Downside opportunities

Rank projected downside with the best DOE setting.

Materialized projections ranked by downside median, downside probability, and score quality.

Calibration status

3D · n=80

Shared DOE best setting from the as-of run for this snapshot.

Point-in-time safe

Snapshot 2026-01-30
DOE calibrated as-of 2026-01-30
DOE window 2026-01-05 → 2026-01-27
DOE anchors 64
Computed at 2026年7月9日 下午7:00 HKT
Rows 50
Excluded uptrends 247

Downside ranking

US.CTSH · -2.31% median

Ranked by downside opportunity score: lower median return, deeper left tail, downside probability, and score quality.

Top median-2.31%
Top down rate66.3%
Top P25-5.46%
DOE score1.738

Projected downside + down-rate ranking

Materialized projection rows from sp500_score_projections, ranked by downside median, downside rate, and score quality.

Strong uptrends are excluded by default: 200D MA trending up, above long MA without a meaningful pullback, or 120D advance above long MA.

#1 US.CTSH Cognizant · Information Technology

-2.31%

P25-5.46% Down66.3% Dn/Up527.5% / 10% Score54.3 DownOpp3.972
View chart 開富途
#2 US.VRSN Verisign · Information Technology

-2.12%

P25-4.86% Down65% Dn/Up523.8% / 5% Score56.6 DownOpp3.811
View chart 開富途
#3 US.NXPI NXP Semiconductors · Information Technology

-2.05%

P25-4.33% Down68.8% Dn/Up521.3% / 11.3% Score53.8 DownOpp3.555
View chart 開富途
#4 US.HPE Hewlett Packard Enterprise · Information Technology

-1.84%

P25-4.64% Down63.8% Dn/Up522.5% / 5% Score56.9 DownOpp3.377
View chart 開富途
#5 US.ADSK Autodesk · Information Technology

-1.47%

P25-4.27% Down67.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 5% Score44.4 DownOpp3.305
View chart 開富途
#6 US.FICO Fair Isaac · Information Technology

-1.09%

P25-3.91% Down70% Dn/Up515% / 1.3% Score46.4 DownOpp3.242
View chart 開富途
#7 US.UAL United Airlines Holdings · Industrials

-1.27%

P25-3.77% Down66.3% Dn/Up518.8% / 2.5% Score43.8 DownOpp3.038
View chart 開富途
#8 US.HPQ HP Inc. · Information Technology

-1.57%

P25-4.37% Down62.5% Dn/Up522.5% / 3.8% Score55.4 DownOpp3.019
View chart 開富途
#9 US.OMC Omnicom Group · Communication Services

-1.24%

P25-3.09% Down67.5% Dn/Up513.8% / 5% Score55.6 DownOpp2.696
View chart 開富途
#10 US.KKR KKR & Co. · Financials

-1.04%

P25-4.18% Down62.5% Dn/Up518.8% / 2.5% Score41.8 DownOpp2.622
View chart 開富途
#11 US.PSKY Paramount Skydance Corporation · Communication Services

-1.17%

P25-2.94% Down65% Dn/Up58.8% / 6.3% Score48.9 DownOpp2.36
View chart 開富途
#12 US.ADBE Adobe Inc. · Information Technology

-1.33%

P25-4.30% Down62.5% Dn/Up521.3% / 11.3% Score51.8 DownOpp2.339
View chart 開富途
#13 US.GPN Global Payments · Financials

-0.94%

P25-4.18% Down58.8% Dn/Up517.5% / 1.3% Score42 DownOpp2.296
View chart 開富途
#14 US.TKO TKO Group Holdings · Communication Services

-0.89%

P25-2.50% Down68.8% Dn/Up510% / 5% Score58.1 DownOpp2.283
View chart 開富途
#15 US.FDS FactSet · Financials

-0.89%

P25-2.89% Down63.8% Dn/Up510% / 1.3% Score50.8 DownOpp2.258
View chart 開富途
#16 US.TTWO Take-Two Interactive · Communication Services

-1.08%

P25-4.20% Down66.3% Dn/Up521.3% / 12.5% Score57.8 DownOpp2.25
View chart 開富途
#17 US.BLDR Builders FirstSource · Industrials

-1.03%

P25-3.01% Down63.8% Dn/Up57.5% / 5% Score45.7 DownOpp2.244
View chart 開富途
#18 US.SYF Synchrony Financial · Financials

-0.89%

P25-4.18% Down60% Dn/Up517.5% / 2.5% Score49.6 DownOpp2.213
View chart 開富途
#19 US.QCOM Qualcomm · Information Technology

-0.99%

P25-4.25% Down62.5% Dn/Up518.8% / 10% Score51.4 DownOpp2.067
View chart 開富途
#20 US.HOOD Robinhood Markets · Financials

-0.80%

P25-4.18% Down57.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 1.3% Score47.3 DownOpp2.012
View chart 開富途
#21 US.BLK BlackRock · Financials

-0.95%

P25-2.04% Down62.5% Dn/Up57.5% / 1.3% Score55.7 DownOpp1.964
View chart 開富途
#22 US.PANW Palo Alto Networks · Information Technology

-0.86%

P25-3.62% Down60% Dn/Up513.8% / 5% Score44.9 DownOpp1.928
View chart 開富途
#23 US.PTC PTC Inc. · Information Technology

