S&P 500 Downside Projection Opportunities

Downside ranking

US.ABNB · -3.06% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-3.06%

Top down rate85%

Top P25-5.15%

DOE score2.28

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.ABNB Airbnb · Consumer Discretionary

-3.06%

P25-5.15% Down85% Dn/Up527.5% / 5% Score56 DownOpp6.428

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#2 US.XYL Xylem Inc. · Industrials

-3.20%

P25-4.89% Down80% Dn/Up525% / 2.5% Score42.4 DownOpp6.355

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#3 US.MS Morgan Stanley · Financials

-2.33%

P25-4.30% Down75% Dn/Up517.5% / 0% Score50.8 DownOpp5.024

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#4 US.GRMN Garmin · Consumer Discretionary

-2.00%

P25-3.92% Down80% Dn/Up520% / 5% Score55.4 DownOpp4.665

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#5 US.QCOM Qualcomm · Information Technology

-2.29%

P25-4.61% Down72.5% Dn/Up522.5% / 7.5% Score54.5 DownOpp4.384

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#6 US.AOS A. O. Smith · Industrials

-1.84%

P25-3.94% Down72.5% Dn/Up515% / 2.5% Score43.1 DownOpp4.152

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#7 US.EBAY eBay Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-2.24%

P25-4.78% Down70% Dn/Up522.5% / 7.5% Score60.2 DownOpp4.134

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#8 US.ARES Ares Management · Financials

-2.65%

P25-5.38% Down65% Dn/Up530% / 12.5% Score42.8 DownOpp4.124

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#9 US.TXN Texas Instruments · Information Technology

-1.72%

P25-4.22% Down70% Dn/Up517.5% / 0% Score42.8 DownOpp4.054

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#10 US.APH Amphenol · Information Technology

-2.35%

P25-5.83% Down65% Dn/Up527.5% / 10% Score48.4 DownOpp4.045

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#11 US.FSLR First Solar · Information Technology

-2.09%

P25-4.71% Down67.5% Dn/Up525% / 7.5% Score43.4 DownOpp3.892

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#12 US.GOOGL Alphabet Inc. (Class A) · Communication Services

-1.59%

P25-2.56% Down75% Dn/Up50% / 2.5% Score50.9 DownOpp3.698

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#13 US.AAPL Apple Inc. · Information Technology

-1.75%

P25-4.59% Down70% Dn/Up515% / 7.5% Score49 DownOpp3.68

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#14 US.GOOG Alphabet Inc. (Class C) · Communication Services

-1.64%

P25-2.76% Down75% Dn/Up50% / 5% Score50.5 DownOpp3.651

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#15 US.TDY Teledyne Technologies · Information Technology

-2.25%

P25-3.94% Down65% Dn/Up515% / 7.5% Score51.2 DownOpp3.601

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#16 US.CSCO Cisco · Information Technology

-2.32%

P25-4.33% Down65% Dn/Up517.5% / 10% Score53.8 DownOpp3.599

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#17 US.PFG Principal Financial Group · Financials

-1.59%

P25-3.89% Down70% Dn/Up510% / 5% Score51.1 DownOpp3.479

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#18 US.BEN Franklin Resources · Financials

-1.59%

P25-3.87% Down70% Dn/Up510% / 7.5% Score50 DownOpp3.333

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#19 US.ANET Arista Networks · Information Technology

-1.85%

P25-5.65% Down65% Dn/Up527.5% / 12.5% Score53.4 DownOpp3.312

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#20 US.AFL Aflac · Financials

-1.23%

P25-3.29% Down70% Dn/Up57.5% / 0% Score49.2 DownOpp3.284

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#21 US.LYV Live Nation Entertainment · Communication Services

-1.74%

P25-4.42% Down65% Dn/Up515% / 7.5% Score49.9 DownOpp3.221

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#22 US.CHTR Charter Communications · Communication Services

-1.67%

P25-4.52% Down62.5% Dn/Up515% / 5% Score52 DownOpp3.11

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#23 US.AJG Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. · Financials

-1.18%

P25-2.99% Down70% Dn/Up510% / 0% Score59.1 DownOpp3.084

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#24 US.NTRS Northern Trust · Financials

-1.36%

P25-4.24% Down70% Dn/Up515% / 10% Score46.2 DownOpp3.073

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#25 US.DIS Walt Disney Company (The) · Communication Services

