Downside opportunities

Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.

Calibration status

3D · n=40

Shared DOE best setting from the as-of run for this snapshot.

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-02-05
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-02-05
DOE window 2026-01-05 → 2026-02-02
DOE anchors 80
Computed at 2026年7月9日 下午6:53 HKT
Rows 50
Excluded uptrends 268

Downside ranking

US.COIN · -5.63% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-5.63%
Top down rate82.5%
Top P25-9.89%
DOE score2.256

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.COIN Coinbase · Financials

-5.63%

P25-9.89% Down82.5% Dn/Up555% / 0% Score47.7 DownOpp10.345
View chart 開富途
#2 US.QCOM Qualcomm · Information Technology

-6.30%

P25-9.13% Down82.5% Dn/Up557.5% / 7.5% Score60.7 DownOpp10.277
View chart 開富途
#3 US.PYPL PayPal · Financials

-5.12%

P25-8.88% Down80% Dn/Up550% / 0% Score48.5 DownOpp9.376
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#4 US.KKR KKR & Co. · Financials

-5.12%

P25-8.88% Down80% Dn/Up550% / 0% Score48.8 DownOpp9.374
View chart 開富途
#5 US.CRM Salesforce · Information Technology

-5.17%

P25-8.24% Down70% Dn/Up552.5% / 2.5% Score52.8 DownOpp8.284
View chart 開富途
#6 US.TROW T. Rowe Price · Financials

-4.08%

P25-6.83% Down77.5% Dn/Up540% / 0% Score52.1 DownOpp7.597
View chart 開富途
#7 US.ARES Ares Management · Financials

-4.20%

P25-7.74% Down72.5% Dn/Up545% / 0% Score50.2 DownOpp7.559
View chart 開富途
#8 US.HOOD Robinhood Markets · Financials

-4.20%

P25-7.74% Down72.5% Dn/Up545% / 0% Score50.7 DownOpp7.555
View chart 開富途
#9 US.APO Apollo Global Management · Financials

-4.08%

P25-6.56% Down77.5% Dn/Up542.5% / 0% Score53.1 DownOpp7.522
View chart 開富途
#10 US.INTU Intuit · Information Technology

-4.79%

P25-8.24% Down65% Dn/Up550% / 2.5% Score53.3 DownOpp7.5
View chart 開富途
#11 US.MSFT Microsoft · Information Technology

-4.45%

P25-8.32% Down67.5% Dn/Up547.5% / 2.5% Score51.9 DownOpp7.391
View chart 開富途
#12 US.PLTR Palantir Technologies · Information Technology

-4.79%

P25-8.24% Down62.5% Dn/Up550% / 2.5% Score54.3 DownOpp7.293
View chart 開富途
#13 US.BX Blackstone Inc. · Financials

-3.74%

P25-7.74% Down75% Dn/Up545% / 0% Score53.3 DownOpp7.275
View chart 開富途
#14 US.TEL TE Connectivity · Information Technology

-4.45%

P25-8.24% Down62.5% Dn/Up547.5% / 5% Score52.3 DownOpp6.818
View chart 開富途
#15 US.FIS Fidelity National Information Services · Financials

-3.41%

P25-6.12% Down75% Dn/Up532.5% / 0% Score46.4 DownOpp6.592
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#16 US.GPN Global Payments · Financials

-3.52%

P25-6.00% Down72.5% Dn/Up540% / 0% Score43.5 DownOpp6.494
View chart 開富途
#17 US.MRVL Marvell Technology · Information Technology

-3.45%

P25-6.05% Down75% Dn/Up535% / 5% Score50.3 DownOpp6.285
View chart 開富途
#18 US.IBKR Interactive Brokers · Financials

-3.28%

P25-6.18% Down75% Dn/Up537.5% / 2.5% Score53.6 DownOpp6.273
View chart 開富途
#19 US.AVGO Broadcom · Information Technology

-3.03%

P25-8.24% Down70% Dn/Up542.5% / 2.5% Score56.6 DownOpp6.115
View chart 開富途
#20 US.BRO Brown & Brown · Financials

-2.96%

P25-6.76% Down72.5% Dn/Up535% / 0% Score49.7 DownOpp6.077
View chart 開富途
#21 US.XYZ Block, Inc. · Financials

-2.77%

P25-6.55% Down72.5% Dn/Up540% / 0% Score54.3 DownOpp5.8
View chart 開富途
#22 US.PANW Palo Alto Networks · Information Technology

-2.87%

P25-6.05% Down72.5% Dn/Up535% / 2.5% Score51.2 DownOpp5.648
View chart 開富途
#23 US.CRWD CrowdStrike · Information Technology

-3.52%

P25-7.58% Down62.5% Dn/Up545% / 7.5% Score49.8 DownOpp5.592
View chart 開富途
#24 US.COF Capital One · Financials

-2.45%

P25-4.79% Down70% Dn/Up522.5% / 0% Score49.2 DownOpp4.879
View chart 開富途
#25 US.APP AppLovin · Information Technology

