S&P 500 Downside Projection Opportunities

Downside ranking

US.PYPL · -3.92% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-3.92%

Top down rate75%

Top P25-8.25%

DOE score2.349

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.PYPL PayPal · Financials

-3.92%

P25-8.25% Down75% Dn/Up542.5% / 2.5% Score45.9 DownOpp7.488

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#2 US.TROW T. Rowe Price · Financials

-3.92%

P25-7.51% Down77.5% Dn/Up537.5% / 2.5% Score48.1 DownOpp7.487

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#3 US.FSLR First Solar · Information Technology

-4.55%

P25-8.48% Down75% Dn/Up547.5% / 12.5% Score59.8 DownOpp7.472

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#4 US.COIN Coinbase · Financials

-3.70%

P25-6.55% Down80% Dn/Up537.5% / 5% Score50.9 DownOpp7.056

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#5 US.MRVL Marvell Technology · Information Technology

-4.08%

P25-7.75% Down72.5% Dn/Up545% / 12.5% Score62.1 DownOpp6.602

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#6 US.HOOD Robinhood Markets · Financials

-3.30%

P25-6.55% Down77.5% Dn/Up537.5% / 2.5% Score51.9 DownOpp6.598

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#7 US.BX Blackstone Inc. · Financials

-3.11%

P25-6.46% Down80% Dn/Up537.5% / 2.5% Score53.7 DownOpp6.572

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#8 US.MSCI MSCI Inc. · Financials

-3.28%

P25-6.46% Down75% Dn/Up532.5% / 2.5% Score51 DownOpp6.362

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#9 US.SYF Synchrony Financial · Financials

-3.28%

P25-6.46% Down72.5% Dn/Up537.5% / 0% Score55.1 DownOpp6.282

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#10 US.MCO Moody's Corporation · Financials

-3.08%

P25-6.46% Down75% Dn/Up532.5% / 2.5% Score49.6 DownOpp6.173

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#11 US.KKR KKR & Co. · Financials

-2.75%

P25-6.64% Down70% Dn/Up532.5% / 2.5% Score49.4 DownOpp5.49

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#12 US.XYZ Block, Inc. · Financials

-2.45%

P25-6.24% Down72.5% Dn/Up530% / 2.5% Score50.4 DownOpp5.282

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#13 US.APO Apollo Global Management · Financials

-2.46%

P25-5.32% Down75% Dn/Up530% / 2.5% Score56.7 DownOpp5.215

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#14 US.ARES Ares Management · Financials

-2.09%

P25-6.46% Down72.5% Dn/Up527.5% / 0% Score52.3 DownOpp5.113

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#15 US.NFLX Netflix · Communication Services

-1.88%

P25-5.56% Down77.5% Dn/Up527.5% / 0% Score51.9 DownOpp5.081

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#16 US.BRO Brown & Brown · Financials

-2.17%

P25-5.30% Down70% Dn/Up527.5% / 2.5% Score51.7 DownOpp4.557

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#17 US.CRM Salesforce · Information Technology

-2.43%

P25-5.79% Down70% Dn/Up530% / 10% Score47.6 DownOpp4.521

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#18 US.MCHP Microchip Technology · Information Technology

-2.79%

P25-7.20% Down70% Dn/Up537.5% / 20% Score63.6 DownOpp4.513

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#19 US.FIS Fidelity National Information Services · Financials

-2.37%

P25-5.04% Down67.5% Dn/Up525% / 2.5% Score50.8 DownOpp4.499

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#20 US.GPN Global Payments · Financials

-2.14%

P25-4.61% Down67.5% Dn/Up520% / 2.5% Score50 DownOpp4.168

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#21 US.NTAP NetApp · Information Technology

-2.57%

P25-7.70% Down65% Dn/Up537.5% / 17.5% Score66 DownOpp4.15

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#22 US.PSKY Paramount Skydance Corporation · Communication Services

-2.29%

P25-4.73% Down67.5% Dn/Up525% / 7.5% Score44.4 DownOpp4.09

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#23 US.WDAY Workday, Inc. · Information Technology

-1.48%

P25-5.04% Down75% Dn/Up525% / 5% Score50.8 DownOpp4.059

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#24 US.META Meta Platforms · Communication Services

-1.67%

P25-3.95% Down77.5% Dn/Up512.5% / 7.5% Score56.6 DownOpp3.983

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#25 US.PANW Palo Alto Networks · Information Technology

-1.76%

P25-4.52% Down70% Dn/Up522.5% / 2.5% Score50 DownOpp3.965

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#26 US.FOX Fox Corporation (Class B) · Communication Services

