S&P 500 Downside Projection Opportunities

Downside ranking

US.CLX · -0.97% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-0.97%

Top down rate60.4%

Top P25-3.20%

DOE score3.049

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.CLX Clorox · Consumer Staples

-0.97%

P25-3.20% Down60.4% Dn/Up510.2% / 4.8% Score49.3 DownOpp1.944

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#2 US.ABBV AbbVie · Health Care

-0.81%

P25-2.65% Down60% Dn/Up56% / 2.6% Score54.8 DownOpp1.705

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#3 US.RMD ResMed · Health Care

-0.72%

P25-2.63% Down60.8% Dn/Up55.8% / 1.2% Score62.3 DownOpp1.702

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#4 US.IDXX Idexx Laboratories · Health Care

-0.75%

P25-2.64% Down60.4% Dn/Up56% / 2.2% Score55 DownOpp1.697

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#5 US.LLY Lilly (Eli) · Health Care

-0.70%

P25-2.51% Down60.8% Dn/Up55.2% / 1.4% Score65.4 DownOpp1.617

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#6 US.MCK McKesson Corporation · Health Care

-0.70%

P25-2.57% Down60.2% Dn/Up55.6% / 2.8% Score54.8 DownOpp1.58

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#7 US.DLTR Dollar Tree · Consumer Staples

-0.73%

P25-3.09% Down59% Dn/Up510.4% / 4.6% Score49.3 DownOpp1.577

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#8 US.COR Cencora · Health Care

-0.66%

P25-2.68% Down59.2% Dn/Up56% / 1.8% Score56.1 DownOpp1.537

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#9 US.MOS Mosaic Company (The) · Materials

-0.96%

P25-3.45% Down58.2% Dn/Up515% / 10.2% Score47.1 DownOpp1.513

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#10 US.HCA HCA Healthcare · Health Care

-0.65%

P25-2.58% Down59.6% Dn/Up55% / 1.4% Score63.4 DownOpp1.504

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#11 US.DOC Healthpeak Properties · Real Estate

-0.56%

P25-2.37% Down59.6% Dn/Up54.8% / 1.8% Score43.9 DownOpp1.483

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#12 US.MGM MGM Resorts · Consumer Discretionary

-0.66%

P25-3.28% Down58.4% Dn/Up512% / 5.8% Score47.3 DownOpp1.449

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#13 US.STE Steris · Health Care

-0.65%

P25-2.49% Down59.4% Dn/Up55% / 1.4% Score66.1 DownOpp1.445

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#14 US.EQT EQT Corporation · Energy

-0.78%

P25-3.11% Down58.6% Dn/Up512.4% / 8.2% Score44.8 DownOpp1.418

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#15 US.DXCM Dexcom · Health Care

-0.62%

P25-2.51% Down58.8% Dn/Up55% / 2.2% Score57.4 DownOpp1.389

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#16 US.J Jacobs Solutions · Industrials

-0.68%

P25-2.69% Down58.4% Dn/Up56% / 3.8% Score54.5 DownOpp1.388

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#17 US.TSLA Tesla, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-0.60%

P25-3.29% Down58.6% Dn/Up511.6% / 6.8% Score45.3 DownOpp1.363

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#18 US.GD General Dynamics · Industrials

-0.63%

P25-2.76% Down58% Dn/Up56.4% / 3.2% Score55.2 DownOpp1.354

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#19 US.AMGN Amgen · Health Care

-0.59%

P25-2.53% Down58.8% Dn/Up54.8% / 2% Score62.8 DownOpp1.336

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#20 US.LDOS Leidos · Industrials

-0.63%

P25-2.70% Down57.8% Dn/Up56.2% / 3% Score55.4 DownOpp1.334

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#21 US.CI Cigna · Health Care

-0.51%

P25-2.59% Down58.4% Dn/Up55.8% / 1% Score63.3 DownOpp1.295

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#22 US.VRTX Vertex Pharmaceuticals · Health Care

-0.65%

P25-2.49% Down57.4% Dn/Up55% / 2.6% Score57.4 DownOpp1.278

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#23 US.SYY Sysco · Consumer Staples

-0.64%

P25-3.00% Down57.2% Dn/Up59.8% / 5.2% Score52.1 DownOpp1.263

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#24 US.GILD Gilead Sciences · Health Care

-0.53%

P25-2.54% Down57.8% Dn/Up56.2% / 2% Score54.9 DownOpp1.257

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#25 US.KR Kroger · Consumer Staples

-0.48%

P25-2.70% Down57.2% Dn/Up56.4% / 2% Score47.8 DownOpp1.253

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#26 US.LEN Lennar · Consumer Discretionary

