S&P 500 Downside Projection Opportunities

Downside ranking

US.COIN · -3.86% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-3.86%

Top down rate72.5%

Top P25-7.25%

DOE score2.286

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.COIN Coinbase · Financials

-3.86%

P25-7.25% Down72.5% Dn/Up545% / 0% Score43.3 DownOpp7.148

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#2 US.PYPL PayPal · Financials

-3.21%

P25-6.80% Down72.5% Dn/Up542.5% / 0% Score42.5 DownOpp6.391

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#3 US.APP AppLovin · Information Technology

-4.08%

P25-8.24% Down67.5% Dn/Up547.5% / 17.5% Score61.6 DownOpp6.028

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#4 US.KKR KKR & Co. · Financials

-2.45%

P25-6.46% Down70% Dn/Up535% / 2.5% Score53.3 DownOpp5.115

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#5 US.HOOD Robinhood Markets · Financials

-2.45%

P25-5.45% Down72.5% Dn/Up527.5% / 2.5% Score48.7 DownOpp5.097

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#6 US.TROW T. Rowe Price · Financials

-2.14%

P25-5.96% Down70% Dn/Up530% / 0% Score46.3 DownOpp4.883

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#7 US.PSKY Paramount Skydance Corporation · Communication Services

-2.21%

P25-6.43% Down72.5% Dn/Up530% / 7.5% Score49.4 DownOpp4.797

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#8 US.MSCI MSCI Inc. · Financials

-2.45%

P25-4.79% Down70% Dn/Up522.5% / 2.5% Score49.6 DownOpp4.726

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#9 US.FIS Fidelity National Information Services · Financials

-2.25%

P25-4.79% Down70% Dn/Up522.5% / 2.5% Score48.2 DownOpp4.536

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#10 US.SPGI S&P Global · Financials

-1.98%

P25-5.04% Down72.5% Dn/Up525% / 2.5% Score51.8 DownOpp4.502

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#11 US.NFLX Netflix · Communication Services

-1.68%

P25-5.56% Down72.5% Dn/Up527.5% / 0% Score51.7 DownOpp4.482

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#12 US.NDAQ Nasdaq, Inc. · Financials

-2.17%

P25-5.30% Down67.5% Dn/Up527.5% / 2.5% Score51.3 DownOpp4.36

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#13 US.BX Blackstone Inc. · Financials

-2.14%

P25-5.04% Down67.5% Dn/Up525% / 2.5% Score50.6 DownOpp4.271

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#14 US.FOX Fox Corporation (Class B) · Communication Services

-1.74%

P25-6.00% Down72.5% Dn/Up530% / 7.5% Score60.1 DownOpp4.139

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#15 US.BRO Brown & Brown · Financials

-1.88%

P25-6.76% Down67.5% Dn/Up535% / 7.5% Score54.1 DownOpp4.114

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#16 US.OMC Omnicom Group · Communication Services

-1.88%

P25-6.09% Down67.5% Dn/Up532.5% / 7.5% Score47 DownOpp4

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#17 US.ADBE Adobe Inc. · Information Technology

-1.48%

P25-5.90% Down72.5% Dn/Up527.5% / 10% Score51.2 DownOpp3.771

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#18 US.ACN Accenture · Information Technology

-1.97%

P25-5.68% Down60% Dn/Up530% / 5% Score49.3 DownOpp3.52

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#19 US.QCOM Qualcomm · Information Technology

-1.98%

P25-4.74% Down65% Dn/Up522.5% / 12.5% Score51.9 DownOpp3.226

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#20 US.ERIE Erie Indemnity · Financials

-1.54%

P25-5.29% Down65% Dn/Up530% / 7.5% Score60 DownOpp3.162

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#21 US.VEEV Veeva Systems · Health Care

-1.26%

P25-2.78% Down72.5% Dn/Up57.5% / 5% Score44.6 DownOpp3.121

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#22 US.PANW Palo Alto Networks · Information Technology

-1.53%

P25-7.38% Down62.5% Dn/Up535% / 15% Score59.2 DownOpp3.031

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#23 US.BSX Boston Scientific · Health Care

-1.00%

P25-3.36% Down72.5% Dn/Up510% / 5% Score45.9 DownOpp2.996

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#24 US.PODD Insulet Corporation · Health Care

-1.26%

P25-3.67% Down67.5% Dn/Up512.5% / 5% Score46.8 DownOpp2.927

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#25 US.CRM Salesforce · Information Technology

