S&P 500 Downside Projection Opportunities

Downside ranking

US.HOOD · -3.21% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-3.21%

Top down rate75%

Top P25-7.21%

DOE score2.222

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.HOOD Robinhood Markets · Financials

-3.21%

P25-7.21% Down75% Dn/Up537.5% / 2.5% Score45 DownOpp6.525

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#2 US.NDAQ Nasdaq, Inc. · Financials

-2.45%

P25-7.00% Down72.5% Dn/Up532.5% / 0% Score49 DownOpp5.633

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#3 US.COIN Coinbase · Financials

-2.79%

P25-6.22% Down70% Dn/Up540% / 2.5% Score42.4 DownOpp5.477

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#4 US.KKR KKR & Co. · Financials

-3.08%

P25-6.46% Down70% Dn/Up535% / 12.5% Score57.1 DownOpp5.117

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#5 US.WTW Willis Towers Watson · Financials

-3.08%

P25-7.03% Down70% Dn/Up540% / 15% Score56.9 DownOpp5.111

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#6 US.JKHY Jack Henry & Associates · Financials

-3.08%

P25-7.03% Down70% Dn/Up540% / 17.5% Score56.3 DownOpp4.965

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#7 US.MSCI MSCI Inc. · Financials

-2.75%

P25-6.46% Down70% Dn/Up532.5% / 15% Score50.9 DownOpp4.683

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#8 US.FOXA Fox Corporation (Class A) · Communication Services

-1.80%

P25-6.09% Down72.5% Dn/Up530% / 7.5% Score49.4 DownOpp4.302

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#9 US.TROW T. Rowe Price · Financials

-1.78%

P25-5.96% Down67.5% Dn/Up530% / 2.5% Score46.3 DownOpp4.173

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#10 US.ORCL Oracle Corporation · Information Technology

-2.42%

P25-7.85% Down65% Dn/Up542.5% / 17.5% Score60 DownOpp4.083

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#11 US.DIS Walt Disney Company (The) · Communication Services

-1.69%

P25-5.38% Down72.5% Dn/Up530% / 5% Score63.2 DownOpp4.061

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#12 US.FIS Fidelity National Information Services · Financials

-2.14%

P25-4.61% Down67.5% Dn/Up520% / 5% Score49.4 DownOpp4.022

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#13 US.OMC Omnicom Group · Communication Services

-1.54%

P25-5.88% Down72.5% Dn/Up527.5% / 7.5% Score60.2 DownOpp3.908

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#14 US.BRO Brown & Brown · Financials

-2.09%

P25-6.10% Down67.5% Dn/Up530% / 12.5% Score50.1 DownOpp3.889

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#15 US.FOX Fox Corporation (Class B) · Communication Services

-1.68%

P25-4.20% Down72.5% Dn/Up522.5% / 5% Score54.1 DownOpp3.824

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#16 US.META Meta Platforms · Communication Services

-1.54%

P25-4.72% Down70% Dn/Up525% / 2.5% Score52.9 DownOpp3.773

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#17 US.XYZ Block, Inc. · Financials

-1.71%

P25-4.56% Down67.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 2.5% Score51.7 DownOpp3.712

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#18 US.BX Blackstone Inc. · Financials

-1.71%

P25-4.36% Down67.5% Dn/Up515% / 5% Score50.4 DownOpp3.522

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#19 US.NWS News Corp (Class B) · Communication Services

-1.80%

P25-5.13% Down65% Dn/Up527.5% / 10% Score47.7 DownOpp3.325

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#20 US.QCOM Qualcomm · Information Technology

-1.98%

P25-4.74% Down65% Dn/Up522.5% / 12.5% Score51.9 DownOpp3.226

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#21 US.ADSK Autodesk · Information Technology

-1.37%

P25-4.20% Down70% Dn/Up522.5% / 7.5% Score51.2 DownOpp3.186

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#22 US.GPN Global Payments · Financials

-1.37%

P25-5.29% Down65% Dn/Up530% / 5% Score62.5 DownOpp3.124

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#23 US.TTWO Take-Two Interactive · Communication Services

-1.68%

P25-5.24% Down65% Dn/Up527.5% / 12.5% Score49.6 DownOpp3.068

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#24 US.V Visa Inc. · Financials

-1.16%

P25-3.91% Down67.5% Dn/Up520% / 2.5% Score54.1 DownOpp2.982

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#25 US.ARES Ares Management · Financials

