Downside opportunities

Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.

Calibration status

3D · n=40

Shared DOE best setting from the as-of run for this snapshot.

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-03-02
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-03-02
DOE window 2026-01-13 → 2026-02-25
DOE anchors 120
Computed at 2026年7月9日 下午6:10 HKT
Rows 50
Excluded uptrends 245

Downside ranking

US.NVDA · -2.83% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-2.83%
Top down rate75%
Top P25-4.64%
DOE score2.047

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.NVDA Nvidia · Information Technology

-2.83%

P25-4.64% Down75% Dn/Up520% / 5% Score52.2 DownOpp5.299
View chart 開富途
#2 US.CSCO Cisco · Information Technology

-2.29%

P25-4.89% Down72.5% Dn/Up525% / 7.5% Score56.3 DownOpp4.44
View chart 開富途
#3 US.FOX Fox Corporation (Class B) · Communication Services

-2.21%

P25-4.20% Down72.5% Dn/Up515% / 10% Score53.2 DownOpp4.061
View chart 開富途
#4 US.TXN Texas Instruments · Information Technology

-1.48%

P25-4.22% Down75% Dn/Up517.5% / 2.5% Score46 DownOpp4.04
View chart 開富途
#5 US.HUM Humana · Health Care

-1.97%

P25-3.68% Down70% Dn/Up510% / 0% Score64.8 DownOpp4.004
View chart 開富途
#6 US.ACN Accenture · Information Technology

-1.44%

P25-4.70% Down77.5% Dn/Up525% / 10% Score50.5 DownOpp3.836
View chart 開富途
#7 US.MSCI MSCI Inc. · Financials

-2.08%

P25-5.44% Down65% Dn/Up527.5% / 5% Score69.6 DownOpp3.818
View chart 開富途
#8 US.FOXA Fox Corporation (Class A) · Communication Services

-1.79%

P25-4.47% Down70% Dn/Up517.5% / 10% Score51.8 DownOpp3.519
View chart 開富途
#9 US.COIN Coinbase · Financials

-1.83%

P25-3.70% Down67.5% Dn/Up515% / 5% Score74.6 DownOpp3.296
View chart 開富途
#10 US.CPAY Corpay · Financials

-1.89%

P25-4.73% Down65% Dn/Up517.5% / 10% Score50.9 DownOpp3.291
View chart 開富途
#11 US.EBAY eBay Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-1.29%

P25-3.01% Down75% Dn/Up510% / 5% Score68 DownOpp3.233
View chart 開富途
#12 US.META Meta Platforms · Communication Services

-1.32%

P25-2.64% Down72.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 2.5% Score59.2 DownOpp3.186
View chart 開富途
#13 US.TEL TE Connectivity · Information Technology

-1.97%

P25-6.21% Down60% Dn/Up530% / 12.5% Score62.3 DownOpp3.105
View chart 開富途
#14 US.BLK BlackRock · Financials

-1.27%

P25-4.61% Down67.5% Dn/Up520% / 7.5% Score53.3 DownOpp2.973
View chart 開富途
#15 US.AON Aon plc · Financials

-1.65%

P25-3.02% Down60% Dn/Up510% / 2.5% Score70.5 DownOpp2.526
View chart 開富途
#16 US.WSM Williams-Sonoma, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-1.14%

P25-2.84% Down65% Dn/Up512.5% / 2.5% Score50.4 DownOpp2.522
View chart 開富途
#17 US.ABNB Airbnb · Consumer Discretionary

-0.89%

P25-4.17% Down67.5% Dn/Up520% / 5% Score69 DownOpp2.515
View chart 開富途
#18 US.SPGI S&P Global · Financials

-1.51%

P25-4.15% Down57.5% Dn/Up522.5% / 2.5% Score68.8 DownOpp2.482
View chart 開富途
#19 US.APO Apollo Global Management · Financials

-1.62%

P25-4.03% Down60% Dn/Up522.5% / 10% Score47.9 DownOpp2.468
View chart 開富途
#20 US.TTD Trade Desk (The) · Communication Services

-1.14%

P25-3.85% Down67.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 12.5% Score55.6 DownOpp2.336
View chart 開富途
#21 US.CTSH Cognizant · Information Technology

-0.90%

P25-6.54% Down60% Dn/Up527.5% / 10% Score58.5 DownOpp2.296
View chart 開富途
#22 US.VEEV Veeva Systems · Health Care

-1.11%

P25-2.70% Down67.5% Dn/Up55% / 7.5% Score61.1 DownOpp2.277
View chart 開富途
#23 US.APH Amphenol · Information Technology

-1.34%

P25-4.32% Down65% Dn/Up522.5% / 15% Score63.6 DownOpp2.243
View chart 開富途
#24 US.AMD Advanced Micro Devices · Information Technology

-0.83%

P25-3.37% Down67.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 7.5% Score51.7 DownOpp2.235
View chart 開富途
#25 US.HLT Hilton Worldwide · Consumer Discretionary

