S&P 500 Downside Projection Opportunities

Downside ranking

US.META · -3.07% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-3.07%

Top down rate82.5%

Top P25-8.04%

DOE score2.133

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.META Meta Platforms · Communication Services

-3.07%

P25-8.04% Down82.5% Dn/Up530% / 2.5% Score49.5 DownOpp7.159

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#2 US.CHTR Charter Communications · Communication Services

-3.21%

P25-5.24% Down80% Dn/Up527.5% / 2.5% Score54 DownOpp6.365

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#3 US.TTD Trade Desk (The) · Communication Services

-2.90%

P25-5.16% Down80% Dn/Up525% / 0% Score50.1 DownOpp6.214

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#4 US.WTW Willis Towers Watson · Financials

-3.06%

P25-4.95% Down77.5% Dn/Up525% / 0% Score51.2 DownOpp6.114

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#5 US.MS Morgan Stanley · Financials

-2.42%

P25-4.79% Down85% Dn/Up522.5% / 0% Score50 DownOpp6.043

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#6 US.TTWO Take-Two Interactive · Communication Services

-3.06%

P25-5.59% Down75% Dn/Up532.5% / 7.5% Score59.5 DownOpp5.561

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#7 US.COIN Coinbase · Financials

-2.28%

P25-4.39% Down80% Dn/Up517.5% / 0% Score46.1 DownOpp5.432

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#8 US.IBKR Interactive Brokers · Financials

-2.64%

P25-4.61% Down75% Dn/Up517.5% / 2.5% Score50.2 DownOpp5.266

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#9 US.MCO Moody's Corporation · Financials

-3.20%

P25-5.35% Down67.5% Dn/Up532.5% / 5% Score65.6 DownOpp5.146

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#10 US.PSKY Paramount Skydance Corporation · Communication Services

-2.62%

P25-4.42% Down72.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 2.5% Score47.9 DownOpp5.016

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#11 US.GPN Global Payments · Financials

-2.82%

P25-5.19% Down70% Dn/Up527.5% / 5% Score66.9 DownOpp4.916

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#12 US.JKHY Jack Henry & Associates · Financials

-2.11%

P25-4.60% Down72.5% Dn/Up522.5% / 0% Score48.2 DownOpp4.698

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#13 US.NFLX Netflix · Communication Services

-2.49%

P25-4.51% Down75% Dn/Up515% / 10% Score52.4 DownOpp4.625

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#14 US.MSFT Microsoft · Information Technology

-1.80%

P25-4.68% Down72.5% Dn/Up520% / 2.5% Score48.1 DownOpp4.259

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#15 US.NWS News Corp (Class B) · Communication Services

-2.10%

P25-5.14% Down67.5% Dn/Up527.5% / 5% Score47.6 DownOpp4.128

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#16 US.C Citigroup · Financials

-1.68%

P25-5.12% Down70% Dn/Up530% / 2.5% Score42.6 DownOpp4.091

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#17 US.SYF Synchrony Financial · Financials

-1.58%

P25-4.19% Down72.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 0% Score47.3 DownOpp4.073

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#18 US.AJG Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. · Financials

-1.86%

P25-3.93% Down67.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 0% Score50 DownOpp3.868

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#19 US.HOOD Robinhood Markets · Financials

-1.16%

P25-4.68% Down72.5% Dn/Up525% / 0% Score43.7 DownOpp3.802

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#20 US.AIZ Assurant · Financials

-1.73%

P25-6.96% Down62.5% Dn/Up530% / 7.5% Score51.2 DownOpp3.636

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#21 US.BNY BNY Mellon · Financials

-1.81%

P25-3.80% Down67.5% Dn/Up510% / 5% Score48.9 DownOpp3.493

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#22 US.MCHP Microchip Technology · Information Technology

-2.18%

P25-5.75% Down62.5% Dn/Up530% / 12.5% Score53.2 DownOpp3.468

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#23 US.TXN Texas Instruments · Information Technology

-2.34%

P25-4.08% Down67.5% Dn/Up525% / 15% Score54.4 DownOpp3.452

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#24 US.PLTR Palantir Technologies · Information Technology

-2.20%

P25-5.70% Down65% Dn/Up527.5% / 17.5% Score48.1 DownOpp3.414

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#25 US.USB U.S. Bancorp · Financials

