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Downside opportunities

Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.

Calibration status

3D · n=40

Shared DOE best setting from the as-of run for this snapshot.

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-02-04
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-02-04
DOE window 2026-01-05 → 2026-01-30
DOE anchors 76
Computed at 2026年7月9日 下午6:55 HKT
Rows 50
Excluded uptrends 278

Downside ranking

US.PLTR · -5.61% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-5.61%
Top down rate80%
Top P25-8.48%
DOE score2.228

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.PLTR Palantir Technologies · Information Technology

-5.61%

P25-8.48% Down80% Dn/Up555% / 7.5% Score59.7 DownOpp9.232
View chart 開富途
#2 US.INTU Intuit · Information Technology

-5.20%

P25-8.24% Down80% Dn/Up552.5% / 7.5% Score58.3 DownOpp8.773
View chart 開富途
#3 US.CTSH Cognizant · Information Technology

-5.18%

P25-8.32% Down80% Dn/Up552.5% / 10% Score62.6 DownOpp8.591
View chart 開富途
#4 US.COIN Coinbase · Financials

-4.20%

P25-7.65% Down80% Dn/Up545% / 0% Score46.5 DownOpp8.164
View chart 開富途
#5 US.CRM Salesforce · Information Technology

-5.04%

P25-7.85% Down75% Dn/Up550% / 7.5% Score57.8 DownOpp8.119
View chart 開富途
#6 US.AMD Advanced Micro Devices · Information Technology

-4.73%

P25-7.38% Down72.5% Dn/Up547.5% / 7.5% Score56.6 DownOpp7.501
View chart 開富途
#7 US.GPN Global Payments · Financials

-3.86%

P25-6.22% Down80% Dn/Up537.5% / 0% Score43.5 DownOpp7.489
View chart 開富途
#8 US.ANET Arista Networks · Information Technology

-4.55%

P25-8.24% Down70% Dn/Up547.5% / 10% Score57.4 DownOpp7.179
View chart 開富途
#9 US.FLEX Flex Ltd. · Information Technology

-3.85%

P25-7.34% Down77.5% Dn/Up545% / 7.5% Score57.9 DownOpp7.001
View chart 開富途
#10 US.ROP Roper Technologies · Information Technology

-3.80%

P25-7.17% Down67.5% Dn/Up545% / 2.5% Score57.3 DownOpp6.413
View chart 開富途
#11 US.HOOD Robinhood Markets · Financials

-3.49%

P25-6.46% Down70% Dn/Up537.5% / 0% Score51.3 DownOpp6.32
View chart 開富途
#12 US.NTAP NetApp · Information Technology

-3.95%

P25-7.70% Down72.5% Dn/Up542.5% / 20% Score64.1 DownOpp5.994
View chart 開富途
#13 US.BRO Brown & Brown · Financials

-2.77%

P25-5.32% Down75% Dn/Up532.5% / 0% Score52.2 DownOpp5.709
View chart 開富途
#14 US.KKR KKR & Co. · Financials

-2.77%

P25-6.07% Down70% Dn/Up535% / 0% Score51.9 DownOpp5.498
View chart 開富途
#15 US.IT Gartner · Information Technology

-3.16%

P25-6.34% Down67.5% Dn/Up542.5% / 5% Score54.3 DownOpp5.438
View chart 開富途
#16 US.NXPI NXP Semiconductors · Information Technology

-2.77%

P25-7.17% Down72.5% Dn/Up542.5% / 10% Score59.5 DownOpp5.316
View chart 開富途
#17 US.AVGO Broadcom · Information Technology

-2.80%

P25-7.38% Down65% Dn/Up540% / 2.5% Score55.8 DownOpp5.276
View chart 開富途
#18 US.ORCL Oracle Corporation · Information Technology

-3.37%

P25-7.15% Down60% Dn/Up542.5% / 7.5% Score49.8 DownOpp5.134
View chart 開富途
#19 US.GEN Gen Digital · Information Technology

-2.77%

P25-5.19% Down70% Dn/Up530% / 2.5% Score57 DownOpp5.09
View chart 開富途
#20 US.FIS Fidelity National Information Services · Financials

-2.45%

P25-4.79% Down72.5% Dn/Up522.5% / 0% Score49 DownOpp5.08
View chart 開富途
#21 US.PYPL PayPal · Financials

-2.37%

P25-6.36% Down67.5% Dn/Up535% / 0% Score53.5 DownOpp4.959
View chart 開富途
#22 US.XYZ Block, Inc. · Financials

-2.37%

P25-5.30% Down70% Dn/Up527.5% / 0% Score53.2 DownOpp4.896
View chart 開富途
#23 US.FICO Fair Isaac · Information Technology

-2.79%

P25-7.46% Down60% Dn/Up545% / 5% Score54.1 DownOpp4.749
View chart 開富途
#24 US.QCOM Qualcomm · Information Technology

-2.23%

P25-4.44% Down75% Dn/Up522.5% / 2.5% Score61.8 DownOpp4.727
View chart 開富途
#25 US.APH Amphenol · Information Technology