-1.15%

P25-2.73% Down65% Dn/Up517.5% / 7.5% Score52.6 DownOpp2.188
View chart 開富途
#26 US.KEY KeyCorp · Financials

-1.10%

P25-3.67% Down60% Dn/Up512.5% / 5% Score49.2 DownOpp2.149
View chart 開富途
#27 US.DIS Walt Disney Company (The) · Communication Services

-0.74%

P25-2.28% Down65% Dn/Up510% / 0% Score55.2 DownOpp2.096
View chart 開富途
#28 US.A Agilent Technologies · Health Care

-0.73%

P25-2.50% Down67.5% Dn/Up57.5% / 5% Score58.3 DownOpp2.018
View chart 開富途
#29 US.ELV Elevance Health · Health Care

-1.31%

P25-3.55% Down60% Dn/Up515% / 10% Score55.6 DownOpp1.98
View chart 開富途
#30 US.SCHW Charles Schwab Corporation · Financials

-0.91%

P25-4.27% Down60% Dn/Up517.5% / 7.5% Score50.4 DownOpp1.949
View chart 開富途
#31 US.SYF Synchrony Financial · Financials

-0.65%

P25-3.03% Down62.5% Dn/Up522.5% / 2.5% Score44.9 DownOpp1.921
View chart 開富途
#32 US.AJG Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. · Financials

-0.88%

P25-3.01% Down60% Dn/Up510% / 2.5% Score70.8 DownOpp1.752
View chart 開富途
#33 US.ICE Intercontinental Exchange · Financials

-0.90%

P25-2.79% Down60% Dn/Up510% / 2.5% Score68.5 DownOpp1.734
View chart 開富途
#34 US.MCHP Microchip Technology · Information Technology

-1.22%

P25-2.65% Down62.5% Dn/Up520% / 12.5% Score53.7 DownOpp1.73
View chart 開富途
#35 US.AIZ Assurant · Financials

-1.42%

P25-4.18% Down52.5% Dn/Up522.5% / 7.5% Score65.6 DownOpp1.723
View chart 開富途
#36 US.HBAN Huntington Bancshares · Financials

-0.96%

P25-3.23% Down57.5% Dn/Up512.5% / 5% Score46.7 DownOpp1.717
View chart 開富途
#37 US.RL Ralph Lauren Corporation · Consumer Discretionary

-0.70%

P25-2.53% Down62.5% Dn/Up512.5% / 5% Score52.8 DownOpp1.637
View chart 開富途
#38 US.CMCSA Comcast · Communication Services

-0.67%

P25-1.70% Down60% Dn/Up50% / 0% Score50.3 DownOpp1.518
View chart 開富途
#39 US.ROL Rollins, Inc. · Industrials

-0.95%

P25-2.81% Down57.5% Dn/Up55% / 5% Score58.9 DownOpp1.511
View chart 開富途
#40 US.PHM PulteGroup · Consumer Discretionary

-0.56%

P25-2.48% Down60% Dn/Up512.5% / 2.5% Score47.8 DownOpp1.472
View chart 開富途
#41 US.CRWD CrowdStrike · Information Technology

-0.72%

P25-5.53% Down55% Dn/Up527.5% / 12.5% Score53.8 DownOpp1.349
View chart 開富途
#42 US.MTD Mettler Toledo · Health Care

-0.81%

P25-2.28% Down60% Dn/Up510% / 7.5% Score57.2 DownOpp1.301
View chart 開富途
#43 US.ANET Arista Networks · Information Technology

-1.01%

P25-4.67% Down60% Dn/Up522.5% / 22.5% Score47.3 DownOpp1.273
View chart 開富途
#44 US.PANW Palo Alto Networks · Information Technology

-0.54%

P25-3.09% Down60% Dn/Up520% / 7.5% Score52.5 DownOpp1.269
View chart 開富途
#45 US.FSLR First Solar · Information Technology

-0.72%

P25-5.19% Down57.5% Dn/Up527.5% / 17.5% Score44.6 DownOpp1.233
View chart 開富途
#46 US.ARES Ares Management · Financials

-0.72%

P25-4.00% Down52.5% Dn/Up520% / 7.5% Score39.3 DownOpp1.175
View chart 開富途
#47 US.WST West Pharmaceutical Services · Health Care

-0.58%

P25-3.54% Down52.5% Dn/Up515% / 2.5% Score64.1 DownOpp1.034
View chart 開富途
#48 US.NDAQ Nasdaq, Inc. · Financials

-0.54%

P25-1.75% Down60% Dn/Up57.5% / 2.5% Score79.8 DownOpp1.029
View chart 開富途
#49 US.C Citigroup · Financials

-0.92%

P25-4.28% Down52.5% Dn/Up525% / 12.5% Score55.4 DownOpp1.025
View chart 開富途
#50 US.WTW Willis Towers Watson · Financials

-0.59%

P25-4.12% Down55% Dn/Up520% / 10% Score67.5 DownOpp0.914
View chart 開富途