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Downside opportunities

Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.

Calibration status

3D · n=40

Shared DOE best setting from the as-of run for this snapshot.

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-03-31
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-03-31
DOE window 2026-02-12 → 2026-03-26
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年6月25日 上午6:19 HKT
Rows 50
Excluded uptrends 124

Downside ranking

US.APTV · -3.15% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-3.15%
Top down rate82.5%
Top P25-5.19%
DOE score2.448

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.APTV Aptiv · Consumer Discretionary

-3.15%

P25-5.19% Down82.5% Dn/Up530% / 0% Score45.2 DownOpp6.708
View chart 開富途
#2 US.DASH DoorDash · Consumer Discretionary

-2.90%

P25-4.31% Down75% Dn/Up517.5% / 7.5% Score46.1 DownOpp5.182
View chart 開富途
#3 US.DG Dollar General · Consumer Staples

-2.42%

P25-4.61% Down72.5% Dn/Up522.5% / 2.5% Score44.6 DownOpp4.888
View chart 開富途
#4 US.RMD ResMed · Health Care

-1.74%

P25-2.95% Down80% Dn/Up512.5% / 0% Score46.3 DownOpp4.53
View chart 開富途
#5 US.APO Apollo Global Management · Financials

-2.51%

P25-4.08% Down72.5% Dn/Up522.5% / 5% Score67.1 DownOpp4.527
View chart 開富途
#6 US.UNP Union Pacific Corporation · Industrials

-2.18%

P25-3.78% Down77.5% Dn/Up510% / 7.5% Score58.9 DownOpp4.433
View chart 開富途
#7 US.ABNB Airbnb · Consumer Discretionary

-1.86%

P25-3.23% Down75% Dn/Up515% / 0% Score41.5 DownOpp4.356
View chart 開富途
#8 US.PM Philip Morris International · Consumer Staples

-1.76%

P25-3.67% Down77.5% Dn/Up512.5% / 2.5% Score52.7 DownOpp4.332
View chart 開富途
#9 US.WYNN Wynn Resorts · Consumer Discretionary

-2.19%

P25-4.08% Down72.5% Dn/Up515% / 5% Score50.6 DownOpp4.331
View chart 開富途
#10 US.SCHW Charles Schwab Corporation · Financials

-1.74%

P25-3.16% Down80% Dn/Up515% / 2.5% Score60.9 DownOpp4.323
View chart 開富途
#11 US.BLDR Builders FirstSource · Industrials

-2.37%

P25-3.72% Down67.5% Dn/Up515% / 2.5% Score42.1 DownOpp4.234
View chart 開富途
#12 US.CBOE Cboe Global Markets · Financials

-1.77%

P25-3.20% Down75% Dn/Up52.5% / 0% Score49.5 DownOpp4.199
View chart 開富途
#13 US.CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill · Consumer Discretionary

-1.97%

P25-4.45% Down67.5% Dn/Up522.5% / 0% Score46.1 DownOpp4.137
View chart 開富途
#14 US.HUBB Hubbell Incorporated · Industrials

-2.09%

P25-3.37% Down72.5% Dn/Up515% / 2.5% Score60 DownOpp4.132
View chart 開富途
#15 US.PFG Principal Financial Group · Financials

-1.31%

P25-3.23% Down82.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 2.5% Score59.7 DownOpp4.12
View chart 開富途
#16 US.ECL Ecolab · Materials

-2.08%

P25-4.74% Down67.5% Dn/Up522.5% / 2.5% Score55.4 DownOpp4.1
View chart 開富途
#17 US.COF Capital One · Financials

-1.72%

P25-3.20% Down72.5% Dn/Up52.5% / 0% Score48.5 DownOpp3.956
View chart 開富途
#18 US.FTV Fortive · Industrials

-1.91%

P25-3.20% Down72.5% Dn/Up57.5% / 2.5% Score54.1 DownOpp3.954
View chart 開富途
#19 US.DECK Deckers Brands · Consumer Discretionary

-1.97%

P25-4.48% Down67.5% Dn/Up525% / 2.5% Score52.3 DownOpp3.948
View chart 開富途
#20 US.VEEV Veeva Systems · Health Care

-2.15%

P25-3.95% Down67.5% Dn/Up515% / 7.5% Score41 DownOpp3.78
View chart 開富途
#21 US.ADP Automatic Data Processing · Industrials

-2.06%

P25-3.41% Down65% Dn/Up52.5% / 0% Score45.1 DownOpp3.774
View chart 開富途
#22 US.WTW Willis Towers Watson · Financials

-1.37%

P25-3.92% Down72.5% Dn/Up57.5% / 0% Score55.6 DownOpp3.733
View chart 開富途
#23 US.LDOS Leidos · Industrials

-1.25%

P25-2.34% Down77.5% Dn/Up55% / 0% Score41.8 DownOpp3.722
View chart 開富途
#24 US.HIG Hartford (The) · Financials

