S&P 500 Downside Projection Opportunities

Downside ranking

US.DASH · -3.08% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-3.08%

Top down rate75%

Top P25-4.74%

DOE score2.575

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.DASH DoorDash · Consumer Discretionary

-3.08%

P25-4.74% Down75% Dn/Up522.5% / 5% Score44.8 DownOpp5.629

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#2 US.LEN Lennar · Consumer Discretionary

-3.11%

P25-4.47% Down75% Dn/Up522.5% / 5% Score46.1 DownOpp5.582

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#3 US.DPZ Domino's · Consumer Discretionary

-2.32%

P25-3.94% Down72.5% Dn/Up515% / 0% Score39.5 DownOpp4.809

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#4 US.XYZ Block, Inc. · Financials

-2.70%

P25-4.62% Down70% Dn/Up512.5% / 5% Score51 DownOpp4.773

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#5 US.DRI Darden Restaurants · Consumer Discretionary

-2.02%

P25-3.37% Down75% Dn/Up515% / 0% Score42.3 DownOpp4.545

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#6 US.IEX IDEX Corporation · Industrials

-2.10%

P25-3.78% Down75% Dn/Up512.5% / 2.5% Score57.5 DownOpp4.464

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#7 US.PNR Pentair · Industrials

-2.18%

P25-4.03% Down72.5% Dn/Up512.5% / 2.5% Score50 DownOpp4.462

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#8 US.APO Apollo Global Management · Financials

-1.89%

P25-5.56% Down72.5% Dn/Up527.5% / 2.5% Score62.9 DownOpp4.458

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#9 US.ABNB Airbnb · Consumer Discretionary

-1.76%

P25-3.26% Down77.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 0% Score44.9 DownOpp4.438

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#10 US.EXPD Expeditors International · Industrials

-2.10%

P25-3.96% Down70% Dn/Up515% / 2.5% Score57.8 DownOpp4.107

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#11 US.BLK BlackRock · Financials

-1.64%

P25-3.36% Down75% Dn/Up55% / 0% Score52 DownOpp4.09

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#12 US.CPAY Corpay · Financials

-1.62%

P25-3.31% Down77.5% Dn/Up512.5% / 5% Score44.3 DownOpp4.015

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#13 US.AXON Axon Enterprise · Industrials

-1.74%

P25-4.45% Down70% Dn/Up517.5% / 2.5% Score42.4 DownOpp3.985

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#14 US.GRMN Garmin · Consumer Discretionary

-1.64%

P25-3.69% Down72.5% Dn/Up515% / 0% Score54.1 DownOpp3.957

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#15 US.ULTA Ulta Beauty · Consumer Discretionary

-2.04%

P25-4.79% Down67.5% Dn/Up525% / 5% Score51.6 DownOpp3.951

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#16 US.SBUX Starbucks · Consumer Discretionary

-2.16%

P25-3.17% Down65% Dn/Up512.5% / 0% Score38.3 DownOpp3.865

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#17 US.GD General Dynamics · Industrials

-2.18%

P25-3.20% Down65% Dn/Up57.5% / 0% Score47.8 DownOpp3.822

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#18 US.AME Ametek · Industrials

-2.02%

P25-3.89% Down65% Dn/Up512.5% / 0% Score59.7 DownOpp3.745

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#19 US.MMM 3M · Industrials

-1.97%

P25-3.73% Down65% Dn/Up510% / 0% Score50.6 DownOpp3.723

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#20 US.BXP BXP, Inc. · Real Estate

-1.71%

P25-2.85% Down72.5% Dn/Up55% / 2.5% Score48 DownOpp3.713

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#21 US.PEP PepsiCo · Consumer Staples

-1.87%

P25-3.28% Down67.5% Dn/Up55% / 0% Score55.9 DownOpp3.671

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#22 US.RSG Republic Services · Industrials

-2.39%

P25-3.64% Down65% Dn/Up57.5% / 7.5% Score53.5 DownOpp3.649

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#23 US.EW Edwards Lifesciences · Health Care

-1.34%

P25-3.56% Down72.5% Dn/Up55% / 0% Score51.6 DownOpp3.643

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#24 US.BEN Franklin Resources · Financials

-1.38%

P25-3.92% Down70% Dn/Up510% / 0% Score45 DownOpp3.623

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#25 US.AIZ Assurant · Financials