-1.11%

P25-4.56% Down67.5% Dn/Up522.5% / 0% Score51.3 DownOpp3.265

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#26 US.PTC PTC Inc. · Information Technology

-1.69%

P25-6.84% Down67.5% Dn/Up535% / 20% Score52.3 DownOpp3.208

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#27 US.FITB Fifth Third Bancorp · Financials

-1.04%

P25-4.56% Down67.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 0% Score49.7 DownOpp3.207

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#28 US.TFC Truist Financial · Financials

-1.11%

P25-4.14% Down67.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 0% Score45.2 DownOpp3.206

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#29 US.STT State Street Corporation · Financials

-1.06%

P25-4.20% Down67.5% Dn/Up520% / 0% Score45.2 DownOpp3.171

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#30 US.FIS Fidelity National Information Services · Financials

-1.98%

P25-4.72% Down62.5% Dn/Up525% / 10% Score56.4 DownOpp3.137

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#31 US.CPAY Corpay · Financials

-1.59%

P25-3.84% Down67.5% Dn/Up510% / 7.5% Score54.9 DownOpp3.088

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#32 US.FISV Fiserv · Financials

-1.41%

P25-4.30% Down67.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 7.5% Score47.5 DownOpp3.079

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#33 US.GL Globe Life · Financials

-1.04%

P25-4.56% Down65% Dn/Up520% / 0% Score50.9 DownOpp2.998

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#34 US.KKR KKR & Co. · Financials

-1.21%

P25-5.13% Down65% Dn/Up527.5% / 7.5% Score40.4 DownOpp2.94

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#35 US.AFL Aflac · Financials

-0.93%

P25-4.34% Down65% Dn/Up515% / 0% Score52 DownOpp2.825

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#36 US.WFC Wells Fargo · Financials

-1.06%

P25-6.80% Down62.5% Dn/Up532.5% / 10% Score44.9 DownOpp2.823

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#37 US.WST West Pharmaceutical Services · Health Care

-1.10%

P25-3.03% Down70% Dn/Up55% / 2.5% Score64.8 DownOpp2.822

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#38 US.CSCO Cisco · Information Technology

-1.44%

P25-6.84% Down67.5% Dn/Up535% / 22.5% Score52.1 DownOpp2.809

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#39 US.DIS Walt Disney Company (The) · Communication Services

-1.52%

P25-4.01% Down67.5% Dn/Up515% / 12.5% Score54.4 DownOpp2.765

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#40 US.ORCL Oracle Corporation · Information Technology

-2.04%

P25-4.80% Down62.5% Dn/Up525% / 20% Score48.7 DownOpp2.675

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#41 US.DDOG Datadog · Information Technology

-0.98%

P25-4.09% Down70% Dn/Up522.5% / 10% Score43.8 DownOpp2.674

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#42 US.RJF Raymond James Financial · Financials

-0.80%

P25-4.68% Down62.5% Dn/Up525% / 0% Score44.2 DownOpp2.638

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#43 US.TROW T. Rowe Price · Financials

-1.10%

P25-4.33% Down60% Dn/Up515% / 0% Score52.1 DownOpp2.592

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#44 US.NTRS Northern Trust · Financials

-0.65%

P25-5.40% Down62.5% Dn/Up530% / 2.5% Score41.3 DownOpp2.54

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#45 US.AMP Ameriprise Financial · Financials

-0.65%

P25-5.23% Down62.5% Dn/Up530% / 2.5% Score41.5 DownOpp2.496

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#46 US.APO Apollo Global Management · Financials

-1.21%

P25-5.62% Down57.5% Dn/Up532.5% / 7.5% Score40.4 DownOpp2.462

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#47 US.XYZ Block, Inc. · Financials

-1.66%

P25-3.36% Down57.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 7.5% Score52.9 DownOpp2.253

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#48 US.TRMB Trimble Inc. · Information Technology

-1.48%

P25-6.66% Down60% Dn/Up532.5% / 22.5% Score52.6 DownOpp2.201

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#49 US.CTSH Cognizant · Information Technology

-1.04%

P25-3.74% Down62.5% Dn/Up522.5% / 10% Score39.3 DownOpp2.08

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#50 US.GEHC GE HealthCare · Health Care

-0.76%

P25-2.69% Down65% Dn/Up512.5% / 2.5% Score57.9 DownOpp2.048

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Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

3D · n=40

US.META · -3.07% median

Projected downside + down-rate ranking