-1.23%

P25-3.08% Down56.3% Dn/Up513.8% / 2.5% Score58.3 DownOpp1.917
View chart 開富途
#24 US.XYZ Block, Inc. · Financials

-0.79%

P25-3.78% Down57.5% Dn/Up516.3% / 1.3% Score48.9 DownOpp1.89
View chart 開富途
#25 US.AVGO Broadcom · Information Technology

-1.25%

P25-4.64% Down57.5% Dn/Up521.3% / 12.5% Score60.3 DownOpp1.808
View chart 開富途
#26 US.TEL TE Connectivity · Information Technology

-0.67%

P25-3.78% Down65% Dn/Up518.8% / 11.3% Score49.7 DownOpp1.764
View chart 開富途
#27 US.COF Capital One · Financials

-0.57%

P25-4.07% Down56.3% Dn/Up517.5% / 1.3% Score44.3 DownOpp1.681
View chart 開富途
#28 US.NFLX Netflix · Communication Services

-0.69%

P25-1.89% Down61.3% Dn/Up52.5% / 1.3% Score54.7 DownOpp1.578
View chart 開富途
#29 US.CDW CDW Corporation · Information Technology

-1.00%

P25-3.44% Down57.5% Dn/Up517.5% / 8.8% Score52.6 DownOpp1.538
View chart 開富途
#30 US.EFX Equifax · Industrials

-0.75%

P25-2.74% Down58.8% Dn/Up51.3% / 6.3% Score43.8 DownOpp1.432
View chart 開富途
#31 US.COIN Coinbase · Financials

-0.55%

P25-3.53% Down56.3% Dn/Up515% / 3.8% Score41.1 DownOpp1.4
View chart 開富途
#32 US.DVA DaVita · Health Care

-0.78%

P25-2.49% Down58.8% Dn/Up511.3% / 3.8% Score70.2 DownOpp1.352
View chart 開富途
#33 US.APP AppLovin · Information Technology

-0.94%

P25-3.33% Down56.3% Dn/Up517.5% / 8.8% Score57 DownOpp1.321
View chart 開富途
#34 US.VRSK Verisk Analytics · Industrials

-0.75%

P25-2.74% Down57.5% Dn/Up52.5% / 6.3% Score46.8 DownOpp1.306
View chart 開富途
#35 US.WSM Williams-Sonoma, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-0.73%

P25-2.61% Down58.8% Dn/Up56.3% / 5% Score67 DownOpp1.284
View chart 開富途
#36 US.CPAY Corpay · Financials

-0.53%

P25-2.49% Down57.5% Dn/Up510% / 1.3% Score53.2 DownOpp1.275
View chart 開富途
#37 US.BAX Baxter International · Health Care

-0.65%

P25-2.67% Down57.5% Dn/Up510% / 6.3% Score58.2 DownOpp1.103
View chart 開富途
#38 US.EBAY eBay Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-0.57%

P25-2.68% Down58.8% Dn/Up56.3% / 7.5% Score55.8 DownOpp1.076
View chart 開富途
#39 US.ADP Automatic Data Processing · Industrials

-0.49%

P25-2.09% Down57.5% Dn/Up52.5% / 2.5% Score52.2 DownOpp1.071
View chart 開富途
#40 US.MET MetLife · Financials

-0.66%

P25-2.57% Down56.3% Dn/Up57.5% / 2.5% Score78.4 DownOpp1.068
View chart 開富途
#41 US.ACN Accenture · Information Technology

-0.44%

P25-2.88% Down57.5% Dn/Up510% / 3.8% Score61.8 DownOpp1.068
View chart 開富途
#42 US.MSFT Microsoft · Information Technology

-0.68%

P25-3.44% Down55% Dn/Up515% / 8.8% Score50.1 DownOpp1.036
View chart 開富途
#43 US.AON Aon plc · Financials

-0.68%

P25-1.87% Down57.5% Dn/Up56.3% / 2.5% Score79 DownOpp1.005
View chart 開富途
#44 US.DPZ Domino's · Consumer Discretionary

-0.60%

P25-2.69% Down53.8% Dn/Up57.5% / 2.5% Score58.9 DownOpp0.985
View chart 開富途
#45 US.SMCI Supermicro · Information Technology

-0.67%

P25-3.46% Down57.5% Dn/Up516.3% / 13.8% Score45.9 DownOpp0.963
View chart 開富途
#46 US.GEN Gen Digital · Information Technology

-0.51%

P25-3.44% Down56.3% Dn/Up513.8% / 10% Score49.9 DownOpp0.9
View chart 開富途
#47 US.AMZN Amazon · Consumer Discretionary

-0.31%

P25-2.90% Down56.3% Dn/Up57.5% / 2.5% Score68.7 DownOpp0.874
View chart 開富途
#48 US.NVR NVR, Inc. · Consumer Discretionary

-0.37%

P25-2.39% Down56.3% Dn/Up58.8% / 2.5% Score61.3 DownOpp0.862
View chart 開富途
#49 US.LII Lennox International · Industrials

-0.47%

P25-2.10% Down56.3% Dn/Up51.3% / 5% Score52.5 DownOpp0.805
View chart 開富途
#50 US.FSLR First Solar · Information Technology

-0.39%

P25-3.15% Down56.3% Dn/Up511.3% / 8.8% Score46.8 DownOpp0.802
View chart 開富途