-1.52%

P25-3.28% Down72.5% Dn/Up510% / 2.5% Score50 DownOpp3.615

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#26 US.COO Cooper Companies (The) · Health Care

-1.37%

P25-3.35% Down72.5% Dn/Up57.5% / 0% Score54.8 DownOpp3.597

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#27 US.CTAS Cintas · Industrials

-1.69%

P25-3.23% Down70% Dn/Up510% / 2.5% Score48.1 DownOpp3.587

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#28 US.DGX Quest Diagnostics · Health Care

-1.09%

P25-2.53% Down77.5% Dn/Up50% / 0% Score53.1 DownOpp3.524

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#29 US.HOOD Robinhood Markets · Financials

-2.14%

P25-4.35% Down65% Dn/Up515% / 10% Score45.8 DownOpp3.484

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#30 US.GM General Motors · Consumer Discretionary

-1.71%

P25-3.66% Down65% Dn/Up512.5% / 0% Score48.9 DownOpp3.458

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#31 US.COF Capital One · Financials

-1.37%

P25-4.18% Down70% Dn/Up510% / 2.5% Score55.1 DownOpp3.452

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#32 US.BLDR Builders FirstSource · Industrials

-1.75%

P25-3.29% Down65% Dn/Up510% / 0% Score43.1 DownOpp3.449

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#33 US.MET MetLife · Financials

-1.21%

P25-3.35% Down75% Dn/Up515% / 2.5% Score62.4 DownOpp3.429

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#34 US.WM Waste Management · Industrials

-1.97%

P25-3.73% Down65% Dn/Up57.5% / 5% Score51.8 DownOpp3.414

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#35 US.GPC Genuine Parts Company · Consumer Discretionary

-1.60%

P25-3.82% Down70% Dn/Up57.5% / 5% Score59.8 DownOpp3.407

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#36 US.AMZN Amazon · Consumer Discretionary

-1.30%

P25-3.46% Down70% Dn/Up510% / 0% Score51.7 DownOpp3.377

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#37 US.IBKR Interactive Brokers · Financials

-1.85%

P25-3.76% Down65% Dn/Up517.5% / 2.5% Score64.5 DownOpp3.356

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#38 US.CBRE CBRE Group · Real Estate

-0.75%

P25-3.26% Down77.5% Dn/Up50% / 0% Score55.2 DownOpp3.351

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#39 US.SOLV Solventum · Health Care

-1.22%

P25-2.69% Down72.5% Dn/Up510% / 0% Score46.3 DownOpp3.345

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#40 US.RMD ResMed · Health Care

-0.90%

P25-2.78% Down80% Dn/Up57.5% / 5% Score47.7 DownOpp3.337

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#41 US.HCA HCA Healthcare · Health Care

-1.52%

P25-2.62% Down72.5% Dn/Up510% / 5% Score46.7 DownOpp3.325

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#42 US.ERIE Erie Indemnity · Financials

-1.63%

P25-3.85% Down65% Dn/Up517.5% / 0% Score65.7 DownOpp3.3

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#43 US.CL Colgate-Palmolive · Consumer Staples

-1.49%

P25-3.52% Down67.5% Dn/Up515% / 2.5% Score44.6 DownOpp3.286

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#44 US.EG Everest Group · Financials

-1.20%

P25-3.91% Down70% Dn/Up57.5% / 2.5% Score55.4 DownOpp3.212

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#45 US.GWW W. W. Grainger · Industrials

-1.79%

P25-3.46% Down62.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 0% Score59.5 DownOpp3.209

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#46 US.LOW Lowe's · Consumer Discretionary

-1.54%

P25-3.08% Down67.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 2.5% Score47.8 DownOpp3.202

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#47 US.STT State Street Corporation · Financials

-1.12%

P25-4.27% Down70% Dn/Up517.5% / 2.5% Score60.5 DownOpp3.184

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#48 US.CRL Charles River Laboratories · Health Care

-1.49%

P25-3.85% Down70% Dn/Up512.5% / 7.5% Score61.5 DownOpp3.141

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#49 US.SNA Snap-on · Industrials

-1.27%

P25-3.44% Down67.5% Dn/Up510% / 0% Score52.5 DownOpp3.136

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#50 US.GEHC GE HealthCare · Health Care

-1.08%

P25-3.28% Down70% Dn/Up55% / 0% Score49 DownOpp3.133

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Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

3D · n=40

US.DASH · -3.08% median

Projected downside + down-rate ranking