S&P 500 Downside Projection Opportunities

Downside ranking

US.DIS · -3.04% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-3.04%

Top down rate80%

Top P25-4.80%

DOE score2.088

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.DIS Walt Disney Company (The) · Communication Services

-3.04%

P25-4.80% Down80% Dn/Up525% / 2.5% Score50.3 DownOpp6.113

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#2 US.WTW Willis Towers Watson · Financials

-2.89%

P25-4.81% Down80% Dn/Up522.5% / 0% Score51.9 DownOpp6.103

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#3 US.MSFT Microsoft · Information Technology

-3.07%

P25-6.08% Down75% Dn/Up532.5% / 5% Score56.3 DownOpp5.868

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#4 US.CSCO Cisco · Information Technology

-2.81%

P25-6.02% Down70% Dn/Up530% / 2.5% Score55.9 DownOpp5.346

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#5 US.NWSA News Corp (Class A) · Communication Services

-2.69%

P25-4.61% Down77.5% Dn/Up520% / 5% Score53 DownOpp5.345

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#6 US.CHTR Charter Communications · Communication Services

-2.91%

P25-4.61% Down72.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 2.5% Score53.8 DownOpp5.309

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#7 US.KEY KeyCorp · Financials

-2.44%

P25-4.61% Down77.5% Dn/Up520% / 2.5% Score50.6 DownOpp5.263

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#8 US.NWS News Corp (Class B) · Communication Services

-2.71%

P25-5.04% Down72.5% Dn/Up527.5% / 5% Score48.7 DownOpp5.105

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#9 US.ANET Arista Networks · Information Technology

-2.32%

P25-6.96% Down70% Dn/Up535% / 7.5% Score51.9 DownOpp4.821

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#10 US.XYZ Block, Inc. · Financials

-2.64%

P25-5.03% Down67.5% Dn/Up525% / 2.5% Score51.9 DownOpp4.758

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#11 US.NTRS Northern Trust · Financials

-1.79%

P25-4.30% Down77.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 0% Score47.9 DownOpp4.706

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#12 US.COF Capital One · Financials

-2.19%

P25-4.61% Down75% Dn/Up517.5% / 5% Score50.1 DownOpp4.667

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#13 US.KKR KKR & Co. · Financials

-2.65%

P25-4.69% Down70% Dn/Up525% / 7.5% Score45.2 DownOpp4.633

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#14 US.USB U.S. Bancorp · Financials

-2.20%

P25-5.03% Down65% Dn/Up525% / 0% Score51.9 DownOpp4.268

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#15 US.IBKR Interactive Brokers · Financials

-2.11%

P25-4.51% Down72.5% Dn/Up515% / 7.5% Score52.2 DownOpp4.196

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#16 US.ADSK Autodesk · Information Technology

-2.32%

P25-6.96% Down67.5% Dn/Up537.5% / 15% Score52.1 DownOpp4.169

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#17 US.ADBE Adobe Inc. · Information Technology

-2.20%

P25-5.91% Down67.5% Dn/Up530% / 12.5% Score49.2 DownOpp3.959

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#18 US.JKHY Jack Henry & Associates · Financials

-1.79%

P25-3.72% Down70% Dn/Up517.5% / 0% Score48.8 DownOpp3.954

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#19 US.SCHW Charles Schwab Corporation · Financials

-1.77%

P25-4.38% Down67.5% Dn/Up522.5% / 0% Score46.7 DownOpp3.915

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#20 US.IT Gartner · Information Technology

-2.09%

P25-6.66% Down65% Dn/Up537.5% / 12.5% Score53.8 DownOpp3.802

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#21 US.NOW ServiceNow · Information Technology

-1.89%

P25-7.16% Down67.5% Dn/Up537.5% / 15% Score51.1 DownOpp3.797

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#22 US.FTNT Fortinet · Information Technology

-1.45%

P25-6.96% Down67.5% Dn/Up535% / 7.5% Score51.7 DownOpp3.752

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#23 US.MCHP Microchip Technology · Information Technology

-2.29%

P25-5.94% Down65% Dn/Up532.5% / 15% Score53.5 DownOpp3.674

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#24 US.FOXA Fox Corporation (Class A) · Communication Services

-1.71%

P25-4.95% Down65% Dn/Up525% / 2.5% Score47.9 DownOpp3.638

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#25 US.IBM IBM · Information Technology

