S&P 500 Downside Projection Opportunities

Downside ranking

US.ACN · -2.13% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-2.13%

Top down rate66.7%

Top P25-4.74%

DOE score1.917

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.ACN Accenture · Information Technology

-2.13%

P25-4.74% Down66.7% Dn/Up522.5% / 9.2% Score55.5 DownOpp3.683

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#2 US.CDW CDW Corporation · Information Technology

-2.03%

P25-4.62% Down63.3% Dn/Up520.8% / 5.8% Score56.6 DownOpp3.476

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#3 US.GEN Gen Digital · Information Technology

-1.84%

P25-4.46% Down65% Dn/Up520% / 7.5% Score53.8 DownOpp3.302

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#4 US.QCOM Qualcomm · Information Technology

-1.54%

P25-4.38% Down65.8% Dn/Up519.2% / 7.5% Score53.3 DownOpp3.049

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#5 US.ADSK Autodesk · Information Technology

-1.33%

P25-4.46% Down65.8% Dn/Up519.2% / 8.3% Score50.6 DownOpp2.832

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#6 US.PANW Palo Alto Networks · Information Technology

-0.97%

P25-4.14% Down66.7% Dn/Up515.8% / 5% Score44.2 DownOpp2.71

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#7 US.TEL TE Connectivity · Information Technology

-1.44%

P25-4.33% Down60% Dn/Up519.2% / 7.5% Score58.4 DownOpp2.434

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#8 US.NTAP NetApp · Information Technology

-0.99%

P25-3.85% Down65.8% Dn/Up518.3% / 8.3% Score50.7 DownOpp2.338

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#9 US.ADBE Adobe Inc. · Information Technology

-0.86%

P25-3.88% Down66.7% Dn/Up517.5% / 9.2% Score49.3 DownOpp2.244

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#10 US.BRO Brown & Brown · Financials

-0.94%

P25-4.07% Down60% Dn/Up519.2% / 3.3% Score42.3 DownOpp2.242

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#11 US.TTWO Take-Two Interactive · Communication Services

-0.97%

P25-4.20% Down65% Dn/Up521.7% / 10% Score56.5 DownOpp2.196

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#12 US.OMC Omnicom Group · Communication Services

-1.02%

P25-2.32% Down65% Dn/Up59.2% / 5% Score54.4 DownOpp2.092

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#13 US.TKO TKO Group Holdings · Communication Services

-0.87%

P25-2.13% Down65.8% Dn/Up57.5% / 2.5% Score56.6 DownOpp2.092

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#14 US.SMCI Supermicro · Information Technology

-1.16%

P25-4.19% Down63.3% Dn/Up519.2% / 15% Score52.7 DownOpp1.976

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#15 US.FICO Fair Isaac · Information Technology

-1.01%

P25-3.47% Down59.2% Dn/Up515% / 7.5% Score52.4 DownOpp1.771

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#16 US.HOOD Robinhood Markets · Financials

-0.67%

P25-2.72% Down59.2% Dn/Up512.5% / 1.7% Score53.7 DownOpp1.581

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#17 US.FDS FactSet · Financials

-0.53%

P25-3.11% Down58.3% Dn/Up512.5% / 0.8% Score50.6 DownOpp1.544

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#18 US.TTD Trade Desk (The) · Communication Services

-0.73%

P25-2.83% Down60.8% Dn/Up59.2% / 7.5% Score49.4 DownOpp1.481

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#19 US.ORCL Oracle Corporation · Information Technology

-0.71%

P25-4.43% Down56.7% Dn/Up520% / 8.3% Score54.7 DownOpp1.445

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#20 US.FIS Fidelity National Information Services · Financials

-0.50%

P25-3.23% Down57.5% Dn/Up514.2% / 2.5% Score50.4 DownOpp1.38

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#21 US.COIN Coinbase · Financials

-0.46%

P25-3.79% Down57.5% Dn/Up516.7% / 5% Score44.3 DownOpp1.375

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#22 US.BLDR Builders FirstSource · Industrials

-0.67%

P25-2.65% Down60% Dn/Up55% / 7.5% Score45.3 DownOpp1.343

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#23 US.ERIE Erie Indemnity · Financials

-0.59%

P25-2.47% Down59.2% Dn/Up59.2% / 2.5% Score62 DownOpp1.329

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#24 US.IT Gartner · Information Technology

-0.71%

P25-3.69% Down56.7% Dn/Up518.3% / 7.5% Score55.3 DownOpp1.304

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#25 US.PSKY Paramount Skydance Corporation · Communication Services

-0.72%

P25-2.45% Down59.2% Dn/Up56.7% / 7.5% Score48.5 DownOpp1.255

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#26 US.HPQ HP Inc. · Information Technology

