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Downside opportunities

Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.

Calibration status

3D · n=320

Shared DOE best setting from the as-of run for this snapshot.

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-04-15
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-04-15
DOE window 2026-02-27 → 2026-04-10
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年6月25日 上午5:58 HKT
Rows 50
Excluded uptrends 169

Downside ranking

US.MOS · -1.27% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-1.27%
Top down rate62.2%
Top P25-3.69%
DOE score2.969

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.MOS Mosaic Company (The) · Materials

-1.27%

P25-3.69% Down62.2% Dn/Up516.9% / 9.4% Score43.5 DownOpp2.278
View chart 開富途
#2 US.J Jacobs Solutions · Industrials

-0.98%

P25-2.94% Down63.8% Dn/Up58.1% / 2.2% Score55.3 DownOpp2.272
View chart 開富途
#3 US.BA Boeing · Industrials

-0.96%

P25-2.84% Down63.8% Dn/Up58.1% / 2.5% Score58 DownOpp2.189
View chart 開富途
#4 US.MO Altria · Consumer Staples

-0.87%

P25-3.06% Down62.5% Dn/Up58.8% / 1.6% Score52.5 DownOpp2.145
View chart 開富途
#5 US.ADM Archer Daniels Midland · Consumer Staples

-1.02%

P25-3.03% Down62.5% Dn/Up59.7% / 5% Score57 DownOpp2.05
View chart 開富途
#6 US.DLTR Dollar Tree · Consumer Staples

-0.99%

P25-2.99% Down60.6% Dn/Up510% / 3.8% Score43 DownOpp2.035
View chart 開富途
#7 US.SYY Sysco · Consumer Staples

-1.02%

P25-3.16% Down61.6% Dn/Up511.9% / 5.3% Score55.5 DownOpp2.004
View chart 開富途
#8 US.KO Coca-Cola Company (The) · Consumer Staples

-0.88%

P25-2.97% Down61.9% Dn/Up58.4% / 3.1% Score56 DownOpp1.969
View chart 開富途
#9 US.MCK McKesson Corporation · Health Care

-0.89%

P25-2.51% Down61.9% Dn/Up54.7% / 1.3% Score57 DownOpp1.964
View chart 開富途
#10 US.BDX Becton Dickinson · Health Care

-0.84%

P25-2.60% Down61.6% Dn/Up54.7% / 0.9% Score58.1 DownOpp1.928
View chart 開富途
#11 US.SNA Snap-on · Industrials

-0.83%

P25-2.74% Down62.2% Dn/Up58.4% / 2.5% Score58.6 DownOpp1.902
View chart 開富途
#12 US.BBY Best Buy · Consumer Discretionary

-0.81%

P25-3.50% Down58.8% Dn/Up512.2% / 4.4% Score50.2 DownOpp1.749
View chart 開富途
#13 US.LEN Lennar · Consumer Discretionary

-0.78%

P25-3.38% Down59.7% Dn/Up512.5% / 4.7% Score49.9 DownOpp1.745
View chart 開富途
#14 US.AMGN Amgen · Health Care

-0.74%

P25-2.58% Down60% Dn/Up54.1% / 0.6% Score58.4 DownOpp1.711
View chart 開富途
#15 US.PNR Pentair · Industrials

-0.72%

P25-2.78% Down60.3% Dn/Up58.4% / 1.3% Score61.4 DownOpp1.701
View chart 開富途
#16 US.ROL Rollins, Inc. · Industrials

-0.72%

P25-2.77% Down60.6% Dn/Up59.1% / 1.6% Score61.9 DownOpp1.7
View chart 開富途
#17 US.IDXX Idexx Laboratories · Health Care

-0.69%

P25-2.60% Down60.3% Dn/Up55.3% / 0.6% Score59.5 DownOpp1.682
View chart 開富途
#18 US.VRTX Vertex Pharmaceuticals · Health Care

-0.65%

P25-2.65% Down60.3% Dn/Up56.6% / 1.3% Score55.3 DownOpp1.644
View chart 開富途
#19 US.CI Cigna · Health Care

-0.68%

P25-2.53% Down60.6% Dn/Up55% / 1.3% Score63.1 DownOpp1.609
View chart 開富途
#20 US.PPG PPG Industries · Materials

-0.95%

P25-3.58% Down59.7% Dn/Up516.9% / 9.4% Score60.5 DownOpp1.603
View chart 開富途
#21 US.LDOS Leidos · Industrials

-0.68%

P25-2.74% Down60.6% Dn/Up58.1% / 3.1% Score57.9 DownOpp1.593
View chart 開富途
#22 US.INCY Incyte · Health Care

-0.68%

P25-2.51% Down60.9% Dn/Up55.3% / 2.2% Score61.9 DownOpp1.583
View chart 開富途
#23 US.ABBV AbbVie · Health Care

-0.62%

P25-2.62% Down59.4% Dn/Up55.9% / 0.9% Score55 DownOpp1.56
View chart 開富途
#24 US.SJM J.M. Smucker Company (The) · Consumer Staples

-0.62%

P25-2.97% Down58.8% Dn/Up57.8% / 1.9% Score52.8 DownOpp1.556
View chart 開富途
#25 US.CL Colgate-Palmolive · Consumer Staples