-2.11%

P25-4.76% Down62.5% Dn/Up525% / 7.5% Score48 DownOpp3.49

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#26 US.MS Morgan Stanley · Financials

-1.54%

P25-4.00% Down70% Dn/Up57.5% / 5% Score54.8 DownOpp3.429

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#27 US.SYF Synchrony Financial · Financials

-1.27%

P25-4.50% Down67.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 0% Score52.4 DownOpp3.402

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#28 US.RJF Raymond James Financial · Financials

-1.24%

P25-4.39% Down67.5% Dn/Up522.5% / 0% Score46.4 DownOpp3.39

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#29 US.DDOG Datadog · Information Technology

-1.80%

P25-5.70% Down65% Dn/Up527.5% / 12.5% Score42.3 DownOpp3.358

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#30 US.TTWO Take-Two Interactive · Communication Services

-0.90%

P25-4.82% Down75% Dn/Up522.5% / 7.5% Score59.6 DownOpp3.208

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#31 US.CDW CDW Corporation · Information Technology

-1.10%

P25-5.47% Down70% Dn/Up527.5% / 10% Score44.2 DownOpp3.136

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#32 US.PNC PNC Financial Services · Financials

-1.04%

P25-4.34% Down67.5% Dn/Up515% / 0% Score52.2 DownOpp3.134

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#33 US.AMP Ameriprise Financial · Financials

-1.58%

P25-4.18% Down62.5% Dn/Up520% / 2.5% Score48.4 DownOpp3.112

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#34 US.CPAY Corpay · Financials

-1.33%

P25-3.65% Down67.5% Dn/Up515% / 2.5% Score53.7 DownOpp3.09

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#35 US.AIZ Assurant · Financials

-1.26%

P25-4.86% Down62.5% Dn/Up525% / 0% Score52 DownOpp3.085

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#36 US.WFC Wells Fargo · Financials

-0.98%

P25-3.23% Down70% Dn/Up515% / 0% Score46.5 DownOpp3.039

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#37 US.PANW Palo Alto Networks · Information Technology

-1.75%

P25-5.28% Down62.5% Dn/Up527.5% / 12.5% Score42.9 DownOpp2.998

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#38 US.META Meta Platforms · Communication Services

-1.18%

P25-2.57% Down70% Dn/Up515% / 0% Score57 DownOpp2.995

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#39 US.C Citigroup · Financials

-0.85%

P25-5.07% Down65% Dn/Up527.5% / 0% Score43.4 DownOpp2.992

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#40 US.BX Blackstone Inc. · Financials

-0.80%

P25-5.23% Down65% Dn/Up530% / 0% Score44.1 DownOpp2.977

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#41 US.ORCL Oracle Corporation · Information Technology

-2.33%

P25-4.29% Down62.5% Dn/Up522.5% / 17.5% Score50.5 DownOpp2.974

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#42 US.COIN Coinbase · Financials

-1.23%

P25-3.72% Down67.5% Dn/Up512.5% / 0% Score79.3 DownOpp2.965

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#43 US.PTC PTC Inc. · Information Technology

-2.12%

P25-5.93% Down60% Dn/Up527.5% / 17.5% Score53.2 DownOpp2.954

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#44 US.VRSN Verisign · Information Technology

-1.75%

P25-5.28% Down60% Dn/Up527.5% / 10% Score44.3 DownOpp2.938

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#45 US.APO Apollo Global Management · Financials

-1.47%

P25-4.51% Down62.5% Dn/Up522.5% / 7.5% Score44.5 DownOpp2.814

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#46 US.PSKY Paramount Skydance Corporation · Communication Services

-1.40%

P25-4.03% Down72.5% Dn/Up520% / 17.5% Score54.3 DownOpp2.75

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#47 US.BRO Brown & Brown · Financials

-0.87%

P25-4.04% Down70% Dn/Up512.5% / 5% Score57.8 DownOpp2.747

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#48 US.PLTR Palantir Technologies · Information Technology

-1.63%

P25-6.39% Down57.5% Dn/Up535% / 12.5% Score55.5 DownOpp2.661

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#49 US.WDAY Workday, Inc. · Information Technology

-1.79%

P25-3.89% Down60% Dn/Up522.5% / 7.5% Score61.8 DownOpp2.649

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#50 US.MTB M&T Bank · Financials

-1.04%

P25-4.70% Down60% Dn/Up522.5% / 0% Score50.6 DownOpp2.635

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Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

3D · n=40

US.DIS · -3.04% median

Projected downside + down-rate ranking