-1.61%

P25-2.84% Down72.5% Dn/Up52.5% / 0% Score54.1 DownOpp3.714
View chart 開富途
#25 US.EL Estée Lauder Companies (The) · Consumer Staples

-2.26%

P25-4.52% Down65% Dn/Up520% / 10% Score37.8 DownOpp3.706
View chart 開富途
#26 US.ROK Rockwell Automation · Industrials

-1.88%

P25-3.31% Down67.5% Dn/Up512.5% / 0% Score55.8 DownOpp3.689
View chart 開富途
#27 US.RSG Republic Services · Industrials

-1.95%

P25-3.34% Down70% Dn/Up57.5% / 5% Score56.5 DownOpp3.661
View chart 開富途
#28 US.LII Lennox International · Industrials

-1.96%

P25-3.16% Down67.5% Dn/Up510% / 2.5% Score48.1 DownOpp3.639
View chart 開富途
#29 US.HCA HCA Healthcare · Health Care

-0.90%

P25-2.78% Down80% Dn/Up57.5% / 0% Score47.8 DownOpp3.637
View chart 開富途
#30 US.KMB Kimberly-Clark · Consumer Staples

-1.02%

P25-3.75% Down77.5% Dn/Up512.5% / 2.5% Score51.3 DownOpp3.623
View chart 開富途
#31 US.KKR KKR & Co. · Financials

-2.26%

P25-4.41% Down62.5% Dn/Up522.5% / 5% Score64.1 DownOpp3.582
View chart 開富途
#32 US.BLK BlackRock · Financials

-1.57%

P25-4.01% Down67.5% Dn/Up57.5% / 0% Score53.6 DownOpp3.571
View chart 開富途
#33 US.WSM Williams-Sonoma, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-1.73%

P25-4.17% Down67.5% Dn/Up522.5% / 5% Score53.5 DownOpp3.471
View chart 開富途
#34 US.BA Boeing · Industrials

-1.65%

P25-3.88% Down67.5% Dn/Up512.5% / 2.5% Score55.6 DownOpp3.453
View chart 開富途
#35 US.NTRS Northern Trust · Financials

-1.19%

P25-3.58% Down72.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 0% Score60.5 DownOpp3.431
View chart 開富途
#36 US.DHR Danaher Corporation · Health Care

-0.98%

P25-3.26% Down75% Dn/Up55% / 0% Score51 DownOpp3.413
View chart 開富途
#37 US.MCK McKesson Corporation · Health Care

-0.99%

P25-2.95% Down75% Dn/Up515% / 0% Score47 DownOpp3.375
View chart 開富途
#38 US.XYL Xylem Inc. · Industrials

-1.62%

P25-3.09% Down72.5% Dn/Up57.5% / 7.5% Score55.8 DownOpp3.324
View chart 開富途
#39 US.GM General Motors · Consumer Discretionary

-1.56%

P25-2.96% Down70% Dn/Up512.5% / 5% Score46.1 DownOpp3.254
View chart 開富途
#40 US.CL Colgate-Palmolive · Consumer Staples

-1.17%

P25-3.44% Down70% Dn/Up510% / 0% Score52.8 DownOpp3.234
View chart 開富途
#41 US.HUM Humana · Health Care

-1.44%

P25-3.70% Down67.5% Dn/Up515% / 2.5% Score54.9 DownOpp3.203
View chart 開富途
#42 US.BAX Baxter International · Health Care

-1.45%

P25-3.71% Down65% Dn/Up512.5% / 0% Score52.3 DownOpp3.185
View chart 開富途
#43 US.SNA Snap-on · Industrials

-1.57%

P25-3.53% Down67.5% Dn/Up57.5% / 5% Score50.7 DownOpp3.172
View chart 開富途
#44 US.HSIC Henry Schein · Health Care

-1.02%

P25-2.78% Down72.5% Dn/Up512.5% / 0% Score46.9 DownOpp3.163
View chart 開富途
#45 US.LULU Lululemon Athletica · Consumer Discretionary

-1.15%

P25-4.54% Down65% Dn/Up517.5% / 0% Score45.4 DownOpp3.145
View chart 開富途
#46 US.CAG Conagra Brands · Consumer Staples

-1.08%

P25-3.02% Down72.5% Dn/Up55% / 2.5% Score46.5 DownOpp3.136
View chart 開富途
#47 US.PH Parker Hannifin · Industrials

-1.61%

P25-3.33% Down65% Dn/Up512.5% / 2.5% Score47.9 DownOpp3.133
View chart 開富途
#48 US.LOW Lowe's · Consumer Discretionary

-1.25%

P25-2.66% Down70% Dn/Up510% / 0% Score51.1 DownOpp3.132
View chart 開富途
#49 US.EXPE Expedia Group · Consumer Discretionary

-1.14%

P25-3.60% Down70% Dn/Up57.5% / 2.5% Score50.2 DownOpp3.114
View chart 開富途
#50 US.VRTX Vertex Pharmaceuticals · Health Care

-0.86%

P25-2.95% Down75% Dn/Up57.5% / 2.5% Score47.7 DownOpp3.09
View chart 開富途