-0.58%

P25-2.78% Down58.8% Dn/Up57.5% / 0.9% Score49.5 DownOpp1.554
View chart 開富途
#26 US.ADP Automatic Data Processing · Industrials

-0.63%

P25-2.75% Down59.1% Dn/Up57.5% / 1.9% Score50.9 DownOpp1.55
View chart 開富途
#27 US.EMR Emerson Electric · Industrials

-0.69%

P25-2.68% Down59.4% Dn/Up58.8% / 1.9% Score61.4 DownOpp1.537
View chart 開富途
#28 US.GEHC GE HealthCare · Health Care

-0.56%

P25-2.54% Down59.7% Dn/Up56.3% / 0.6% Score54.4 DownOpp1.527
View chart 開富途
#29 US.HRL Hormel Foods · Consumer Staples

-0.57%

P25-2.71% Down59.4% Dn/Up56.9% / 1.6% Score53 DownOpp1.506
View chart 開富途
#30 US.FFIV F5, Inc. · Information Technology

-0.84%

P25-4.06% Down57.2% Dn/Up521.6% / 8.1% Score58.9 DownOpp1.503
View chart 開富途
#31 US.UNP Union Pacific Corporation · Industrials

-0.69%

P25-2.85% Down60% Dn/Up510.6% / 3.1% Score69.1 DownOpp1.498
View chart 開富途
#32 US.ZBH Zimmer Biomet · Health Care

-0.67%

P25-2.51% Down60% Dn/Up54.7% / 2.5% Score60.9 DownOpp1.491
View chart 開富途
#33 US.UHS Universal Health Services · Health Care

-0.56%

P25-2.64% Down58.8% Dn/Up56.3% / 0.9% Score54.5 DownOpp1.461
View chart 開富途
#34 US.UAL United Airlines Holdings · Industrials

-0.74%

P25-3.06% Down58.1% Dn/Up510.3% / 4.4% Score60.2 DownOpp1.438
View chart 開富途
#35 US.GILD Gilead Sciences · Health Care

-0.53%

P25-2.69% Down58.8% Dn/Up55.3% / 0.6% Score58.7 DownOpp1.43
View chart 開富途
#36 US.DG Dollar General · Consumer Staples

-0.67%

P25-2.92% Down57.8% Dn/Up56.6% / 2.8% Score56.9 DownOpp1.429
View chart 開富途
#37 US.AVY Avery Dennison · Materials

-0.75%

P25-3.32% Down57.8% Dn/Up512.5% / 6.9% Score49.8 DownOpp1.416
View chart 開富途
#38 US.AMCR Amcor · Materials

-0.89%

P25-4.03% Down58.4% Dn/Up518.1% / 12.2% Score56.4 DownOpp1.414
View chart 開富途
#39 US.KHC Kraft Heinz · Consumer Staples

-0.56%

P25-2.83% Down57.8% Dn/Up57.8% / 1.9% Score49.1 DownOpp1.409
View chart 開富途
#40 US.GWW W. W. Grainger · Industrials

-0.59%

P25-2.64% Down58.8% Dn/Up56.9% / 1.6% Score61.4 DownOpp1.397
View chart 開富途
#41 US.CLX Clorox · Consumer Staples

-0.71%

P25-3.20% Down58.1% Dn/Up511.3% / 6.6% Score49.5 DownOpp1.391
View chart 開富途
#42 US.ROK Rockwell Automation · Industrials

-0.63%

P25-2.66% Down58.8% Dn/Up57.8% / 2.2% Score63.4 DownOpp1.391
View chart 開富途
#43 US.CME CME Group · Financials

-0.69%

P25-2.52% Down57.2% Dn/Up52.8% / 2.5% Score48.3 DownOpp1.384
View chart 開富途
#44 US.PFE Pfizer · Health Care

-0.62%

P25-2.44% Down58.1% Dn/Up53.8% / 1.6% Score56.2 DownOpp1.361
View chart 開富途
#45 US.MPC Marathon Petroleum · Energy

-0.82%

P25-3.74% Down58.4% Dn/Up514.1% / 11.3% Score51.9 DownOpp1.36
View chart 開富途
#46 US.CAG Conagra Brands · Consumer Staples

-0.48%

P25-2.51% Down58.4% Dn/Up58.1% / 1.6% Score44.2 DownOpp1.352
View chart 開富途
#47 US.COR Cencora · Health Care

-0.55%

P25-2.59% Down58.1% Dn/Up57.8% / 1.9% Score53.1 DownOpp1.333
View chart 開富途
#48 US.MTD Mettler Toledo · Health Care

-0.54%

P25-2.46% Down58.4% Dn/Up55.3% / 0.9% Score60.6 DownOpp1.318
View chart 開富途
#49 US.SHW Sherwin-Williams · Materials

-0.74%

P25-2.87% Down58.1% Dn/Up511.3% / 5.9% Score58.5 DownOpp1.313
View chart 開富途
#50 US.ELV Elevance Health · Health Care

-0.53%

P25-2.38% Down59.4% Dn/Up54.1% / 1.6% Score64.1 DownOpp1.3
View chart 開富途