S&P 500 Downside Projection Opportunities

Downside ranking

US.CLX · -3.43% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-3.43%

Top down rate77.5%

Top P25-5.07%

DOE score2.371

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.CLX Clorox · Consumer Staples

-3.43%

P25-5.07% Down77.5% Dn/Up527.5% / 2.5% Score37.4 DownOpp6.467

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#2 US.DG Dollar General · Consumer Staples

-2.72%

P25-4.75% Down77.5% Dn/Up520% / 5% Score39 DownOpp5.515

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#3 US.LEN Lennar · Consumer Discretionary

-2.57%

P25-4.55% Down75% Dn/Up517.5% / 2.5% Score43.5 DownOpp5.231

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#4 US.FLEX Flex Ltd. · Information Technology

-2.03%

P25-5.90% Down77.5% Dn/Up530% / 5% Score65 DownOpp4.918

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#5 US.CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill · Consumer Discretionary

-2.41%

P25-4.28% Down72.5% Dn/Up515% / 2.5% Score43.6 DownOpp4.803

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#6 US.PH Parker Hannifin · Industrials

-2.27%

P25-3.34% Down75% Dn/Up55% / 0% Score45.1 DownOpp4.767

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#7 US.MLM Martin Marietta Materials · Materials

-2.14%

P25-4.26% Down75% Dn/Up520% / 2.5% Score51.5 DownOpp4.669

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#8 US.NTRS Northern Trust · Financials

-1.82%

P25-3.33% Down80% Dn/Up52.5% / 0% Score54.1 DownOpp4.647

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#9 US.KKR KKR & Co. · Financials

-2.89%

P25-4.60% Down67.5% Dn/Up512.5% / 7.5% Score47 DownOpp4.638

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#10 US.RF Regions Financial Corporation · Financials

-2.08%

P25-4.29% Down72.5% Dn/Up510% / 0% Score52.4 DownOpp4.56

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#11 US.XYZ Block, Inc. · Financials

-2.33%

P25-4.20% Down72.5% Dn/Up515% / 5% Score47.4 DownOpp4.525

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#12 US.KDP Keurig Dr Pepper · Consumer Staples

-1.63%

P25-2.82% Down80% Dn/Up55% / 0% Score45.2 DownOpp4.396

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#13 US.J Jacobs Solutions · Industrials

-2.17%

P25-3.07% Down72.5% Dn/Up57.5% / 0% Score49.2 DownOpp4.369

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#14 US.QCOM Qualcomm · Information Technology

-1.58%

P25-3.80% Down77.5% Dn/Up510% / 0% Score48.4 DownOpp4.367

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#15 US.ESS Essex Property Trust · Real Estate

-1.24%

P25-2.96% Down82.5% Dn/Up55% / 0% Score45.5 DownOpp4.239

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#16 US.FRT Federal Realty Investment Trust · Real Estate

-1.38%

P25-3.25% Down80% Dn/Up510% / 0% Score47.2 DownOpp4.238

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#17 US.HWM Howmet Aerospace · Industrials

-1.75%

P25-3.20% Down75% Dn/Up57.5% / 0% Score45.8 DownOpp4.207

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#18 US.TT Trane Technologies · Industrials

-1.71%

P25-3.18% Down75% Dn/Up512.5% / 0% Score45.1 DownOpp4.167

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#19 US.EXPD Expeditors International · Industrials

-2.05%

P25-3.19% Down72.5% Dn/Up512.5% / 2.5% Score48.1 DownOpp4.137

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#20 US.USB U.S. Bancorp · Financials

-1.61%

P25-2.84% Down77.5% Dn/Up55% / 0% Score54.6 DownOpp4.111

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#21 US.ALLE Allegion · Industrials

-1.95%

P25-2.90% Down72.5% Dn/Up52.5% / 0% Score50.2 DownOpp4.099

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#22 US.DAL Delta Air Lines · Industrials

-1.83%

P25-4.03% Down75% Dn/Up510% / 5% Score59.5 DownOpp4.091

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#23 US.BX Blackstone Inc. · Financials

-1.96%

P25-4.34% Down72.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 7.5% Score46.5 DownOpp4.046

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#24 US.VICI Vici Properties · Real Estate

-1.51%

P25-3.10% Down77.5% Dn/Up57.5% / 2.5% Score41.9 DownOpp4.021

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#25 US.SJM J.M. Smucker Company (The) · Consumer Staples