-1.12%

P25-4.77% Down65% Dn/Up522.5% / 5% Score52.2 DownOpp2.821

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#26 US.PSKY Paramount Skydance Corporation · Communication Services

-1.23%

P25-3.95% Down70% Dn/Up515% / 10% Score55.1 DownOpp2.804

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#27 US.APO Apollo Global Management · Financials

-1.54%

P25-4.30% Down65% Dn/Up525% / 12.5% Score60.7 DownOpp2.61

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#28 US.COO Cooper Companies (The) · Health Care

-1.49%

P25-3.57% Down60% Dn/Up522.5% / 2.5% Score75.9 DownOpp2.463

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#29 US.ACN Accenture · Information Technology

-0.77%

P25-6.09% Down62.5% Dn/Up527.5% / 7.5% Score50.8 DownOpp2.462

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#30 US.AJG Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. · Financials

-1.88%

P25-5.60% Down60% Dn/Up530% / 20% Score59.1 DownOpp2.437

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#31 US.WST West Pharmaceutical Services · Health Care

-1.31%

P25-2.33% Down65% Dn/Up510% / 2.5% Score68.2 DownOpp2.431

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#32 US.WAT Waters Corporation · Health Care

-1.06%

P25-3.21% Down65% Dn/Up515% / 5% Score50.7 DownOpp2.382

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#33 US.MRSH Marsh McLennan · Financials

-1.15%

P25-3.06% Down62.5% Dn/Up510% / 2.5% Score52.8 DownOpp2.369

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#34 US.MSFT Microsoft · Information Technology

-0.98%

P25-3.84% Down70% Dn/Up520% / 15% Score50.3 DownOpp2.263

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#35 US.ROP Roper Technologies · Information Technology

-0.95%

P25-3.00% Down67.5% Dn/Up520% / 7.5% Score53.3 DownOpp2.25

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#36 US.BSX Boston Scientific · Health Care

-0.78%

P25-2.68% Down70% Dn/Up510% / 7.5% Score47.1 DownOpp2.247

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#37 US.FISV Fiserv · Financials

-1.15%

P25-4.72% Down60% Dn/Up525% / 7.5% Score67.1 DownOpp2.177

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#38 US.PYPL PayPal · Financials

-0.49%

P25-5.86% Down57.5% Dn/Up532.5% / 2.5% Score41 DownOpp2.098

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#39 US.VEEV Veeva Systems · Health Care

-0.84%

P25-2.06% Down67.5% Dn/Up55% / 7.5% Score43.8 DownOpp1.976

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#40 US.ELV Elevance Health · Health Care

-0.78%

P25-3.67% Down65% Dn/Up512.5% / 10% Score48.1 DownOpp1.937

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#41 US.NFLX Netflix · Communication Services

-0.74%

P25-2.31% Down65% Dn/Up512.5% / 2.5% Score58.8 DownOpp1.927

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#42 US.INCY Incyte · Health Care

-1.06%

P25-3.35% Down62.5% Dn/Up512.5% / 10% Score65.3 DownOpp1.808

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#43 US.TYL Tyler Technologies · Information Technology

-1.99%

P25-4.46% Down55% Dn/Up522.5% / 22.5% Score57.3 DownOpp1.725

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#44 US.MCHP Microchip Technology · Information Technology

-1.25%

P25-7.05% Down52.5% Dn/Up535% / 17.5% Score64.8 DownOpp1.677

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#45 US.ERIE Erie Indemnity · Financials

-0.92%

P25-4.72% Down57.5% Dn/Up525% / 12.5% Score60.2 DownOpp1.499

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#46 US.TMUS T-Mobile US · Communication Services

-0.84%

P25-1.81% Down62.5% Dn/Up55% / 5% Score65.8 DownOpp1.499

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#47 US.CDNS Cadence Design Systems · Information Technology

-1.40%

P25-3.43% Down60% Dn/Up517.5% / 20% Score66.4 DownOpp1.36

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#48 US.UNH UnitedHealth Group · Health Care

-0.68%

P25-1.79% Down62.5% Dn/Up55% / 7.5% Score42.3 DownOpp1.36

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#49 US.ARE Alexandria Real Estate Equities · Real Estate

-0.48%

P25-2.21% Down60% Dn/Up57.5% / 2.5% Score60.4 DownOpp1.23

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#50 US.MCO Moody's Corporation · Financials

-1.10%

P25-6.46% Down55% Dn/Up530% / 25% Score54.6 DownOpp1.205

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Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

3D · n=40

US.HOOD · -3.21% median

Projected downside + down-rate ranking