-1.60%

P25-2.84% Down65% Dn/Up50% / 2.5% Score47 DownOpp3.008

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#26 US.FISV Fiserv · Financials

-1.56%

P25-4.07% Down65% Dn/Up515% / 5% Score63 DownOpp3.005

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#27 US.TKO TKO Group Holdings · Communication Services

-1.52%

P25-4.19% Down65% Dn/Up515% / 7.5% Score50.3 DownOpp2.94

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#28 US.BNY BNY Mellon · Financials

-1.54%

P25-3.81% Down60% Dn/Up515% / 0% Score48.4 DownOpp2.93

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#29 US.MGM MGM Resorts · Consumer Discretionary

-1.31%

P25-3.52% Down67.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 5% Score51.6 DownOpp2.903

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#30 US.AIZ Assurant · Financials

-1.27%

P25-3.96% Down62.5% Dn/Up515% / 0% Score50.3 DownOpp2.883

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#31 US.LII Lennox International · Industrials

-2.21%

P25-3.33% Down65% Dn/Up512.5% / 17.5% Score50.2 DownOpp2.816

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#32 US.AME Ametek · Industrials

-1.22%

P25-3.41% Down65% Dn/Up515% / 2.5% Score45.1 DownOpp2.784

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#33 US.USB U.S. Bancorp · Financials

-1.11%

P25-3.12% Down65% Dn/Up57.5% / 0% Score47.6 DownOpp2.733

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#34 US.HON Honeywell · Industrials

-1.25%

P25-3.48% Down65% Dn/Up512.5% / 5% Score43.6 DownOpp2.693

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#35 US.MSCI MSCI Inc. · Financials

-1.16%

P25-2.59% Down67.5% Dn/Up512.5% / 2.5% Score56.2 DownOpp2.636

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#36 US.HBAN Huntington Bancshares · Financials

-1.40%

P25-3.69% Down60% Dn/Up517.5% / 2.5% Score45.3 DownOpp2.633

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#37 US.APO Apollo Global Management · Financials

-1.62%

P25-5.19% Down57.5% Dn/Up527.5% / 10% Score45.3 DownOpp2.578

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#38 US.IBKR Interactive Brokers · Financials

-1.06%

P25-4.06% Down62.5% Dn/Up522.5% / 2.5% Score49 DownOpp2.558

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#39 US.PNR Pentair · Industrials

-1.43%

P25-4.20% Down65% Dn/Up517.5% / 15% Score46.9 DownOpp2.428

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#40 US.DASH DoorDash · Consumer Discretionary

-1.27%

P25-3.98% Down62.5% Dn/Up522.5% / 7.5% Score54.4 DownOpp2.407

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#41 US.OTIS Otis Worldwide · Industrials

-0.95%

P25-3.17% Down62.5% Dn/Up515% / 0% Score45.8 DownOpp2.399

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#42 US.UAL United Airlines Holdings · Industrials

-1.54%

P25-4.66% Down55% Dn/Up522.5% / 7.5% Score43.1 DownOpp2.332

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#43 US.NTAP NetApp · Information Technology

-1.17%

P25-6.32% Down62.5% Dn/Up530% / 17.5% Score52 DownOpp2.31

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#44 US.ON ON Semiconductor · Information Technology

-1.27%

P25-4.13% Down60% Dn/Up522.5% / 10% Score34.5 DownOpp2.244

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#45 US.CI Cigna · Health Care

-1.02%

P25-3.18% Down60% Dn/Up55% / 0% Score54 DownOpp2.21

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#46 US.ROL Rollins, Inc. · Industrials

-1.02%

P25-3.82% Down65% Dn/Up515% / 10% Score49.1 DownOpp2.207

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#47 US.PSKY Paramount Skydance Corporation · Communication Services

-1.29%

P25-3.27% Down65% Dn/Up515% / 12.5% Score49.7 DownOpp2.185

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#48 US.IDXX Idexx Laboratories · Health Care

-0.90%

P25-4.06% Down57.5% Dn/Up522.5% / 0% Score45.6 DownOpp2.173

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#49 US.AMP Ameriprise Financial · Financials

-0.83%

P25-3.71% Down57.5% Dn/Up512.5% / 0% Score40.8 DownOpp2.052

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#50 US.V Visa Inc. · Financials

-0.80%

P25-4.50% Down57.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 2.5% Score52.2 DownOpp1.984

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Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

3D · n=40

US.ABNB · -3.06% median

Projected downside + down-rate ranking