-2.45%

P25-6.07% Down72.5% Dn/Up530% / 10% Score48.2 DownOpp4.806
View chart 開富途
#26 US.FOXA Fox Corporation (Class A) · Communication Services

-2.21%

P25-8.24% Down70% Dn/Up532.5% / 12.5% Score53.3 DownOpp4.72
View chart 開富途
#27 US.ORCL Oracle Corporation · Information Technology

-2.91%

P25-7.15% Down57.5% Dn/Up542.5% / 7.5% Score49.3 DownOpp4.478
View chart 開富途
#28 US.NDAQ Nasdaq, Inc. · Financials

-2.04%

P25-6.55% Down65% Dn/Up542.5% / 0% Score54.3 DownOpp4.47
View chart 開富途
#29 US.ADBE Adobe Inc. · Information Technology

-1.80%

P25-4.52% Down77.5% Dn/Up522.5% / 5% Score49.3 DownOpp4.46
View chart 開富途
#30 US.NFLX Netflix · Communication Services

-1.88%

P25-5.24% Down72.5% Dn/Up527.5% / 7.5% Score50.3 DownOpp4.163
View chart 開富途
#31 US.OMC Omnicom Group · Communication Services

-2.29%

P25-4.73% Down67.5% Dn/Up525% / 10% Score44 DownOpp3.943
View chart 開富途
#32 US.SPGI S&P Global · Financials

-1.49%

P25-6.55% Down65% Dn/Up540% / 0% Score55.8 DownOpp3.909
View chart 開富途
#33 US.NOW ServiceNow · Information Technology

-2.55%

P25-5.15% Down62.5% Dn/Up527.5% / 10% Score48.3 DownOpp3.875
View chart 開富途
#34 US.PTC PTC Inc. · Information Technology

-1.99%

P25-4.68% Down70% Dn/Up525% / 7.5% Score63.3 DownOpp3.835
View chart 開富途
#35 US.NWS News Corp (Class B) · Communication Services

-1.60%

P25-5.30% Down72.5% Dn/Up530% / 10% Score58.8 DownOpp3.684
View chart 開富途
#36 US.A Agilent Technologies · Health Care

-1.47%

P25-3.86% Down70% Dn/Up515% / 0% Score50.8 DownOpp3.654
View chart 開富途
#37 US.FDS FactSet · Financials

-1.33%

P25-6.88% Down60% Dn/Up535% / 0% Score51.2 DownOpp3.466
View chart 開富途
#38 US.RVTY Revvity · Health Care

-1.26%

P25-3.67% Down70% Dn/Up515% / 0% Score42.5 DownOpp3.459
View chart 開富途
#39 US.TRMB Trimble Inc. · Information Technology

-1.53%

P25-6.07% Down62.5% Dn/Up532.5% / 5% Score43.6 DownOpp3.421
View chart 開富途
#40 US.LYV Live Nation Entertainment · Communication Services

-1.61%

P25-4.83% Down70% Dn/Up525% / 10% Score53.3 DownOpp3.418
View chart 開富途
#41 US.DIS Walt Disney Company (The) · Communication Services

-1.74%

P25-2.77% Down67.5% Dn/Up50% / 2.5% Score46 DownOpp3.338
View chart 開富途
#42 US.NWSA News Corp (Class A) · Communication Services

-1.74%

P25-6.48% Down62.5% Dn/Up530% / 12.5% Score50.9 DownOpp3.228
View chart 開富途
#43 US.TYL Tyler Technologies · Information Technology

-1.78%

P25-5.77% Down60% Dn/Up532.5% / 7.5% Score49.4 DownOpp3.202
View chart 開富途
#44 US.PSKY Paramount Skydance Corporation · Communication Services

-1.68%

P25-5.81% Down62.5% Dn/Up530% / 10% Score47.2 DownOpp3.179
View chart 開富途
#45 US.MSCI MSCI Inc. · Financials

-1.49%

P25-5.61% Down62.5% Dn/Up532.5% / 5% Score56.3 DownOpp3.17
View chart 開富途
#46 US.CVS CVS Health · Health Care

-1.26%

P25-3.37% Down67.5% Dn/Up515% / 0% Score45.4 DownOpp3.162
View chart 開富途
#47 US.ZBRA Zebra Technologies · Information Technology

-1.38%

P25-5.52% Down60% Dn/Up530% / 2.5% Score51.8 DownOpp3.021
View chart 開富途
#48 US.WDAY Workday, Inc. · Information Technology

-1.35%

P25-5.65% Down60% Dn/Up532.5% / 5% Score52.2 DownOpp2.871
View chart 開富途
#49 US.APH Amphenol · Information Technology

-1.08%

P25-4.17% Down65% Dn/Up520% / 2.5% Score50.8 DownOpp2.792
View chart 開富途
#50 US.TTWO Take-Two Interactive · Communication Services

-1.59%

P25-5.81% Down60% Dn/Up530% / 12.5% Score45.5 DownOpp2.751
View chart 開富途