-2.45%

P25-7.17% Down65% Dn/Up542.5% / 5% Score58.7 DownOpp4.702
View chart 開富途
#26 US.CPAY Corpay · Financials

-2.06%

P25-5.49% Down70% Dn/Up535% / 0% Score54.3 DownOpp4.625
View chart 開富途
#27 US.GDDY GoDaddy · Information Technology

-2.29%

P25-6.50% Down65% Dn/Up535% / 2.5% Score55.6 DownOpp4.548
View chart 開富途
#28 US.PTC PTC Inc. · Information Technology

-2.13%

P25-4.13% Down72.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 2.5% Score60.7 DownOpp4.357
View chart 開富途
#29 US.ARES Ares Management · Financials

-2.04%

P25-6.05% Down65% Dn/Up535% / 0% Score53.7 DownOpp4.35
View chart 開富途
#30 US.MSFT Microsoft · Information Technology

-1.34%

P25-3.34% Down75% Dn/Up517.5% / 0% Score50.7 DownOpp3.795
View chart 開富途
#31 US.IBKR Interactive Brokers · Financials

-1.58%

P25-5.20% Down67.5% Dn/Up527.5% / 2.5% Score57.5 DownOpp3.699
View chart 開富途
#32 US.APP AppLovin · Information Technology

-1.70%

P25-4.59% Down67.5% Dn/Up522.5% / 2.5% Score53.4 DownOpp3.697
View chart 開富途
#33 US.NOW ServiceNow · Information Technology

-1.48%

P25-5.28% Down62.5% Dn/Up530% / 0% Score51.5 DownOpp3.414
View chart 開富途
#34 US.NFLX Netflix · Communication Services

-1.51%

P25-2.84% Down72.5% Dn/Up50% / 5% Score47.7 DownOpp3.362
View chart 開富途
#35 US.ADBE Adobe Inc. · Information Technology

-1.85%

P25-3.68% Down62.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 2.5% Score55.6 DownOpp3.203
View chart 開富途
#36 US.LYV Live Nation Entertainment · Communication Services

-1.47%

P25-4.02% Down70% Dn/Up515% / 7.5% Score57.6 DownOpp3.193
View chart 開富途
#37 US.FDS FactSet · Financials

-1.22%

P25-5.07% Down62.5% Dn/Up525% / 0% Score50.8 DownOpp3.106
View chart 開富途
#38 US.ACN Accenture · Information Technology

-1.44%

P25-6.34% Down60% Dn/Up532.5% / 5% Score56.3 DownOpp3.103
View chart 開富途
#39 US.ADSK Autodesk · Information Technology

-1.38%

P25-4.45% Down65% Dn/Up522.5% / 5% Score50.7 DownOpp3.012
View chart 開富途
#40 US.TTWO Take-Two Interactive · Communication Services

-1.74%

P25-5.86% Down60% Dn/Up527.5% / 12.5% Score50.7 DownOpp2.875
View chart 開富途
#41 US.WST West Pharmaceutical Services · Health Care

-1.13%

P25-2.99% Down70% Dn/Up510% / 2.5% Score60.5 DownOpp2.874
View chart 開富途
#42 US.OMC Omnicom Group · Communication Services

-1.56%

P25-4.80% Down62.5% Dn/Up525% / 10% Score53.7 DownOpp2.757
View chart 開富途
#43 US.COF Capital One · Financials

-1.06%

P25-3.20% Down65% Dn/Up512.5% / 0% Score50.2 DownOpp2.684
View chart 開富途
#44 US.NVDA Nvidia · Information Technology

-1.23%

P25-3.78% Down60% Dn/Up520% / 2.5% Score53.4 DownOpp2.424
View chart 開富途
#45 US.TYL Tyler Technologies · Information Technology

-1.07%

P25-5.65% Down57.5% Dn/Up532.5% / 5% Score52.2 DownOpp2.391
View chart 開富途
#46 US.PSKY Paramount Skydance Corporation · Communication Services

-1.29%

P25-5.21% Down62.5% Dn/Up527.5% / 15% Score50.1 DownOpp2.317
View chart 開富途
#47 US.AZO AutoZone · Consumer Discretionary

-1.10%

P25-2.72% Down62.5% Dn/Up57.5% / 0% Score65.7 DownOpp2.287
View chart 開富途
#48 US.BX Blackstone Inc. · Financials

-0.67%

P25-5.57% Down57.5% Dn/Up530% / 0% Score57.1 DownOpp2.234
View chart 開富途
#49 US.JPM JPMorgan Chase · Financials

-0.78%

P25-2.55% Down67.5% Dn/Up55% / 2.5% Score67.2 DownOpp2.164
View chart 開富途
#50 US.PANW Palo Alto Networks · Information Technology

-0.53%

P25-5.52% Down57.5% Dn/Up532.5% / 0% Score52.8 DownOpp2.114
View chart 開富途