-1.35%

P25-6.07% Down60% Dn/Up532.5% / 7.5% Score45.7 DownOpp2.875

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#26 US.JKHY Jack Henry & Associates · Financials

-1.54%

P25-5.32% Down60% Dn/Up530% / 7.5% Score60.3 DownOpp2.768

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#27 US.TDG TransDigm Group · Industrials

-1.57%

P25-4.12% Down65% Dn/Up520% / 12.5% Score47.9 DownOpp2.691

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#28 US.AJG Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. · Financials

-1.27%

P25-5.20% Down62.5% Dn/Up527.5% / 7.5% Score57.8 DownOpp2.687

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#29 US.XYZ Block, Inc. · Financials

-1.27%

P25-4.56% Down60% Dn/Up517.5% / 2.5% Score51.1 DownOpp2.677

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#30 US.IQV IQVIA · Health Care

-0.94%

P25-2.74% Down65% Dn/Up57.5% / 0% Score38.6 DownOpp2.536

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#31 US.CRL Charles River Laboratories · Health Care

-1.00%

P25-3.64% Down65% Dn/Up512.5% / 5% Score45.3 DownOpp2.47

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#32 US.META Meta Platforms · Communication Services

-0.93%

P25-3.95% Down67.5% Dn/Up512.5% / 7.5% Score58 DownOpp2.432

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#33 US.NWS News Corp (Class B) · Communication Services

-1.23%

P25-4.62% Down65% Dn/Up525% / 12.5% Score55.1 DownOpp2.422

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#34 US.FDS FactSet · Financials

-0.70%

P25-5.86% Down57.5% Dn/Up530% / 0% Score46.2 DownOpp2.419

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#35 US.ADP Automatic Data Processing · Industrials

-1.60%

P25-3.59% Down62.5% Dn/Up52.5% / 12.5% Score50.9 DownOpp2.366

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#36 US.UNH UnitedHealth Group · Health Care

-0.91%

P25-2.78% Down67.5% Dn/Up57.5% / 5% Score45.5 DownOpp2.364

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#37 US.WST West Pharmaceutical Services · Health Care

-1.01%

P25-3.06% Down65% Dn/Up55% / 2.5% Score71.2 DownOpp2.291

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#38 US.NWSA News Corp (Class A) · Communication Services

-1.11%

P25-5.21% Down60% Dn/Up527.5% / 10% Score49.2 DownOpp2.244

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#39 US.WAT Waters Corporation · Health Care

-1.22%

P25-5.00% Down57.5% Dn/Up525% / 7.5% Score51.7 DownOpp2.232

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#40 US.HUM Humana · Health Care

-0.99%

P25-2.93% Down62.5% Dn/Up512.5% / 2.5% Score46.6 DownOpp2.223

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#41 US.TRMB Trimble Inc. · Information Technology

-0.86%

P25-3.89% Down62.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 5% Score47.3 DownOpp2.178

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#42 US.RVTY Revvity · Health Care

-1.00%

P25-3.00% Down62.5% Dn/Up510% / 5% Score41.5 DownOpp2.139

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#43 US.FOXA Fox Corporation (Class A) · Communication Services

-0.57%

P25-7.63% Down60% Dn/Up530% / 12.5% Score55.2 DownOpp2.113

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#44 US.DIS Walt Disney Company (The) · Communication Services

-1.16%

P25-2.56% Down60% Dn/Up50% / 2.5% Score48.2 DownOpp2.089

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#45 US.DDOG Datadog · Information Technology

-0.71%

P25-3.12% Down67.5% Dn/Up515% / 7.5% Score49.9 DownOpp2.066

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#46 US.HPQ HP Inc. · Information Technology

-1.48%

P25-4.73% Down57.5% Dn/Up525% / 15% Score51.7 DownOpp1.975

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#47 US.IDXX Idexx Laboratories · Health Care

-0.73%

P25-3.82% Down57.5% Dn/Up520% / 0% Score47.5 DownOpp1.929

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#48 US.EW Edwards Lifesciences · Health Care

-0.63%

P25-4.86% Down57.5% Dn/Up525% / 2.5% Score50.3 DownOpp1.918

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#49 US.IT Gartner · Information Technology

-1.48%

P25-4.94% Down55% Dn/Up525% / 15% Score43.3 DownOpp1.89

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#50 US.AXON Axon Enterprise · Industrials

-1.43%

P25-3.50% Down62.5% Dn/Up512.5% / 20% Score49.4 DownOpp1.734

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Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

3D · n=40

US.COIN · -3.86% median

Projected downside + down-rate ranking