-1.88%

P25-5.24% Down70% Dn/Up527.5% / 7.5% Score51.3 DownOpp3.955

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#27 US.NDAQ Nasdaq, Inc. · Financials

-1.54%

P25-6.36% Down67.5% Dn/Up535% / 5% Score56.9 DownOpp3.803

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#28 US.OMC Omnicom Group · Communication Services

-1.80%

P25-5.13% Down67.5% Dn/Up527.5% / 7.5% Score41.6 DownOpp3.721

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#29 US.LYV Live Nation Entertainment · Communication Services

-1.61%

P25-4.08% Down72.5% Dn/Up515% / 5% Score56.7 DownOpp3.705

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#30 US.PLTR Palantir Technologies · Information Technology

-1.48%

P25-5.03% Down72.5% Dn/Up525% / 10% Score49.7 DownOpp3.565

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#31 US.GEN Gen Digital · Information Technology

-2.49%

P25-6.19% Down65% Dn/Up532.5% / 20% Score65.1 DownOpp3.549

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#32 US.NWSA News Corp (Class A) · Communication Services

-1.86%

P25-6.48% Down65% Dn/Up530% / 12.5% Score51.6 DownOpp3.543

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#33 US.AMD Advanced Micro Devices · Information Technology

-1.63%

P25-4.59% Down67.5% Dn/Up522.5% / 5% Score51.5 DownOpp3.491

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#34 US.FDS FactSet · Financials

-1.07%

P25-6.93% Down62.5% Dn/Up535% / 0% Score43 DownOpp3.48

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#35 US.DIS Walt Disney Company (The) · Communication Services

-1.55%

P25-2.56% Down72.5% Dn/Up50% / 2.5% Score48.6 DownOpp3.476

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#36 US.FOXA Fox Corporation (Class A) · Communication Services

-1.34%

P25-6.23% Down67.5% Dn/Up527.5% / 10% Score55.4 DownOpp3.282

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#37 US.INTU Intuit · Information Technology

-1.76%

P25-4.79% Down67.5% Dn/Up522.5% / 12.5% Score47.8 DownOpp3.249

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#38 US.TRMB Trimble Inc. · Information Technology

-1.67%

P25-6.07% Down62.5% Dn/Up530% / 10% Score46.4 DownOpp3.24

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#39 US.NWS News Corp (Class B) · Communication Services

-1.29%

P25-6.52% Down65% Dn/Up530% / 10% Score61 DownOpp3.063

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#40 US.NVDA Nvidia · Information Technology

-1.75%

P25-6.76% Down60% Dn/Up537.5% / 12.5% Score61 DownOpp3.033

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#41 US.GDDY GoDaddy · Information Technology

-1.17%

P25-6.32% Down67.5% Dn/Up532.5% / 12.5% Score52.7 DownOpp3.005

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#42 US.TTWO Take-Two Interactive · Communication Services

-1.59%

P25-4.73% Down62.5% Dn/Up525% / 7.5% Score44.3 DownOpp2.99

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#43 US.PODD Insulet Corporation · Health Care

-1.26%

P25-3.00% Down67.5% Dn/Up510% / 5% Score45.8 DownOpp2.767

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#44 US.SPGI S&P Global · Financials

-1.03%

P25-6.22% Down60% Dn/Up532.5% / 5% Score57.6 DownOpp2.653

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#45 US.IBKR Interactive Brokers · Financials

-0.87%

P25-4.51% Down62.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 2.5% Score54.8 DownOpp2.437

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#46 US.MRSH Marsh McLennan · Financials

-1.04%

P25-2.13% Down67.5% Dn/Up510% / 2.5% Score54.6 DownOpp2.413

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#47 US.VLTO Veralto · Industrials

-1.61%

P25-4.06% Down62.5% Dn/Up510% / 17.5% Score47.7 DownOpp2.217

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#48 US.ADP Automatic Data Processing · Industrials

-1.57%

P25-4.15% Down62.5% Dn/Up515% / 17.5% Score46.9 DownOpp2.206

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#49 US.MSFT Microsoft · Information Technology

-1.08%

P25-4.17% Down62.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 10% Score50.1 DownOpp2.147

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#50 US.APP AppLovin · Information Technology

-0.99%

P25-4.47% Down60% Dn/Up525% / 7.5% Score48.6 DownOpp2.093

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Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

3D · n=40

US.PYPL · -3.92% median

Projected downside + down-rate ranking