-0.53%

P25-3.27% Down58% Dn/Up512% / 6.4% Score51.8 DownOpp1.215

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#27 US.WMT Walmart · Consumer Staples

-0.56%

P25-2.73% Down57.2% Dn/Up57.4% / 3% Score60 DownOpp1.189

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#28 US.DG Dollar General · Consumer Staples

-0.63%

P25-3.00% Down56.2% Dn/Up510.2% / 4.8% Score54.5 DownOpp1.179

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#29 US.KMB Kimberly-Clark · Consumer Staples

-0.55%

P25-2.66% Down56.4% Dn/Up57% / 2.4% Score54.6 DownOpp1.174

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#30 US.BSX Boston Scientific · Health Care

-0.59%

P25-2.51% Down57% Dn/Up55.6% / 3.6% Score54.9 DownOpp1.15

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#31 US.UHS Universal Health Services · Health Care

-0.49%

P25-2.49% Down57.2% Dn/Up54.2% / 1.6% Score59.5 DownOpp1.146

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#32 US.GEHC GE HealthCare · Health Care

-0.51%

P25-2.51% Down57.6% Dn/Up55% / 2.6% Score60.9 DownOpp1.133

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#33 US.INCY Incyte · Health Care

-0.53%

P25-2.40% Down57.8% Dn/Up55.2% / 2% Score67.2 DownOpp1.13

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#34 US.MDT Medtronic · Health Care

-0.51%

P25-2.32% Down58.2% Dn/Up54% / 1.4% Score71 DownOpp1.13

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#35 US.ULTA Ulta Beauty · Consumer Discretionary

-0.52%

P25-2.59% Down58.2% Dn/Up57.6% / 5% Score53 DownOpp1.126

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#36 US.NOC Northrop Grumman · Industrials

-0.52%

P25-2.78% Down56.2% Dn/Up55.8% / 3.4% Score51.3 DownOpp1.122

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#37 US.HSY Hershey Company (The) · Consumer Staples

-0.42%

P25-2.64% Down56.6% Dn/Up56.6% / 2.2% Score48.2 DownOpp1.115

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#38 US.ABNB Airbnb · Consumer Discretionary

-0.64%

P25-3.17% Down58% Dn/Up512% / 8.4% Score61.5 DownOpp1.107

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#39 US.ADM Archer Daniels Midland · Consumer Staples

-0.64%

P25-2.71% Down56.6% Dn/Up58.4% / 4.8% Score61.6 DownOpp1.096

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#40 US.VRSK Verisk Analytics · Industrials

-0.48%

P25-2.86% Down56.6% Dn/Up511% / 5.4% Score40.7 DownOpp1.094

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#41 US.ZTS Zoetis · Health Care

-0.45%

P25-2.36% Down57.4% Dn/Up54% / 0.8% Score68.2 DownOpp1.072

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#42 US.HSIC Henry Schein · Health Care

-0.52%

P25-2.63% Down56.6% Dn/Up57% / 2.8% Score62.5 DownOpp1.069

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#43 US.WYNN Wynn Resorts · Consumer Discretionary

-0.59%

P25-3.24% Down57.8% Dn/Up512.6% / 8.4% Score60.5 DownOpp1.066

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#44 US.EW Edwards Lifesciences · Health Care

-0.51%

P25-2.48% Down56.8% Dn/Up55.6% / 3.6% Score53.1 DownOpp1.06

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#45 US.MCD McDonald's · Consumer Discretionary

-0.48%

P25-2.69% Down57% Dn/Up59% / 4.6% Score51.2 DownOpp1.052

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#46 US.EXPD Expeditors International · Industrials

-0.45%

P25-2.73% Down57.4% Dn/Up56.8% / 4% Score57.9 DownOpp1.05

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#47 US.APTV Aptiv · Consumer Discretionary

-0.50%

P25-3.21% Down56.6% Dn/Up510.4% / 7.6% Score43.6 DownOpp1.048

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#48 US.IQV IQVIA · Health Care

-0.56%

P25-2.77% Down56.6% Dn/Up57.6% / 5.2% Score58.3 DownOpp1.031

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#49 US.RCL Royal Caribbean Group · Consumer Discretionary

-0.62%

P25-3.09% Down57.4% Dn/Up511.6% / 8.2% Score62.4 DownOpp1.025

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#50 US.DRI Darden Restaurants · Consumer Discretionary

-0.48%

P25-2.69% Down57.6% Dn/Up58.6% / 5.8% Score51.9 DownOpp1.023

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Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

3D · n=500

US.CLX · -0.97% median

Projected downside + down-rate ranking