-1.59%

P25-3.06% Down75% Dn/Up510% / 0% Score45 DownOpp4.018

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#26 US.MGM MGM Resorts · Consumer Discretionary

-1.87%

P25-3.28% Down75% Dn/Up515% / 5% Score54.4 DownOpp3.982

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#27 US.BLDR Builders FirstSource · Industrials

-2.37%

P25-3.40% Down65% Dn/Up510% / 2.5% Score41.9 DownOpp3.956

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#28 US.ECL Ecolab · Materials

-1.76%

P25-3.79% Down70% Dn/Up517.5% / 0% Score50.3 DownOpp3.93

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#29 US.DLTR Dollar Tree · Consumer Staples

-2.15%

P25-3.57% Down67.5% Dn/Up512.5% / 2.5% Score48.7 DownOpp3.927

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#30 US.SYF Synchrony Financial · Financials

-1.72%

P25-3.10% Down72.5% Dn/Up55% / 0% Score50.3 DownOpp3.918

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#31 US.GIS General Mills · Consumer Staples

-1.34%

P25-2.71% Down77.5% Dn/Up55% / 0% Score43.3 DownOpp3.893

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#32 US.MET MetLife · Financials

-1.54%

P25-2.91% Down75% Dn/Up50% / 0% Score52.6 DownOpp3.873

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#33 US.NVDA Nvidia · Information Technology

-1.61%

P25-3.80% Down70% Dn/Up515% / 0% Score41 DownOpp3.853

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#34 US.EL Estée Lauder Companies (The) · Consumer Staples

-1.85%

P25-3.39% Down72.5% Dn/Up57.5% / 7.5% Score30 DownOpp3.823

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#35 US.RVTY Revvity · Health Care

-1.61%

P25-4.11% Down72.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 5% Score42.5 DownOpp3.819

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#36 US.MS Morgan Stanley · Financials

-1.44%

P25-3.08% Down75% Dn/Up57.5% / 0% Score59.3 DownOpp3.765

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#37 US.GS Goldman Sachs · Financials

-1.17%

P25-2.75% Down77.5% Dn/Up52.5% / 0% Score48.3 DownOpp3.695

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#38 US.ROP Roper Technologies · Information Technology

-1.84%

P25-4.03% Down65% Dn/Up55% / 0% Score48.6 DownOpp3.683

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#39 US.AMT American Tower · Real Estate

-1.35%

P25-3.10% Down75% Dn/Up55% / 2.5% Score39.3 DownOpp3.68

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#40 US.PNR Pentair · Industrials

-1.25%

P25-3.06% Down75% Dn/Up57.5% / 0% Score44.8 DownOpp3.679

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#41 US.MTB M&T Bank · Financials

-1.94%

P25-3.05% Down67.5% Dn/Up510% / 0% Score56.7 DownOpp3.677

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#42 US.O Realty Income · Real Estate

-1.52%

P25-3.38% Down72.5% Dn/Up510% / 2.5% Score48.3 DownOpp3.653

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#43 US.AIG American International Group · Financials

-1.74%

P25-2.50% Down70% Dn/Up52.5% / 0% Score47.3 DownOpp3.61

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#44 US.CDW CDW Corporation · Information Technology

-1.87%

P25-4.01% Down67.5% Dn/Up522.5% / 5% Score51.3 DownOpp3.588

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#45 US.EXR Extra Space Storage · Real Estate

-1.28%

P25-3.04% Down75% Dn/Up55% / 2.5% Score40.5 DownOpp3.586

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#46 US.DPZ Domino's · Consumer Discretionary

-2.16%

P25-3.35% Down62.5% Dn/Up512.5% / 2.5% Score36.8 DownOpp3.572

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#47 US.MSFT Microsoft · Information Technology

-1.56%

P25-3.56% Down67.5% Dn/Up512.5% / 0% Score41.1 DownOpp3.542

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#48 US.SYY Sysco · Consumer Staples

-1.13%

P25-3.48% Down77.5% Dn/Up512.5% / 5% Score50.6 DownOpp3.521

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#49 US.LUV Southwest Airlines · Industrials

-1.97%

P25-4.24% Down67.5% Dn/Up522.5% / 10% Score42 DownOpp3.515

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#50 US.MNST Monster Beverage · Consumer Staples

-1.33%

P25-2.86% Down72.5% Dn/Up57.5% / 0% Score46.3 DownOpp3.498

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Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

3D · n=40

US.CLX · -3.43% median

Projected downside + down-rate ranking