View chart 開富途
#17 US.CARR Carrier Global · Industrials

-1.12%

P25-3.51% Down61.3% Dn/Up512.5% / 6.9% Score57.4 DownOpp2.057
View chart 開富途
#18 US.ALLE Allegion · Industrials

-0.78%

P25-2.94% Down63.1% Dn/Up510.6% / 2.5% Score55.1 DownOpp2
View chart 開富途
#19 US.PNR Pentair · Industrials

-0.96%

P25-2.71% Down62.5% Dn/Up59.4% / 3.1% Score62 DownOpp1.987
View chart 開富途
#20 US.ZBH Zimmer Biomet · Health Care

-0.80%

P25-2.58% Down62.5% Dn/Up52.5% / 0.6% Score59.1 DownOpp1.966
View chart 開富途
#21 US.GE GE Aerospace · Industrials

-1.10%

P25-3.32% Down61.9% Dn/Up512.5% / 7.5% Score63.2 DownOpp1.958
View chart 開富途
#22 US.BSX Boston Scientific · Health Care

-0.94%

P25-2.56% Down61.9% Dn/Up56.9% / 2.5% Score59.5 DownOpp1.936
View chart 開富途
#23 US.LII Lennox International · Industrials

-1.10%

P25-3.07% Down61.3% Dn/Up510% / 6.9% Score58.7 DownOpp1.917
View chart 開富途
#24 US.GD General Dynamics · Industrials

-0.90%

P25-2.76% Down60% Dn/Up55.6% / 1.9% Score49.4 DownOpp1.906
View chart 開富途
#25 US.ELV Elevance Health · Health Care

-0.77%

P25-2.44% Down64.4% Dn/Up55% / 2.5% Score67.7 DownOpp1.874
View chart 開富途
#26 US.EMR Emerson Electric · Industrials

-0.86%

P25-2.84% Down61.3% Dn/Up58.1% / 1.9% Score64.9 DownOpp1.873
View chart 開富途
#27 US.BR Broadridge Financial Solutions · Industrials

-1.06%

P25-2.71% Down60% Dn/Up57.5% / 3.8% Score59.3 DownOpp1.865
View chart 開富途
#28 US.MTD Mettler Toledo · Health Care

-0.81%

P25-2.45% Down61.9% Dn/Up54.4% / 1.3% Score62.6 DownOpp1.827
View chart 開富途
#29 US.NDSN Nordson Corporation · Industrials

-0.83%

P25-2.82% Down61.3% Dn/Up58.1% / 2.5% Score66.6 DownOpp1.789
View chart 開富途
#30 US.ABBV AbbVie · Health Care

-0.76%

P25-2.52% Down60.6% Dn/Up58.8% / 1.9% Score46.3 DownOpp1.777
View chart 開富途
#31 US.GILD Gilead Sciences · Health Care

-0.73%

P25-2.60% Down62.5% Dn/Up58.8% / 4.4% Score49.9 DownOpp1.742
View chart 開富途
#32 US.RMD ResMed · Health Care

-0.65%

P25-2.44% Down61.3% Dn/Up54.4% / 0% Score58.6 DownOpp1.724
View chart 開富途
#33 US.DHR Danaher Corporation · Health Care

-0.75%

P25-2.44% Down62.5% Dn/Up55.6% / 2.5% Score64.9 DownOpp1.723
View chart 開富途
#34 US.TXT Textron · Industrials

-0.96%

P25-2.68% Down60% Dn/Up58.8% / 4.4% Score60 DownOpp1.716
View chart 開富途
#35 US.CLX Clorox · Consumer Staples

-0.63%

P25-2.93% Down59.4% Dn/Up58.1% / 0.6% Score48.5 DownOpp1.715
View chart 開富途
#36 US.AOS A. O. Smith · Industrials

-1.11%

P25-3.30% Down58.1% Dn/Up510% / 8.1% Score52 DownOpp1.707
View chart 開富途
#37 US.VST Vistra Corp. · Utilities

-0.70%

P25-2.47% Down61.9% Dn/Up59.4% / 1.9% Score62 DownOpp1.691
View chart 開富途
#38 US.ABT Abbott Laboratories · Health Care

-0.69%

P25-2.10% Down60% Dn/Up56.3% / 0% Score43.7 DownOpp1.687
View chart 開富途
#39 US.UHS Universal Health Services · Health Care

-0.85%

P25-2.51% Down58.8% Dn/Up55% / 1.3% Score58.3 DownOpp1.666
View chart 開富途
#40 US.LDOS Leidos · Industrials

-0.78%

P25-2.74% Down60.6% Dn/Up56.9% / 5% Score54.5 DownOpp1.604
View chart 開富途
#41 US.LHX L3Harris · Industrials

-0.80%

P25-2.79% Down59.4% Dn/Up55.6% / 5% Score50.7 DownOpp1.569
View chart 開富途
#42 US.BA Boeing · Industrials

-0.86%

P25-3.07% Down58.1% Dn/Up59.4% / 4.4% Score61.3 DownOpp1.552
View chart 開富途
#43 US.ISRG Intuitive Surgical · Health Care

-0.64%

P25-2.22% Down62.5% Dn/Up53.8% / 2.5% Score68.5 DownOpp1.531
View chart 開富途
#44 US.VLTO Veralto · Industrials

-0.86%

P25-2.71% Down58.8% Dn/Up58.8% / 4.4% Score60.5 DownOpp1.524
View chart 開富途
#45 US.CTAS Cintas · Industrials

-0.60%

P25-3.18% Down60.6% Dn/Up511.3% / 3.1% Score71.9 DownOpp1.518
View chart 開富途
#46 US.VRTX Vertex Pharmaceuticals · Health Care

-0.54%

P25-2.49% Down59.4% Dn/Up55.6% / 0% Score56.3 DownOpp1.492
View chart 開富途
#47 US.HCA HCA Healthcare · Health Care

-0.54%

P25-2.50% Down59.4% Dn/Up57.5% / 0.6% Score53.7 DownOpp1.478
View chart 開富途
#48 US.COO Cooper Companies (The) · Health Care

-0.58%

P25-2.51% Down60% Dn/Up55.6% / 2.5% Score52.1 DownOpp1.467
View chart 開富途
#49 US.SYK Stryker Corporation · Health Care

-0.58%

P25-2.26% Down60.6% Dn/Up53.8% / 1.3% Score62.1 DownOpp1.449
View chart 開富途
#50 US.ZTS Zoetis · Health Care

-0.64%

P25-2.39% Down60.6% Dn/Up53.8% / 1.9% Score71.6 DownOpp1.435
View chart 開富途