-0.72%

P25-3.27% Down57.5% Dn/Up513.3% / 7.5% Score64.1 DownOpp1.207

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#27 US.PLTR Palantir Technologies · Information Technology

-0.60%

P25-3.30% Down57.5% Dn/Up518.3% / 6.7% Score56.2 DownOpp1.202

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#28 US.AZO AutoZone · Consumer Discretionary

-0.48%

P25-2.72% Down56.7% Dn/Up55% / 0% Score66.1 DownOpp1.2

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#29 US.DIS Walt Disney Company (The) · Communication Services

-0.50%

P25-2.19% Down60.8% Dn/Up58.3% / 5% Score64 DownOpp1.131

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#30 US.PTC PTC Inc. · Information Technology

-0.58%

P25-3.24% Down54.2% Dn/Up515% / 4.2% Score60.2 DownOpp1.023

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#31 US.ORLY O’Reilly Automotive · Consumer Discretionary

-0.37%

P25-2.54% Down55.8% Dn/Up55.8% / 0% Score63.3 DownOpp0.994

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#32 US.FSLR First Solar · Information Technology

-0.50%

P25-3.04% Down59.2% Dn/Up514.2% / 10.8% Score49 DownOpp0.981

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#33 US.LYV Live Nation Entertainment · Communication Services

-0.44%

P25-1.93% Down59.2% Dn/Up57.5% / 4.2% Score57.4 DownOpp0.976

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#34 US.WST West Pharmaceutical Services · Health Care

-0.32%

P25-2.18% Down58.3% Dn/Up57.5% / 2.5% Score54.7 DownOpp0.969

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#35 US.GPN Global Payments · Financials

-0.20%

P25-3.12% Down54.2% Dn/Up514.2% / 1.7% Score43.2 DownOpp0.89

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#36 US.UAL United Airlines Holdings · Industrials

-0.46%

P25-2.61% Down57.5% Dn/Up54.2% / 7.5% Score50.4 DownOpp0.885

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#37 US.AON Aon plc · Financials

-0.61%

P25-2.41% Down55% Dn/Up55.8% / 3.3% Score75.4 DownOpp0.849

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#38 US.NWSA News Corp (Class A) · Communication Services

-0.21%

P25-1.65% Down59.2% Dn/Up53.3% / 0.8% Score64.1 DownOpp0.83

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#39 US.MRVL Marvell Technology · Information Technology

-0.50%

P25-2.77% Down58.3% Dn/Up514.2% / 12.5% Score45.1 DownOpp0.768

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#40 US.NFLX Netflix · Communication Services

-0.35%

P25-1.86% Down57.5% Dn/Up53.3% / 4.2% Score54.5 DownOpp0.754

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#41 US.HPE Hewlett Packard Enterprise · Information Technology

-0.34%

P25-3.81% Down54.2% Dn/Up518.3% / 8.3% Score58.3 DownOpp0.693

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#42 US.ADP Automatic Data Processing · Industrials

-0.39%

P25-2.63% Down54.2% Dn/Up55% / 5.8% Score46 DownOpp0.691

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#43 US.ROP Roper Technologies · Information Technology

-0.43%

P25-3.02% Down56.7% Dn/Up515% / 10.8% Score53.7 DownOpp0.67

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#44 US.SWKS Skyworks Solutions · Information Technology

-0.50%

P25-2.52% Down57.5% Dn/Up514.2% / 12.5% Score43.7 DownOpp0.652

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#45 US.PGR Progressive Corporation · Financials

-0.17%

P25-2.16% Down54.2% Dn/Up58.3% / 0% Score53.2 DownOpp0.647

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#46 US.HWM Howmet Aerospace · Industrials

-0.39%

P25-2.57% Down53.3% Dn/Up55% / 5% Score52.4 DownOpp0.603

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#47 US.SYF Synchrony Financial · Financials

-0.10%

P25-3.21% Down52.5% Dn/Up515.8% / 2.5% Score47.3 DownOpp0.598

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#48 US.NOW ServiceNow · Information Technology

-0.41%

P25-3.05% Down55% Dn/Up515% / 10% Score52.5 DownOpp0.579

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#49 US.VRSK Verisk Analytics · Industrials

-0.31%

P25-2.74% Down52.5% Dn/Up54.2% / 5% Score47.3 DownOpp0.54

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#50 US.KKR KKR & Co. · Financials

-0.20%

P25-2.86% Down52.5% Dn/Up515.8% / 4.2% Score43.6 DownOpp0.536

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Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

3D · n=120

US.ACN · -2.13% median

Projected downside + down-rate ranking